{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PEW Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9b86000f-e473-49a2-b584-4aba43325847","symbol":"PEW","name":"GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Aerospace & Defense"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":57,"displayedObservations":57,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":5,"completedEpisodes":4,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":3.8,"averageExpectedMove":5.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":4,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-3.2,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":15.0,"confidenceHigh":85.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":4,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":-11.7,"medianReturn":-12.7,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":49.0,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":5},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":4},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":4},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":4},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":4},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":4},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":4},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":4},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-9.7,"sample":4},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":4},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":4},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":4},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":4},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-12.1,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":1},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"A recent green marker confirmed a recovery from accumulation conditions. Price is now being tested for durable follow-through away from the zone.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":4},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -11.7% across 4 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.6% across 4 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":2.96},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":2.48}],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[10.01,6.78,6.44,6.09,5.35,5.67,5.32,5.81,6.01,5.53,5.0,4.96,4.55,4.37,4.86,4.6,4.34,3.78,3.37,3.5,3.52,3.43,3.15,3.06,3.04,3.72,3.19,3.11,3.1,2.98,2.87,2.87,2.75,2.83,3.14,3.02,2.88,2.99,2.9,2.99,2.97,2.95,2.93,2.83,2.74,2.72,2.62,2.52,2.47,2.32,2.35,2.96,2.47,2.33,2.48,2.65,2.55],"consensus":[-87.3355,-95.7958,-15.7143,-46.5902,-27.8895,0.0,-21.3303,0.0,0.0,-13.4779,-20.3363,0.0,-23.8207,-18.4466,0.0,-14.731,-9.6087,-17.7181,-23.6084,0.0,0.0,-17.1447,-17.7093,-14.1448,-15.9965,18.7046,-16.4337,-14.9875,-8.1346,-11.8438,-12.2728,0.0,-10.022,0.0,16.7208,-9.5507,-12.072,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-18.9849,-18.2991,0.0,-18.0816,-23.6304,-17.4507,-28.9525,-9.3174,40.432,-37.1795,-23.5145,0.0,8.4973,-12.3928],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-30.9255,0.0,0.0,-19.1772,-30.0187,0.0,-31.5577,-22.9393,0.0,-20.2358,-13.0334,-23.2054,-29.1106,0.0,0.0,-25.3335,-24.3952,-18.2516,-21.9965,19.3384,-17.4191,-24.461,-13.2229,-11.6972,-15.7335,0.0,-10.0411,0.0,17.2241,-17.768,-21.373,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-24.3044,-24.4001,0.0,-17.7403,-29.1941,-19.7126,-31.2181,-5.7508,32.1935,-40.4367,-31.5602,0.0,15.1588,-19.6104],"force":[0.0,-14.5666,0.0,0.0,-10.2932,-15.9417,0.0,-18.1389,-11.4497,0.0,-10.7113,-5.1188,-14.1734,-19.058,0.0,0.0,-10.9938,-13.3984,-6.7489,-8.6124,42.0034,-28.3079,-11.2329,-3.0524,-7.9573,-7.4502,0.0,-6.0751,0.0,31.6797,-12.2427,-12.5001,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-28.9437,-19.8652,0.0,-21.9892,-21.2556,-11.2206,-27.6117,-3.1158,70.4655,-73.4203,-25.7895,0.0,15.7202,-22.754],"direction":[0.0,-15.1955,0.0,0.0,-9.2391,-12.4097,0.0,-19.0369,-18.31,0.0,-11.3111,-8.9017,-13.9789,-20.5705,0.0,0.0,-12.1797,-13.1476,-14.7339,-14.4136,1.3383,-6.8259,-6.8424,-5.9495,-14.7875,-11.7626,0.0,-12.8192,0.0,5.4606,-1.7634,-1.1365,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-5.7919,-10.2077,0.0,-15.6807,-18.968,-19.3156,-27.3208,-22.2744,28.3948,-7.5707,-12.6943,0.0,4.2751,-3.2569],"intensity":[60.0,33.3333,42.8571,62.5,44.4444,40.0,45.4545,16.6667,15.3846,42.8571,6.6667,56.25,58.8235,33.3333,26.3158,5