{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ML8 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"98dce4b9-c3a3-4240-b53a-45e9bb37f848","symbol":"ML8","name":"MOONLIGHT FPO [ML8]","exchange":"ASX","country":"AU","asset_type":"equity","currency":"AUD","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Gold"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":36,"displayedObservations":36,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","headline":"Market Dynamics is weaker than the current price position","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","take":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-0.903811,-1.089043,-0.920767,-0.893008,-0.848874,-1.049748,-1.189172,-0.97891],"opens":[0.155,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.135],"highs":[0.155,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.145,0.15,0.165],"lows":[0.155,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.135],"closes":[0.155,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.135,0.165],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.90","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-1.09","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.92","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.16","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.89","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.85","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-1.05","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.15","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-1.19","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.17","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.98","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[0.117,0.173],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.97891,"state":"Price is moving ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Price response ahead of support","detail":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Price response ahead of support","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Lagging price","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.18,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.175,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.185,0.175,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.165,0.185,0.17,0.155,0.145,0.155,0.155,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.135,0.165],"consensus":[100.0,33.3333,-20.0,19.3333,-38.9395,20.7623,61.7081,0.0,-14.8132,-20.0738,-24.0979,-21.207,24.72,-30.9916,-36.286,-39.9684,8.8179,33.9603,-29.8843,26.8798,34.0389,9.7192,-40.1225,45.7054,-25.8011,-61.1183,-43.845,-17.6201,-24.9952,28.1798,-11.8285,-47.9138,-23.0576,-81.5068,0.0,-56.9078],"supportDates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,27.3849,64.575,0.0,-30.0811,-26.3474,-19.7016,-18.8598,21.7945,-37.6988,-41.468,-36.6629,26.2902,44.8444,-41.4405,30.2321,40.444,10.402,-46.0441,51.8374,-26.8935,-64.5913,-44.0706,-8.3078,-20.2868,28.1424,-25.0358,-60.3256,-23.4348,-84.4165,0.0,-52.7517],"force":[100.0,33.3333,-20.0,19.3333,-21.941,25.1664,52.6187,0.0,-37.2826,-25.5156,-20.7886,-18.8322,31.6366,-51.4711,-40.8346,-25.0053,29.9938,40.3672,-38.1494,35.3133,35.9251,6.96,-50.1965,56.0634,-29.0833,-71.9521,-27.071,-8.1353,-8.4266,32.861,-10.9307,-44.0417,-4.0827,-98.1613,0.0,-95.7862],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-51.0813,10.0479,64.9241,0.0,-18.6854,-9.0169,-31.4861,-25.5858,23.1232,-8.698,-27.1147,-54.4342,26.2763,16.9451,-10.7736,17.0246,25.3714,10.9098,-26.1592,31.2989,-22.2081,-49.4105,-55.5685,-46.6593,-42.2109,24.8788,-2.6244,-36.4948,-36.1801,-66.2853,0.0,-33.8872],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,80.0,100.0,85.7143,100.0,22.2222,10.0,18.1818,75.0,76.9231,78.5714,80.0,75.0,82.3529,44.4444,26.3158,30.0,85.7143,86.3636,91.3043,83.3333,84.0,96.1538,59.2593,10.7143,82.7586,60.0,61.2903,62.5,100.0,82.3529,100.0],"confirmation":[54.6667,33.3333,29.0667,28.8533,57.0169,74.6772,87.4259,34.9985,31.8452,74.4939,75.6775,74.7496,76.1658,78.4392,79.6712,80.3842,31.4731,78.8967,77.6388,76.8075,78.8523,48.349,81.056,82.848,76.3397,87.8351,81.5157,29.3976,75.5653,77.1608,49.4497,83.0253,52.1277,94.5454,12.913,87.4587],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,20.0,33.3333,42.8571,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,30.4583,21.4887,18.928,50.9353,50.6116,10.0369,37.1572,34.8222,10.9709,15.4958,5.7581,25.4137,49.2871,5.0178,14.9422,34.288,25.8172,4.8596,6.9159,15.2893,23.4856,18.3788,25.4879,40.6601,31.1152,28.9035,49.0562,3.4913,9.1632,9.1902,46.4133,7.7026],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-56.9,"control":-52.8,"force":-95.8,"direction":-33.9,"confirmation":87.5,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":7.7,"intensity":100.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-56.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-52.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-95.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-33.9","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"87/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.0","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"22.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"64%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[0.18,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.175,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.185,0.175,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.165,0.185,0.17,0.155,0.145,0.155,0.155,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.135,0.165],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,0.1722,0.1727,0.1777,0.1799,0.1799,0.179,0.1783,0.1777,0.179,0.1783,0.1768,0.1737,0.1731,0.1743,0.1735,0.1738,0.1749,0.1759,0.1739,0.1759,0.1748,0.1712,0.1665,0.1644,0.1627,0.164,0.1633,0.1609,0.1589,0.1518,0.1488,0.1517],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.1786,0.1784,0.1778,0.1764,0.176,0.1763,0.1758,0.1757,0.1761,0.1763,0.1755,0.1762,0.1758,0.1742,0.172,0.1708,0.1696,0.1696,0.1689,0.1675,0.1662,0.1628,0.1607,0.1611],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.1984,0.1973,0.1963,0.1967,0.1959,0.1951,0.1951,0.1944,0.1943,0.1936,0.1932,0.1932,0.1936,0.1936,0.1944,0.1941,0.1956,0.1938,0.192,0.1914,0.1911,0.1906,0.1907,0.1887,0.1931,0.1936,0.1939],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.1546,0.1554,0.1562,0.1571,0.1577,0.1575,0.1555,0.1556,0.1563,0.1564,0.1568,0.1568,0.1574,0.1574,0.1586,0.1594,0.1559,0.1522,0.1505,0.1486,0.1484,0.1474,0.1448,0.1433,0.1334,0.1294,0.1296],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,170.4467,63.1476,62.5362,31.0399,58.175,70.4632,85.5902,112.1859,8.2792,22.6133,32.7696,0.6051,2.0472,36.8874,21.7382,29.4658,13.7385,0.0,49.1847,0.0,14.558,5.0061,8.0293,0.0,1.4243,32.4897,105.381,232.8217,249.3778],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,71.367,65.0,65.0,65.0,66.3618,68.2601,68.2269,68.3338,69.9853,69.9853,68.8488,69.3466,69.3466,67.7136,67.7136,68.0338,68.0338,68.172,68.172,68.1519,68.1519,67.1396,68.6805,70.4917],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-5.5556,-8.3333,-8.3333,-8.3333,-2.7778,0.0,-5.0,-10.0,-12.5,-12.5,-12.5,-7.5,-12.5,-15.0,-20.0,-15.0,-10.0,-15.0,-12.5,-10.0,-10.0,-17.5,-7.5,-15.0,-22.5,-27.5,-22.5,-22.5,-15.0,-20.0,-25.0,-25.0,-40.0,-32.5,-17.5],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,15.1515,9.0909,6.0606,6.0606,6.0606,12.1212,6.0606,3.0303,0.0,6.25,12.5,6.25,9.375,12.5,12.5,3.125,15.625,6.25,0.0,0.0,6.8966,6.8966,17.2414,10.3448,3.4483,3.4483,0.0,12.5,37.5],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}