{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"2050 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9ce3addc-28bd-45ff-a269-d7254ee21f1e","symbol":"2050","name":"Savola Group Company","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Packaged Foods"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":14,"completedEpisodes":13,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.2,"averageExpectedMove":12.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":14,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":35.7,"averageReturn":-0.7,"medianReturn":-5.2,"confidenceLow":16.3,"confidenceHigh":61.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":13,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":38.5,"averageReturn":0.7,"medianReturn":-5.3,"confidenceLow":17.7,"confidenceHigh":64.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":12,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":58.3,"averageReturn":1.7,"medianReturn":4.5,"confidenceLow":32.0,"confidenceHigh":80.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":14},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":14},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":14},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":14},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":13},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":13},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":12},{"week":25,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":57.1,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 57.1% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.6% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 9 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.7% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-10-10","price":23.238577},{"date":"2026-03-20","price":23.126179}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-21","price":34.796986}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[25.4173,26.6743,28.9807,28.6799,28.9306,28.9306,26.6743,26.6743,27.1757,26.6743,25.8721,25.8219,24.769,24.3278,24.3077,25.12,26.0225,34.6097,33.7198,33.3452,35.9678,35.1716,35.4058,36.5298,36.5766,36.2956,34.797,33.2983,32.4085,28.7087,28.2872,27.6315,28.4745,25.8519,27.6315,28.896,29.0365,26.3202,25.9924,24.5874,24.8684,26.367,24.8684,24.5874,25.8987,25.14,25.1587,24.5405,24.0722,23.2386,22.8545,23.0419,22.5735,22.5735,22.4799,21.4964,21.9179,22.8545,23.4915,23.2386,23.9785,22.7515,23.07,24.8777,25.4023,24.9339,24.2221,22.7609,22.6016,22.0303,21.2341,20.6628,20.0165,20.4942,20.9719,22.3206,21.3653,21.8523,20.9531,21.0843,20.5129,22.611,23.1262,24.4281,25.0089,24.7279,25.2711,24.8777,25.3273,24.66,26.5,28.72,28.72,29.48,29.8,29.66,30.0,28.4,27.46,26.92,25.76,26.06,26.3,25.92],"consensus":[10.0731,22.5751,55.4478,16.8212,32.4182,20.034,-45.1426,-13.6565,0.0,-24.0403,-31.9189,-15.3234,-50.1892,-42.8086,-24.9635,0.0,23.1199,76.9454,12.9783,25.2161,72.2803,19.77,39.5105,55.5392,25.6635,20.8028,-9.954,-31.3662,-31.863,-71.1207,-41.6238,-47.6421,-17.1526,-58.6941,-13.6197,11.1573,-8.0578,-55.4848,-33.7333,-57.4244,-20.6229,11.4907,-46.4395,-14.4122,14.9587,-34.536,-16.8778,-33.0223,-26.2339,-45.944,-40.3339,-15.1179,-38.839,-31.8993,-17.3336,-56.4235,0.0,21.0815,31.6865,0.0,40.1471,-36.9829,0.0,60.5134,43.7475,17.1925,0.0,-50.8497,-28.9812,-42.1683,-54.0171,-45.329,-52.1685,-21.0431,0.0,42.1315,-26.6883,20.9828,-34.767,-9.8084,-21.7458,43.5493,46.6936,65.7851,51.1138,30.1479,57.3664,8.1879,48.0796,-13.4372