{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BBAR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9b969b42-fa79-429e-b59b-b9bd89c517ff","symbol":"BBAR","name":"BBVA Banco Frances SA ADR","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","take":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":20,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":14.2,"averageExpectedMove":25.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":21,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":42.9,"averageReturn":2.5,"medianReturn":-2.9,"confidenceLow":24.5,"confidenceHigh":63.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":20,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":40.0,"averageReturn":9.3,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":21.9,"confidenceHigh":61.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":20,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":55.0,"averageReturn":22.7,"medianReturn":10.6,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":74.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":20},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":20},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":20},{"week":9,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":20},{"week":10,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":20},{"week":11,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":20},{"week":12,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":20},{"week":13,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":20},{"week":14,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":20},{"week":15,"averageReturn":10.2,"sample":20},{"week":16,"averageReturn":13.2,"sample":20},{"week":17,"averageReturn":11.6,"sample":20},{"week":18,"averageReturn":14.5,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":16.6,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":17.8,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":20.7,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":23.9,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":21.7,"sample":20},{"week":24,"averageReturn":20.8,"sample":20},{"week":25,"averageReturn":21.0,"sample":20},{"week":26,"averageReturn":22.7,"sample":20}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":31.2,"averageExpectedMove":31.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-7.1,"medianReturn":-7.1,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.9,"medianReturn":-25.9,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-39.2,"medianReturn":-39.2,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-18.0,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-19.5,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-26.6,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-24.8,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-24.3,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-29.9,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-25.9,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-25.4,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-31.8,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-32.4,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-33.7,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-46.3,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-51.8,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-50.1,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-59.2,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-59.0,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-57.0,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-56.5,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-39.2,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-40.6,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-39.2,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":27.8,"averageReturn":17.1,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 27.