{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TPVG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9bfa9aa8-c5e1-4614-adb3-c0b5f88f98cb","symbol":"TPVG","name":"Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":14,"completedEpisodes":13,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":1.7,"averageExpectedMove":4.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":14,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":21.4,"averageReturn":-6.2,"medianReturn":-8.9,"confidenceLow":7.6,"confidenceHigh":47.6,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":12,"sample":13,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":30.8,"averageReturn":-6.0,"medianReturn":-5.7,"confidenceLow":12.7,"confidenceHigh":57.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":23.1,"averageReturn":-8.8,"medianReturn":-5.8,"confidenceLow":8.2,"confidenceHigh":50.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":14},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":14},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":14},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":14},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-9.5,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":14},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":13},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":13},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":13},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":13},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":13},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":47.1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 47.1% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.1% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.4% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[5.3991,5.428,5.3991,5.4496,5.2141,5.3568,5.1314,5.0112,5.1464,5.0112,4.9436,5.9128,5.9353,6.1306,6.3034,6.2058,6.1231,5.6317,5.7019,5.9749,5.8969,5.9359,6.1387,6.2869,6.0451,6.1309,6.3259,6.3103,5.9359,5.7565,5.8385,5.7653,4.9765,4.7733,4.8627,5.0497,4.944,5.066,5.4563,5.4563,5.6596,5.8466,5.8629,5.6936,5.923,5.974,6.042,6.1355,6.1015,5.7701,5.2857,5.3197,5.4642,5.7616,5.8041,5.6171,5.5076,5.1375,5.0053,4.6176,4.9172,4.9965,4.8202,4.9877,5.2961,5.5781,5.7279,5.9482,5.8424,5.6684,5.7968,6.0903,6.0903,6.0352,5.8977,5.4666,5.2556,5.1822,5.1089,4.7603,4.8337,4.6686,4.6993,4.3069,4.8716,4.9003,5.4076,4.9864,5.3214,5.5224,5.599,5.3023,5.2831,5.1396,5.331,5.0,4.7,4.92,4.72,4.73,4.44,4.52,5.2,5.45],"consensus":[-40.7491,-24.4978,-19.9605,-9.3872,-58.4146,0.0,-52.2225,-45.7807,0.0,-45.6093,-40.1239,66.9458,36.5373,60.078,59.8953,19.4751,20.8992,-42.7586,0.0,32.9312,0.0,18.965,49.2461,45.7823,-10.5401,29.9378,43.5861,21.628,-36.3888,-41.3278,0.0,-36.1875,-75.8304,-56.6949,-33.2192,-9.1096,-36.6631,0.0,41.2479,9.0694,41.9235,48.1043,18.8889,0.0,44.8149,22.9191,26.2684,34.3859,18.1382,-34.3147,-64.7875,-32.2502,0.0,34.3716,26.2202,-18.3109,-21.7811,-64.4103,-55.9241,-76.9175,0.0,-15.4115,-45.0033,10.7336,43.4093,55.2792,52.1714,54.7417,13.592,0.0,28.3544,58.3793,32.5153,16.4455,0.0,-54.5097,-51.9052,-38.543,-41.7506,-67.0622,-24.9778,-58.739,-38.0786,-71.8146,26.9092,0.0,56.239,-21.0025,44.9816,40.543,34.6433,-11.047,0.0,-27.656,15.554,-42.0055,-48.3591,0.0,-39.3182,-19.1219,-52.2235,-23.6026,54.117,-53.4359],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,36.4516,23.8603,-30.441,-21.8568,-65.3012,-58.6886,-80.1148,0.0,-12.6923,-48.7562,5.2734,36.0183,52.7719,53.7995,49.6164,0.5504,0.0,28.9109,62.6294,31.4229,5.103,0.0,-52.3908,-49.7546,-33.3783,-40.2385,-65.6289,-18.5108,-59.7864,-37.4549,-76.33,32.2701,0.0,54.0511,-36.8047,45.5763,34.9674,38.3042,-24.1794,0.0,-29.8122,26.85,-41.6516,-45.7653,0.0,-35.6799,-15.433,-59.6873,-20.4829,49.542,-58.0905],"force":[0.0,68.5774,25.6648,-35.5775,-35.1569,-79.1818,-49.5869,-88.346,0.0,-10.8521,-38.7237,42.689,83.0399,73.7418,48.9976,58.0865,19.8084,0.0,22.5389,68.289,11.8194,9.3745,0.0,-80.9209,-58.4222,-27.3509,-26.0473,-75.8072,-8.0288,-54.6722,-15.3549,-77.4632,79.3286,0.0,78.1588,-43.7937,57.0203,41.5102,22.7783,-37.8785,0.0,-36.4629,20.4119,-62.684,-55.0781,0.0,-39.4654,-3.3598,-50.2157,-0.7622,86.4577,-51.4717],"direction":[0.0,7.5617,29.314,-7.8852,-12.1404,-52.8409,-57.2911,-65.1003,0.0,-37.279,-45.1997,5.8515,23.5486,44.957,52.5778,58.2101,52.3541,0.0,31.8723,46.4435,48.5463,47.8512,0.0,-38.0662,-49.7082,-52.4399,-54.6953,-62.4538,-55.9448,-60.4467,-55.0225,-62.6193,16.66,0.0,43.0825,-13.3365,35.7029,46.2242,38.9344,-23.1267,0.0,-18.9013,0.8255,-27.6397,-46.524,0.0,-43.3709,-34.5963,-45.1277,-44.5715,36.2451,-49.5192],"intensity":[28.8462,80.7692,36.5385,36.5385,65.3846,80.7692,71.1538,80.7692,71.1538,61.5385,26.9231,23.0769,76.9231,92.3077,38.4615,82.6923,65.3846,69.2308,28.8462,67.3077,5.7692,40.3846,13.4615,88.4615,86.5385,11.5385,7.6923,80.7692,3.8462,51.9231,51.9231,86.5385,98.0769,86.5385,98.0769,86.5385,69.2308,86.5385,23.0769,59.6154,36.5385,13.4615,32.6923,65.3846,78.8462,40.3846,34.6154,1.9231,50.0,9.6154,100.0,98.0769],"confirmation":[30.5424,57.343,76.4095,53.2164,75.3764,89.0479,85.6604,92.9132,34.8621,29.1545,82.1525,28.4068,83.2114,86.2902,84.5733,85.6974,7.756,8.031,76.8877,86.9186,77.7908,6.6484,29.2705,86.2803,84.8411,80.0714,80.9047,89.7483,31.465,86.6566,79.5021,91.084,36.3476,24.748,86.6979,32.6864,82.7519,81.0882,78.6685,31.753,25.3718,77.0855,50.4627,82.0774,83.7192,5.0945,80.6417,51.0282,84.5366,52.3538,86.3728,84.9687],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[48.484,19.1829,36.2313,53.4393,21.1084,17.481,21.9789,11.527,47.915,17.8644,9.763,41.4366,24.511,21.5253,23.873,22.5954,42.2356,19.9343,1.4107,0.3106,28.5595,40.5611,26.5036,22.4546,23.9945,30.7032,29.1017,16.3917,36.5105,20.2463,29.7595,13.1759,5.7666,35.0731,21.0921,59.2877,22.4195,28.0318,10.4575,43.5208,4.4272,28.7492,43.3375,15.9954,23.5605,31.7013,29.0711,31.0944,14.9372,36.3929,19.9775,22.6597],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-53.4,"control":-58.1,"force":-51.5,"direction":-49.5,"confirmation":85.0,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":22.7,"intensity":98.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-53.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-58.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-51.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-49.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"56.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"78%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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