{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XRPC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"9ab09e9e-582e-425c-85e4-74ca135809bb","symbol":"XRPC","name":"Canary XRP ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":41,"displayedObservations":41,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Unsupported elevation","headline":"Price remains elevated without full Market Dynamics support","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"This is a downside warning, not a confirmed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics would repair the gap; weaker price would begin to confirm it.","tone":"negative","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.126834,0.093827,-0.030332,-0.144874,-0.248668,-0.338297,-0.373078,-0.441599,-0.473625,-0.481427,-0.500284,-0.483915,-0.282898],"opens":[14.36,13.78,12.31,13.22,12.23,11.2,11.81,11.37,11.64,11.72,11.34,10.89,10.6],"highs":[14.49,13.8399,12.59,13.72,12.35,11.8,12.3,11.98,12.355,11.82,11.53,10.955,15.0892],"lows":[13.665,11.36,11.65,12.05,10.75,10.915,11.351,11.2,11.51,11.1,10.75,10.52,10.58],"closes":[14.02,11.66,12.02,12.14,11.13,11.52,11.73,11.57,11.55,11.25,10.85,10.595,14.59],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"14.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"14.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"13.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"14.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.13","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"13.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"13.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.09","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"12.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"12.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.03","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"13.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"13.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"12.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.14","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"12.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.25","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.34","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.37","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.44","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.47","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.48","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"11.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.50","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.48","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"14.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.28","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[10.3553,14.8297],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.282898,"state":"Price ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Not confirming","detail":"Market Dynamics has strengthened over four weeks, but it still lags the elevated price.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":13,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[24.13,20.72,23.2237,21.55,21.33,20.34,19.74,21.1,22.17,22.14,20.39,18.48,15.44,15.03,15.12,14.38,14.42,14.93,15.26,14.06,13.9,14.5,15.84,15.32,14.82,15.1,15.24,14.22,14.02,11.66,12.02,12.14,11.13,11.52,11.73,11.57,11.55,11.25,10.85,10.595,14.59],"consensus":[-84.0,-72.7407,8.8079,-39.0815,-44.0306,-24.7942,-41.9856,9.2226,0.0,0.0,-24.3712,-55.5381,-63.8211,-40.3228,-42.8175,-50.7338,-34.5696,-16.3204,-23.1331,-44.5119,-30.5683,0.0,23.3143,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.7691,-42.265,-23.354,-69.9055,-30.7378,-38.3762,-55.7278,-10.9429,-18.303,-22.043,-22.0875,-31.416,-41.5266,-38.9905,-66.4954],"supportDates":["2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-26.6812,-41.2767,16.8469,0.0,0.0,-31.6194,-55.9259,-49.2391,-29.4357,-37.4702,-48.6288,-41.5355,-19.0679,-33.5297,-57.731,-37.5613,0.0,26.9963,0.0,0.0,0.0,-13.9753,-49.2457,-26.2282,-70.665,-30.3595,-41.9418,-56.6193,-11.2146,-22.7097,-23.3963,-35.5926,-40.5803,-47.776,-45.7277,-55.8454],"force":[-84.0,-72.7407,8.8079,-39.0815,-22.2059,-9.2921,-24.261,37.2443,0.0,0.0,-24.383,-52.8949,-74.7692,-12.9809,-14.4845,-28.8489,-10.6197,-10.3359,-4.0847,-36.9918,-12.4305,0.0,46.0719,0.0,0.0,0.0,-7.4914,-51.0547,-14.1847,-91.5231,-3.0673,-22.6653,-58.6295,-17.5337,-2.4127,-7.4589,-9.1001,-23.2675,-37.9654,-27.7436,-96.6153],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-59.6196,-33.7107,-55.4562,19.5065,0.0,0.0,-16.0793,-56.9829,-72.6661,-72.295,-69.1666,-68.7715,-43.7157,-32.2207,-24.8574,-34.7759,-35.5319,0.0,2.8507,0.0,0.0,0.0,-9.4462,-28.0086,-26.6187,-53.5963,-50.9346,-45.5232,-52.6363,-30.9727,-28.0638,-30.9136,-15.9298,-26.7627,-36.9282,-39.3244,-57.1526],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,33.3333,42.8571,100.0,66.6667,50.0,45.4545,100.0,61.5385,14.2857,26.6667,6.25,23.5294,38.8889,42.1053,40.0,23.8095,50.0,34.7826,29.1667,12.0,53.8462,66.6667,21.4286,86.2069,53.3333,45.1613,62.5,21.2121,14.7059,8.5714,11.1111,27.027,13.1579,33.3333,95.0],"confirmation":[49.5467,45.9437,25.4852,35.1728,58.4254,75.433,80.906,30.5171,47.667,25.0346,75.6887,85.6857,88.9786,80.2359,80.9196,83.5999,78.2262,29.24,51.997,81.8132,77.1225,4.8877,53.4314,24.0405,24.874,25.2417,48.6307,81.6863,75.15,91.017,54.3319,79.7472,85.9077,29.0369,51.0065,51.922,74.4664,77.6651,81.0848,80.0315,90.3588],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,66.6667,71.4286,50.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,20.9674,2.7356,27.0775,16.8716,19.6005,37.1984,31.0741,18.4379,18.0528,29.8217,28.5231,24.5419,18.2362,3.9355,17.4207,9.322,6.7721,15.7973,11.3805,42.2499,39.6176,33.7821,31.6525,24.9594,30.1602,14.9969,34.5545,29.8898,22.001,2.3268,6.9284,21.1257,36.4732,1.6275,21.0174,24.3125,15.7018],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-66.5,"control":-55.8,"force":-96.6,"direction":-57.2,"confirmation":90.4,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":15.7,"intensity":95.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-66.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-55.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-96.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-57.2","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"90/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"10.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"68%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[24.13,20.72,23.2237,21.55,21.33,20.34,19.74,21.1,22.17,22.14,20.39,18.48,15.44,15.03,15.12,14.38,14.42,14.93,15.26,14.06,13.9,14.5,15.84,15.32,14.82,15.1,15.24,14.22,14.02,11.66,12.02,12.14,11.13,11.52,11.73,11.57,11.55,11.25,10.85,10.595,14.59],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,22.7872,22.3423,21.8691,21.7293,21.8094,21.8695,21.6005,21.0332,20.0162,19.1096,18.3842,17.6562,17.0678,16.6791,16.4211,15.9918,15.6115,15.4094,15.4877,15.4572,15.3413,15.2975,15.287,15.093,14.8979,14.3092,13.893,13.5743,13.1299,12.8372,12.6359,12.4421,12.2799,12.0926,11.8667,11.6355,12.1727],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21.769,21.2698,20.8142,20.3376,19.8993,19.5312,19.2148,18.833,18.4676,18.1737,18.0008,17.8022,17.5813,17.3975,17.2377,17.0142,16.7924,16.4122,16.0869,15.7945,15.449,15.1579,14.904,14.6571,14.4269,14.1916,13.9441,13.696,13.7622],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,24.1568,24.0321,24.2053,25.0218,25.4384,25.5869,25.7216,25.7389,25.6425,25.4985,25.4334,24.7455,24.5138,23.7216,23.1887,22.6321,22.1887,21.8008,21.0751,19.8735,18.5098,17.3721,16.6568,16.7845,16.8128,16.7537,16.7558,16.7244,16.6187,16.4456,16.4168,16.5018],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}