{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"EQR Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"a0fbcd88-0f46-47fd-917f-27aead8d99f2","symbol":"EQR","name":"Equity Residential","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Reit - Residential"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.6,"averageExpectedMove":10.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-2.7,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.2,"medianReturn":-8.0,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.7,"medianReturn":-8.0,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.2% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics 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5,23.1184,10.3449,17.2795,46.4853,37.6735,-13.3094,22.2077,0.0,-40.4607,-51.7623,-46.7133,14.5171,21.5834,43.3318,37.3244,51.9254,51.8964,-22.3881,51.2858,0.0,54.3456,50.2307,-15.4834,48.2917,53.1844,44.6198,50.6658,0.0,-14.306,0.0,21.9824],"intensity":[25.0,21.1538,15.3846,50.0,30.7692,23.0769,28.8462,53.8462,9.6154,28.8462,90.3846,84.6154,9.6154,30.7692,36.5385,25.0,25.0,36.5385,57.6923,44.2308,57.6923,59.6154,50.0,11.5385,73.0769,38.4615,40.3846,15.3846,23.0769,82.6923,75.0,57.6923,76.9231,71.1538,69.2308,53.8462,84.6154,80.7692,65.3846,82.6923,21.1538,92.3077,46.1538,92.3077,98.0769,96.1538,61.5385,9.6154,50.0,50.0,21.1538,71.1538],"confirmation":[29.2247,76.4362,76.5936,25.0263,77.3586,24.8416,81.2328,84.0046,29.1688,29.2861,89.9702,29.9138,79.0167,7.8919,75.9619,51.1602,1.5046,24.5768,81.6041,4.1611,55.1814,80.2066,73.4562,73.3302,83.1918,50.6434,31.0839,73.2835,24.7163,85.1897,87.0655,52.9326,32.5517,77.8442,83.9038,27.6487,86.875,78.6002,32.8854,86.934,5.9042,88.449,8.0355,82.4462,88.3447,87.7084,7.5566,76.7396,7.1017,77.7404,24.8427,75.1372],"persistence":[50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[44.8427,36.6497,36.4242,42.565,6.6577,25.487,27.5437,24.5953,37.9693,33.8187,16.5134,35.4304,30.2151,46.6162,34.9433,46.6293,40.9759,24.6062,15.3434,38.5815,20.024,18.0056,19.1644,7.028,26.9138,38.9413,30.6138,27.4956,38.9099,23.8624,20.5828,39.0594,51.2113,28.8481,25.83,41.9599,21.1544,32.2895,24.2472,19.2484,6.3895,13.934,42.0513,21.3548,14.2078,10.3284,33.2074,35.3424,6.7734,32.6056,35.5372,35.0762],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":20.5,"control":10.4,"force":34.5,"direction":22.0,"confirmation":75.1,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":35.1,"intensity":71.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+20.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+10.4","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+34.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM 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