.0,4.7619,18.1818,13.0435,4.1667,76.0,61.5385,22.2222,14.2857,13.7931,13.3333,16.129,21.875,15.1515,35.2941,22.8571,16.6667,13.5135,10.5263,12.8205,5.0,21.9512,7.1429,41.8605,59.0909,28.8889,15.2174,17.0213,27.0833,32.6531,22.0,92.1569,73.0769,76.9231,32.6923,38.4615,17.3077],"confirmation":[26.4671,74.4734,26.5083,23.9972,72.129,74.2261,24.956,75.3316,73.6212,26.9655,72.5075,48.2191,73.4782,75.3322,25.7199,24.7393,73.1741,73.4337,49.5717,72.8024,52.0192,50.939,49.8705,25.0373,49.0071,49.0609,25.5693,48.4198,1.4874,51.1322,48.7226,49.0677,47.927,1.5925,24.4638,24.4153,0.1618,24.1002,51.6309,73.8105,24.3752,73.9104,75.4046,73.3599,77.1894,25.9884,81.9791,58.2856,75.4714,24.4817,49.0831,36.1437],"persistence":[83.3333,85.7143,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[36.9301,27.0686,14.7744,29.1813,0.045,5.5101,34.362,34.2162,34.1563,21.0139,29.2323,20.1647,37.3947,38.1771,48.6083,46.4963,33.2944,24.0668,39.6332,39.5338,25.9741,13.8835,15.5079,13.6669,43.293,34.8802,37.5028,38.9756,25.236,29.4349,30.3761,28.6405,22.8243,40.7664,14.2875,32.5571,15.3031,13.9052,33.8779,38.5185,45.1057,40.4113,38.1601,41.2211,35.5221,45.3244,28.9293,18.5897,13.9657,24.6316,47.3084,22.3447],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-12.4,"control":-19.6,"force":-22.8,"direction":-3.3,"confirmation":36.1,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":22.3,"intensity":17.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-12.4","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-19.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-22.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"36/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"32.1","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"20.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"23.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"27%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[10.01,6.78,6.44,6.09,5.35,5.67,5.32,5.81,6.01,5.53,5.0,4.96,4.55,4.37,4.86,4.6,4.34,3.78,3.37,3.5,3.52,3.43,3.15,3.06,3.04,3.72,3.19,3.11,3.1,2.98,2.87,2.87,2.75,2.83,3.14,3.02,2.88,2.99,2.9,2.99,2.97,2.95,2.93,2.83,2.74,2.72,2.62,2.52,2.47,2.32,2.35,2.96,2.47,2.33,2.48,2.65,2.55],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,7.8234,7.4319,7.0479,6.8228,6.675,6.4669,6.2002,5.9747,5.7156,5.471,5.3599,5.2217,5.0614,4.8284,4.5633,4.3699,4.2154,4.0726,3.9049,3.7512,3.6219,3.6398,3.558,3.4765,3.4081,3.3302,3.2466,3.1781,3.1003,3.0511,3.0673,3.0587,3.0262,3.0196,2.9979,2.9964,2.9916,2.9841,2.9742,2.948,2.9102,2.8756,2.8291,2.7729,2.7179,2.6455,2.5918,2.6587,2.6244,2.5709,2.5544,2.5718,2.5678],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-32.2677,-35.6643,-39.1608,-46.5534,-43.3566,-46.8531,-41.958,-39.96,-44.7552,-50.05,-50.4496,-54.5455,-56.3437,-51.4486,-54.046,-56.6434,-62.2378,-66.3337,-65.035,-64.8352,-65.7343,-68.5315,-69.4306,-69.6304,-62.8372,-68.1319,-68.9311,-69.031,-70.2298,-71.3287,-71.3287,-72.5275,-71.7283,-68.6314,-69.8302,-71.2288,-70.1299,-71.029,-70.1299,-70.3297,-70.5295,-70.7293,-71.7283,-72.6274,-72.8272,-73.8262,-74.8252,-75.3247,-76.8232,-76.5235,-70.4296,-75.3247,-76.7233,-75.2248,-73.5265,-74.5255],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.2105,12.9699,3.9474,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.2128,5.2632,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.8576,4.451,1.7804,0.0,0.0,0.0,22.3684,4.9342,2.3026,1.9737,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.9091,14.1818,9.8182,4.7273,8.7273,5.4545,8.7273,8.0,7.2727,6.5455,2.9091,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.2931,27.5862,6.4655,0.431,6.8966,14.2241,9.9138],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.6295,6.8402,3.9346,0.7264,3.6342,1.2309,0.6418,3.5006,1.9837,0.9867,1.5092,0.6064,1.323,1.4333,0.9372,0.545,0.3261,0.2174,3.913,6.2286,8.3056,8.193,5.8648,3.354,3.354,4.7506,6.6508,16.8091,14.3731,12.3134,16.4179,13.308,16.73,15.9696,19.7044,19.9821,19.7183,14.7287,13.1783,9.6296,3.6496,5.5172,4.7022,6.5831,45.9807,18.3673,7.5556,20.8889,36.0,27.1111],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58.9823,57.545,56.2587,55.3463,54.6069,53.9203,53.5848,53.1918,51.665,50.0293,48.7803,47.7878,46.8662,45.5539,44.0964,42.8236,41.2676,38.6906,36.6338,35.1422,33.9756,32.9565,32.2707,32.0799,31.9028,30.7589,28.9586,26.9816,25.3043,24.1932,23.1614],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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