{"ticker": {"uuid": "9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04", "symbol": "8591", "name": "ORIX Corporation", "exchange": "JPX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "8591 closed the latest completed week at 6,336 JPY. The 4-week return is -2.1% and the 12-week return is 9.8%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.62.", "description": "ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. The company's Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing segment is involved in the finance and fee; and leasing and rental of automobiles, electronic measuring instruments, and ICT-related equipment businesses. Its Real Estate segment develops, rents, and manages real estate properties; operates facilities; provides real estate asset management services. The company's PE Investment and Concession segment engages in the private equity investment and concession businesses. Its Environment and Energy segment provides ESCO, and recycling and waste management services; retails electric power; sells solar panels; and generates renewable energy power. The company's Insurance segment sells life insurance products through agents, banks, and other financial institutions, as well as face-to-face and online. Its Banking and Credit segment provides banking and consumer finance services. The company's Aircraft and Ships segment engages in the aircraft investment and management, ship-related finance and investment, maritime asset management, and ship brokerage businesses. Its ORIX USA segment offers finance, investment, and asset management services. The company's ORIX Europe segment provides asset management services for equity and fixed income. Its Asia and Australia segment engages in the finance and investment businesses. The company was formerly known as Orient Leasing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ORIX Corporation in 1989. ORIX Corporation was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "72", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "6,336 JPY", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-1.2%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-2.1%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "9.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "100.0%", "hint": "52 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.3x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Financial Conglomerates", "currency": "JPY", "market_cap": "6851.9B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "5,514 JPY", "fair_value": "3,578 JPY", "vs_trend": "14.9%", "vs_fair_value": "77.1%", "high_52": "6,680 JPY", "low_52": "3,551 JPY", "drawdown": 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Jun", "return": -1.9881353214686548, "return_label": "-2.0%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 15.555201988059519, "volume": "4.1M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": -0.34353018158023885, "return_label": "-0.3%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 17.76373609722096, "volume": "4.7M"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": 3.824688115561392, "return_label": "3.8%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 24.216974270388217, "volume": "6.4M"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": -2.924901185770751, "return_label": "-2.9%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 10.143725187138225, "volume": "2.7M"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": 3.1107491856677525, "return_label": "3.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 8.945889020213958, "volume": "2.4M"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": 2.1797504343705576, "return_label": "2.2%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 52.58735642634179, "volume": "13.9M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": -4.111918379965992, "return_label": "-4.1%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 55.68460769160832, "volume": "14.7M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 5.352248911816862, "return_label": "5.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 45.31510440343062, "volume": "12.0M"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": -1.9127773527161436, "return_label": "-1.9%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 75.20759462981484, "volume": "19.9M"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": -1.1544461778471138, "return_label": "-1.2%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 66.84433433342424, "volume": "17.6M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.3x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "13.2M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "14.7M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "4.1%", "volatility_52": "3.5%", "downside_weeks": 19, "upside_weeks": 33, "downside_breadth": "36.5%", "average_gain": "3.1%", "average_loss": "-2.2%", "distribution_scale": "11%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "14 of 26", "detail": "12 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+10.3%", "detail": "Week of 13 Feb.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-8.7%", "detail": "Week of 6 Mar.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "-1.2%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "negative"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.1%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "3.5%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "33/19", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.1% / -2.2%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "14.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.3x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.41% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "6,336 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,514 JPY", "fair_value": "3,578 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.62", "relative_leadership": "10.25", "volume": "17.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "6,410 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,457 JPY", "fair_value": "3,552 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.80", "relative_leadership": "13.99", "volume": "19.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "6,535 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,393 JPY", "fair_value": "3,527 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.76", "relative_leadership": "16.22", "volume": "12.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "6,203 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,326 JPY", "fair_value": "3,500 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.72", "relative_leadership": "11.67", "volume": "14.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "6,469 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,266 JPY", "fair_value": "3,475 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.79", "relative_leadership": "9.35", "volume": "13.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "6,331 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,197 JPY", "fair_value": "3,449 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.71", "relative_leadership": "5.51", "volume": "2.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "6,140 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,126 JPY", "fair_value": "3,423 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.69", "relative_leadership": "3.14", "volume": "2.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "6,325 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5,061 JPY", "fair_value": "3,399 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.87", "relative_leadership": "3.72", "volume": "6.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "6,092 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,985 JPY", "fair_value": "3,373 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.89", "relative_leadership": "8.10", "volume": "4.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "6,113 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,914 JPY", "fair_value": "3,349 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.90", "relative_leadership": "7.87", "volume": "4.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "6,237 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,837 JPY", "fair_value": "3,324 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.65", "relative_leadership": "10.83", "volume": "25.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "6,230 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,752 JPY", "fair_value": "3,298 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.33", "relative_leadership": "16.36", "volume": "20.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "5,772 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,669 JPY", "fair_value": "3,271 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.16", "relative_leadership": "11.76", "volume": "26.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "5,277 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,598 JPY", "fair_value": "3,248 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.47", "relative_leadership": "0.47", "volume": "9.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Positive", "rating_tone": "positive", "overall_score": "72", "primary_driver": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 87.10416666666666, "score_label": "87", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "87/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 76.1484767824669, "score_label": "76", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "76/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 87.10416666666666, "score_label": "87", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "87/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.20605, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.41% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.41%", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 55.0, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is ORIX (TSE:8591) Undervalued After Its Dividend Reset And New Earnings Guidance?", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/sentiment/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 87.10416666666666, "score_label": "87", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "87/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.20605, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.41% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.41%", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 76.1484767824669, "score_label": "76", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "76/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "The main constraint is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-1.2%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -2.1%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "100/59", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 60.41%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "55/100", "detail": "2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "72", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.1% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -2.1% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and 78.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-1.2%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -2.1%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "100/59", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 60.41%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "55/100", "detail": "2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 76.1484767824669, "score_label": "76", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "76/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 87.10416666666666, "score_label": "87", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "87/100", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.20605, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.41% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.41%", "url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 55.0, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.", "detail": "Is ORIX (TSE:8591) Undervalued After Its Dividend Reset And New Earnings Guidance?", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/sentiment/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/", "api_path": "/terminal/9e5c7176-653b-425e-a9b1-c9eace6fea04/report/api/"}