{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"C1NC34 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"a2b56ab8-95c4-45fe-9335-33da1f94e69f","symbol":"C1NC34","name":"Centene Corporation","exchange":"SAO","country":"BR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"BRL","sector":"Healthcare","industry":"Healthcare Plans"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":6.9,"averageExpectedMove":9.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":0.5,"medianReturn":-0.3,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":61.1,"averageReturn":-1.5,"medianReturn":2.6,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":79.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":18,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":72.2,"averageReturn":3.3,"medianReturn":10.4,"confidenceLow":49.1,"confidenceHigh":87.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 9.9% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-10-03","price":204.009995}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-06","price":398.519989}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[430.32,442.41,398.52,419.16,415.74,407.2,390.8,408.4,353.16,369.25,372.96,349.2,341.36,350.0,357.1,344.41,364.35,366.52,375.9,373.97,386.08,378.12,377.52,373.09,339.51,327.69,328.35,336.93,348.5,331.85,335.32,346.19,364.67,367.41,353.11,342.43,336.96,356.76,335.94,335.94,326.0,326.0,326.0,299.5,299.5,181.38,174.88,156.85,157.35,142.37,137.75,154.0,158.56,155.25,155.68,178.31,169.7,187.1,204.01,199.0,192.0,191.9,187.0,197.3,193.78,192.41,211.27,206.43,222.3,222.3,221.99,221.99,246.0,248.91,245.22,225.71,197.62,197.62,197.62,197.62,230.42,177.65,189.72,178.0,178.0,189.0,191.42,199.11,271.1,274.8,295.96,293.33,293.33,299.63,326.4,310.22,333.32,350.28,337.7,349.0,349.0,307.98,334.77,339.0],"consensus":[39.2612,56.3719,-49.6737,38.2333,-13.8136,-26.5408,-49.4026,27.4391,-72.593,0.0,0.0,-72.6396,-44.2002,0.0,-12.0923,-54.5544,25.4829,14.4786,34.9631,24.2403,50.2407,0.0,0.0,-18.4678,-69.4082,-67.832,-44.8675,-17.9729,19.8458,-54.7873,-20.484,31.8898,57.2762,32.1115,-16.2092,-25.1447,-51.3503,31.7014,-56.0063,-19.8711,-55.5837,-31.2816,-27.544,-71.1569,-39.3708,-89.0024,-73.7239,-87.2909,-42.2674,-86.0469,-69.1172,0.0,-21.9297,-35.8036,-26.0687,25.9578,-35.1173,35.2107,55.1611,0.0,0.0,0.0,-11.1919,33.9104,16.5669,0.0,51.8045,13.312,62.7661,37.4563,20.1213,34.3912,75.7571,62.4289,22.1966,-23.9425,-62.215,-31.3829,-31.5467,-31.2697,69.6334,-67.5629,0.0,-44.856,-35.2278,24.8022,0.0,41.7156,75.2867,67.1558,86.6579,29.5222,44.1148,51.4267,83.1523,19.7925,59.5654,58.6486,28.346,57.2102,40.6413,-46.9056,58.0812,13.7074],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-26.6484,-43.6127,-41.4088,20.7094,-50.4962,34.6796,49.4895,0.0,0.0,0.0,-8.2244,41.5126,17.7422,0.0,36.3034,1.1644,66.0122,29.1503,3.6933,26.5714,85.6526,64.8849,1.1153,-34.5444,-57.2398,-29.8484,-28.846,-27.7809,72.4301,-61.6252,0.0,-45.3931,-30.2649,20.2766,0.0,33.9187,71.9155,70.2785,88.6722,9.7314,36.74,45.9308,82.5802,18.1247,56.8873,55.1972,20.8328,49.9803,35.6674,-41.9324,68.4531,10.3319],"force":[-31.5038,-17.1763,-7.4459,80.356,-37.0156,53.9979,70.2016,0.0,0.0,0.0,-16.5198,37.6175,11.2126,0.0,66.0552,11.3276,52.5699,10.1281,7.9825,8.8485,61.9214,40.0472,14.8476,-78.8296,-93.4163,-10.4312,-10.4312,-10.2912,88.4164,-93.6161,0.0,-28.6464,-10.4274,80.3668,0.0,80.4657,87.8343,52.4592,94.4092,8.3641,9.4335,22.4259,86.1911,50.938,37.6371,34.4008,13.8196,44.1849,8.3582,-95.5635,79.8094,5.9284],"direction":[-54.7037,-40.1842,-32.4762,6.8999,-16.1857,22.3983,50.8999,0.0,0.0,0.0,-10.7776,22.5744,19.0482,0.0,59.3411,44.7947,66.3393,66.469,58.9703,61.5729,74.3306,75.6089,72.7496,-27.379,-45.6142,-48.1022,-49.7156,-50.2414,53.0208,-55.7394,0.0,-55.8205,-58.6141,9.7149,0.0,22.9477,70.1769,74.0846,78.8191,79.202,77.3154,78.4225,81.6355,72.2203,78.2892,79.9131,67.0508,74.7766,69.3851,-17.8336,30.7075,23.1216],"intensity":[59.6154,7.6923,11.5385,88.4615,44.2308,59.6154,71.1538,53.8462,21.1538,9.6154,53.8462,25.0,7.6923,26.9231,88.4615,30.7692,61.5385,55.7692,5.7692,7.6923,84.6154,57.6923,11.5385,80.7692,94.2308,92.3077,3.8462,5.7692,92.3077,96.1538,94.2308,40.3846,7.6923,36.5385,26.9231,28.8462,96.1538,94.2308,75.0,69.2308,15.3846,26.9231,80.7692,59.6154,75.0,61.5385,44.2308,38.4615,7.6923,94.2308,82.6923,67.3077],"confirmation":[34.7046,78.7705,54.0086,56.8496,79.0611,79.8481,86.1964,30.6732,31.1017,27.8757,71.789,78.8485,73.1203,28.3169,85.248,6.1106,87.7249,79.2797,30.2022,78.3459,91.6698,87.2577,9.4627,37.6803,88.9355,77.4274,77.4926,77.4201,90.8125,90.5046,32.7655,81.8517,78.5927,34.4382,26.672,82.6488,92.5255,88.9944,95.9361,33.0451,81.1721,83.6564,94.7101,37.7369,86.4335,86.0812,33.515,86.0205,80.0971,84.5685,87.0901,57.5341],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[12.8603,37.0003,38.4289,18.1888,33.827,19.2617,22.3745,44.46,50.721,21.3119,40.6191,25.0667,0.5179,6.4248,23.0066,27.3576,18.2372,31.0605,31.5833,30.8343,11.3607,18.4702,38.1831,28.0641,18.8102,34.2559,34.1365,33.2627,13.82,3.7208,18.9726,14.1448,31.703,13.2621,6.5794,18.0759,12.2295,16.2716,6.632,35.1526,12.0258,11.6501,3.9089,23.1507,18.1877,19.9885,9.9212,18.8191,10.7395,25.6659,36.6821,31.619],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":13.7,"control":10.3,"force":5.9,"direction":23.1,"confirmation":57.5,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":31.6,"intensity":67.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+13.7","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+10.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+5.9","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+23.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"58/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"63.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.0%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"30.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"93%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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