,71.5219,78.1611,41.0309,65.5921,54.6421,36.7028,49.0506,-22.4129,-27.4955,-26.6908,-58.2844,-17.6198,-14.8091,-28.6107],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-40.7107,-39.0323,-15.2248,-63.7388,0.0,17.9152,29.0094,0.0,28.6311,-43.1501,0.0,52.5343,35.7259,9.0812,0.0,-51.1483,-26.3648,-43.0901,-59.9066,-43.7615,-52.2746,-17.8427,0.0,33.1706,-40.1875,16.4249,-43.3433,-1.7284,-14.4255,37.572,51.8446,65.7349,48.7523,24.1159,57.6987,1.3039,55.3596,-13.3945,69.993,76.0224,34.7947,64.1157,52.202,37.9139,50.5474,-24.7664,-20.9883,-19.8286,-61.4241,-8.8795,-9.5466,-21.9207],"force":[-26.9974,-13.7608,-0.1246,-54.3901,0.0,63.5505,54.9917,0.0,65.5364,-65.8063,0.0,91.4026,47.1402,10.2649,0.0,-74.1317,-22.2315,-38.2135,-48.5406,-36.2472,-43.7191,-14.3342,0.0,81.7256,-45.3753,36.0567,-43.8603,-3.7867,-18.2194,69.5804,37.04,73.8164,37.4892,0.8459,50.7152,27.53,40.2451,-69.0524,92.8484,93.566,10.2923,61.0286,37.4751,3.4569,30.2518,-67.9455,-52.7694,-31.6622,-64.2769,-6.1985,-4.0838,-26.2593],"direction":[-45.1583,-36.7033,-32.2138,-49.5156,0.0,5.6348,18.0995,0.0,35.1729,-9.3465,0.0,47.5687,50.4916,46.0751,0.0,-33.8786,-36.7928,-43.9395,-51.198,-53.6075,-58.0825,-49.9702,0.0,24.091,-2.0871,15.4248,-18.4702,-28.7534,-32.6307,31.7868,47.7021,60.1059,63.5446,59.1802,61.7375,44.5485,45.3557,-26.2393,58.036,69.6018,70.1142,70.539,69.693,59.0657,60.7677,-12.8002,-16.8795,-30.9825,-50.4157,-44.6217,-34.3183,-37.9359],"intensity":[13.4615,1.9231,17.3077,38.4615,5.7692,53.8462,57.6923,3.8462,34.6154,55.7692,32.6923,78.8462,80.7692,11.5385,21.1538,67.3077,17.3077,36.5385,26.9231,50.0,21.1538,13.4615,11.5385,86.5385,44.2308,11.5385,42.3077,44.2308,73.0769,96.1538,13.4615,80.7692,65.3846,5.7692,21.1538,13.4615,11.5385,36.5385,94.2308,98.0769,100.0,69.2308,80.7692,1.9231,7.6923,86.5385,86.5385,42.3077,65.3846,15.3846,36.5385,55.7692],"confirmation":[80.0391,77.5463,50.4067,85.8821,6.99,54.624,78.8907,26.5045,81.7963,80.619,25.3354,88.4273,82.2248,29.6449,29.4666,84.9769,77.1082,81.3593,85.0288,82.2524,84.4348,31.429,7.4248,82.8253,54.6826,75.2434,79.2719,26.322,74.9627,82.8202,82.5693,89.2968,83.9772,54.3085,86.1495,7.8275,83.0358,34.2599,91.5603,93.5136,80.2881,88.8729,84.9995,56.0466,83.1005,33.9213,77.668,76.7971,86.7858,51.7013,50.4479,77.1857],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[28.2692,18.3252,17.9853,21.3625,37.0649,13.9013,31.6999,49.4753,29.8467,10.6484,31.2476,18.2881,25.5489,41.0233,45.5767,23.5732,35.3404,28.7713,22.8886,26.6364,23.6809,37.0305,16.2609,26.5523,60.8079,37.0705,16.1412,41.4925,31.7243,12.433,25.8599,17.0402,24.4391,34.1972,20.6303,19.3313,5.8199,2.5146,7.956,10.887,29.3982,17.2017,22.6505,22.2615,21.6054,29.2585,35.3171,36.1987,20.8225,39.9778,32.831,25.404],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-28.6,"control":-21.9,"force":-26.3,"direction":-37.9,"confirmation":77.2,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":25.4,"intensity":55.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-28.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-21.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-26.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-37.9","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"77/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.1","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.5%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"61%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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