{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"USAR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"9ef2325a-405c-47d6-9490-00319ab0d10a","symbol":"USAR","name":"USA RARE EARTH INC","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Other Industrial Metals & Mining"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":44,"displayedObservations":44,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","take":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.778226,1.206894,1.461096,1.56713,1.638721,1.418824,1.12102,0.910012,0.487265,0.182098,-0.065224,-0.458439,-0.635513,-0.749645,-0.800844,-0.755871],"opens":[385.0,458.0,463.0,385.0,444.429993,427.0,376.5,426.670013,360.0,330.399994,326.0,310.0,276.0,257.0,269.51001,337.73999],"highs":[457.179993,487.0,476.0,453.0,493.5,429.190002,379.0,426.670013,360.0,330.399994,327.0,317.5,284.549988,265.0,303.700012,345.0],"lows":[385.0,442.0,428.220001,350.0,440.0,388.709991,376.5,426.670013,350.0,330.399994,326.0,276.0,248.0,229.199997,268.51001,312.01001],"closes":[457.179993,456.0,428.220001,444.429993,480.0,395.130005,379.0,426.670013,350.0,330.399994,327.0,276.0,248.070007,257.0,302.700012,341.0],"pressureRange":[-1.868142,1.868142],"priceRange":[248.070007,480.0],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":0.098532,"distributionBoundary":0.901468},"latest":-0.755871,"state":"Negative and weakening","context":{"scenario":"negativeWeakening","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":16,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":395.130005}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[567.0,445.0,371.0,315.0,277.0,250.0,218.0,237.0,237.0,237.0,237.0,237.0,324.0,283.0,391.0,396.0,389.0,338.0,305.0,320.0,345.0,352.0,318.0,275.0,290.0,295.0,340.0,384.0,457.18,456.0,428.22,444.43,480.0,395.13,379.0,426.67,350.0,330.4,327.0,276.0,248.07,257.0,302.7,341.0],"consensus":[-100.0,-100.0,-53.1479,-23.6433,-73.7471,-62.8039,-64.5635,-35.8631,-36.3461,-31.5913,-24.4026,-27.3728,52.3348,-36.8367,72.0568,25.5393,13.7449,-24.0617,-48.315,0.0,0.0,15.0101,-27.6926,-60.1301,0.0,0.0,49.3119,48.7746,80.5662,33.7317,0.0,51.7307,60.2835,-37.2793,0.0,22.7138,-52.2584,-34.0234,-18.2225,-67.5111,-64.3996,-25.9548,9.252,-33.3507],"supportDates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-67.6651,-70.4141,-27.6442,-32.6982,-31.9287,-31.0902,-30.1808,42.7442,-48.194,60.8412,6.9407,2.7251,-35.406,-45.7859,0.0,0.0,10.6172,-42.9522,-62.7823,0.0,0.0,45.9198,34.0629,81.996,23.6579,0.0,42.1397,58.9978,-35.4699,0.0,31.8251,-63.1598,-33.397,-4.496,-75.2908,-71.7005,-15.3794,23.3993,-32.2297],"force":[-100.0,-100.0,-53.1479,-23.6433,-38.8728,-33.8471,-36.1913,-0.3895,-5.6637,-2.1876,-3.3701,-0.0,96.2049,-66.0276,98.204,2.9119,9.7999,-70.5914,-80.8607,0.0,0.0,11.0085,-42.9306,-86.7885,0.0,0.0,84.7075,63.0471,96.4887,2.8855,0.0,61.2781,73.2181,-79.2827,0.0,18.5529,-51.4844,-19.9052,-2.4666,-65.0926,-53.2597,-5.9666,46.423,-51.7949],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-98.6574,-77.9317,-78.1429,-70.5944,-62.4311,-52.2083,-36.5973,-43.7156,31.9598,-3.0061,66.1981,62.9572,49.3855,-22.1387,-27.9585,0.0,0.0,22.8888,-0.6313,-38.0571,0.0,0.0,27.9059,55.3932,67.559,67.2776,0.0,55.8724,52.5139,-9.3446,0.0,15.2728,-40.3527,-44.8238,-45.1641,-60.3475,-64.0128,-60.8418,33.4671,-21.4574],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,40.0,16.6667,14.2857,12.5,22.2222,30.0,36.3636,83.3333,61.5385,85.7143,80.0,68.75,58.8235,55.5556,26.3158,45.0,23.8095,40.9091,52.1739,33.3333,24.0,61.5385,77.7778,75.0,68.9655,30.0,80.6452,90.625,81.8182,55.8824,54.2857,72.2222,29.7297,13.1579,61.5385,35.0,24.3902,47.619,46.5116],"confirmation":[54.6667,54.6667,39.674,30.2325,67.3382,87.1407,87.7065,55.8537,56.0846,54.5413,52.9128,53.2156,86.2303,57.8376,92.0259,30.433,6.6038,36.3345,84.4912,27.4529,24.3341,72.7482,54.5615,88.0136,29.0024,28.6784,84.9102,84.267,94.2447,55.3409,36.9404,84.9909,87.7045,81.237,49.6768,75.0028,84.533,78.4668,28.2269,89.4113,88.1571,54.1,33.6842,79.2514],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,13.1264,18.5972,17.7098,29.9834,19.39,0.369,34.2156,13.6864,20.894,55.5422,13.7536,37.13,38.4645,54.3586,23.7764,47.8655,39.4991,8.0651,27.9264,7.1839,39.453,43.2599,0.0985,25.5391,9.7074,33.1212,49.3724,21.9896,0.2703,26.4524,37.5765,31.4758,23.5373,27.3311,31.433,16.0952,16.7967,34.9829,31.1214,28.7051],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-33.4,"control":-32.2,"force":-51.8,"direction":-21.5,"confirmation":79.3,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":28.7,"intensity":46.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-33.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-32.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-51.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-21.5","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"79/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"42.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"13.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"42%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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USAR Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-14, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/9ef2325a-405c-47d6-9490-00319ab0d10a/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}