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 17.1% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.4 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 14.8% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-14","price":19.811209},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":19.152964},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":19.442182}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-04-25","price":20.72016},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":20.93518}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.4609,10.0082,10.751,11.0833,11.5818,10.6728,10.8781,12.0705,11.2984,13.1456,13.4681,15.0221,15.8822,16.1754,16.2047,16.8791,16.8302,17.8858,19.2346,21.7562,22.8899,21.3945,22.0298,21.3554,20.5931,19.8112,18.912,18.3354,18.4038,18.5406,18.5895,18.3061,15.4424,17.3873,19.8112,20.7202,19.0391,19.9383,20.9352,21.16,19.215,17.5535,17.5144,16.2243,16.5957,15.9995,14.3282,14.7387,15.5303,14.8853,16.1461,15.5499,13.5161,11.9893,12.0676,8.8183,8.0488,8.6876,8.1765,9.0315,9.2281,9.9684,16.338,15.5591,15.3816,13.7872,15.8726,16.3866,16.6633,18.0927,18.2709,17.7758,18.7265,17.5084,19.2269,20.0603,17.8082,16.0522,17.0413,14.9037,13.7901,13.2234,13.3611,13.9793,15.9635,16.2826,16.3624,14.4208,13.4971,14.7612,14.1939,15.2091,18.2649,17.4188,20.5374,21.8123,19.153,19.3725,21.0756,19.4422,18.7848,18.8545,17.11,15.34],"consensus":[8.7061,45.4725,53.3618,49.7151,50.0135,0.0,29.0242,60.0364,0.0,70.17,42.6072,71.7315,61.0995,38.2548,37.3756,53.209,33.928,52.887,64.1047,77.0326,57.2116,10.594,42.7191,9.9025,0.0,-12.4565,-20.434,-23.3493,-15.7841,0.0,0.0,-16.6867,-61.1314,16.4767,34.0741,34.083,-12.647,30.1502,29.2618,18.1479,-27.384,-45.9347,-26.8438,-51.1369,-18.1528,-35.4433,-64.9512,-19.5228,0.0,-40.4555,17.6403,-18.9795,-57.5539,-67.07,-29.937,-78.5635,-60.7863,-38.974,-50.2432,0.0,-19.5781,8.3011,75.2262,12.5326,28.6033,0.0,46.2577,33.4713,34.6635,56.6314,36.2221,17.2549,50.1135,0.0,54.6531,43.9804,-23.167,-38.8032,11.7021,-52.1323,-47.6557,-45.0287,-26.9087,-13.7679,36.7345,21.5981,19.1251,-35.5199,-46.0278,0.0,-31.0493,19.3845,67.9851,0.0,72.663,59.4134,-10.9792,22.5102,52.0945,-16.2858,-11.8072,0.0,-43.7902,-56.2447],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-55.6513,-69.9588,-21.6252,-79.984,-61.6899,-44.9947,-44.883,0.0,-32.7759,3.5505,77.5514,0.305,20.6161,0.0,54.1555,33.357,34.4609,55.5672,31.9345,7.3606,51.5356,0.0,60.1215,39.5505,-24.66,-39.9495,25.2051,-52.0088,-44.4574,-45.5842,-19.6215,-12.8255,37.0741,17.6324,14.7683,-42.3552,-47.7831,0.0,-28.8217,18.6133,65.8188,0.0,70.6266,59.4151,-18.3379,15.8986,58.8473,-14.5744,-14.6529,0.0,-41.3221,-55.9791],"force":[-71.5599,-73.7593,-2.4133,-90.7432,-46.7725,-5.5777,-38.8817,0.0,-5.9915,41.4801,94.0526,30.1892,2.3848,0.0,52.9407,17.3128,15.2481,50.4537,11.6379,11.0833,40.6674,0.0,58.335,35.5328,-61.448,-59.0412,26.2862,-63.4512,-47.548,-34.2771,-3.7132,-12.074,60.2293,20.7875,13.949,-54.7891,-46.762,0.0,-34.3311,35.9044,94.1769,0.0,92.9571,52.6896,-62.9035,7.565,56.6923,-47.2039,-30.5618,0.0,-59.3817,-65.2975],"direction":[-49.7241,-58.9904,-59.0961,-68.2403,-69.7634,-63.9159,-64.4844,0.0,-22.7589,9.9689,59.1213,57.7198,56.4591,0.0,32.4582,45.1437,48.7633,62.2603,58.6824,48.8043,55.2355,0.0,45.7735,55.0772,-5.883,-23.0375,14.1471,-44.1885,-51.3877,-52.0737,-51.8052,-33.3036,19.5643,26.7094,27.8015,-13.9445,-43.4972,0.0,-31.251,8.4659,51.7525,0.0,60.4944,64.2142,-34.5194,40.7413,41.0929,-3.8426,-4.8411,0.0,-35.4741,-50.0818],"intensity":[92.3077,92.3077,32.6923,98.0769,57.6923,88.4615,88.4615,25.0,50.0,19.2308,100.0,71.1538,57.6923,65.3846,80.7692,86.5385,1.9231,59.6154,63.4615,7.6923,30.7692,46.1538,71.1538,84.6154,86.5385,71.1538,67.3077,82.6923,82.6923,7.6923,42.3077,36.5385,75.0,50.0,7.6923,73.0769,76.9231,38.4615,11.5385,30.7692,96.1538,57.6923,96.1538,94.2308,90.3846,63.4615,53.8462,50.0,15.3846,15.3846,55.7692,55.7692],"confirmation":[86.8731,89.6222,54.201,93.4899,87.0108,57.5454,83.8132,9.8693,51.8961,5.8666,92.6107,9.4095,53.8091,32.9104,82.8858,78.2201,78.5037,85.95,78.9072,7.1731,83.7268,7.0766,85.5179,81.8838,55.1457,81.0163,29.6681,85.0292,83.2953,82.0731,53.3483,28.875,80.4659,74.9471,74.0287,79.8495,82.7245,30.0159,78.0697,74.7183,90.5865,7.4881,91.9017,86.8074,35.0145,52.1819,84.7075,52.3329,50.6726,0.9519,82.5256,86.2782],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[19.1225,16.1387,35.0089,10.7166,19.5953,30.058,24.7038,10.3575,46.9502,34.8102,12.3303,43.4915,35.3615,49.2573,33.7863,1.615,12.2203,20.7307,24.8272,23.0333,15.1226,12.1381,4.6204,26.577,19.7162,20.2272,52.6523,23.8957,25.9394,26.121,36.2865,24.4396,27.3657,38.067,39.3253,33.9725,24.9614,45.3569,32.0698,19.6201,15.9414,45.024,13.6518,20.2811,29.3434,30.2018,10.6612,35.3877,4.8566,14.8801,27.1182,20.867],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-56.2,"control":-56.0,"force":-65.3,"direction":-50.1,"confirmation":86.3,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":20.9,"intensity":55.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-56.2","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-56.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-65.3","detail":"Downward 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