{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"5MZ Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"a55fd64c-b848-42cb-bfc9-3d09b171bc99","symbol":"5MZ","name":"Kingsmen Creatives Ltd.","exchange":"SES","country":"SG","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SGD","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Consulting Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.8,"averageExpectedMove":13.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":3.1,"medianReturn":0.9,"confidenceLow":29.0,"confidenceHigh":71.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":7.2,"medianReturn":0.2,"confidenceLow":29.0,"confidenceHigh":71.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":68.8,"averageReturn":19.2,"medianReturn":15.2,"confidenceLow":44.4,"confidenceHigh":85.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":8.6,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":10.8,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":12.0,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":13.5,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":12.9,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":12.0,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":14.3,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":14.8,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":16.0,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":18.2,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.2,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":19.0,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":18.5,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":19.2,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":13.4,"averageExpectedMove":13.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.8,"medianReturn":-7.8,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.6,"medianReturn":-12.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":66.7,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 66.7% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.2% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.5% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-02-28","price":0.279639}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-05-01","price":0.556229},{"date":"2026-05-22","price":0.565},{"date":"2026-06-05","price":0.565}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-04-24","price":0.618033},{"date":"2026-05-29","price":0.575}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.2436,0.23,0.2255,0.23,0.221,0.2255,0.2345,0.23,0.2345,0.239,0.239,0.239,0.23,0.2436,0.2345,0.2345,0.2436,0.239,0.2345,0.239,0.239,0.2436,0.2436,0.2436,0.239,0.2526,0.2661,0.2796,0.2977,0.3293,0.3247,0.3202,0.3112,0.3157,0.3112,0.3157,0.3428,0.3383,0.3661,0.3518,0.3518,0.3566,0.3566,0.3613,0.3661,0.4184,0.4326,0.4659,0.4897,0.4659,0.4802,0.3993,0.4136,0.4184,0.4469,0.4992,0.4992,0.4992,0.4897,0.4849,0.4802,0.4849,0.4897,0.4849,0.4802,0.4802,0.4802,0.4707,0.4659,0.4707,0.4707,0.4707,0.4707,0.4802,0.4754,0.4802,0.4754,0.4802,0.4754,0.5277,0.523,0.5372,0.5325,0.5943,0.5657,0.5705,0.5895,0.618,0.5562,0.5752,0.57,0.565,0.575,0.565,0.56,0.56,0.535,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.535],"consensus":[20.6714,-51.782,-46.5535,-12.9123,-44.482,-9.8838,32.6566,-11.0483,24.3886,34.0549,17.6747,21.6957,-37.4793,29.8015,-22.5159,0.0,43.4506,-17.2449,-22.5571,14.8513,9.7395,35.3208,8.1457,14.9052,-23.1177,57.2843,71.8053,66.3711,84.1883,89.7213,31.0488,47.5971,0.0,29.268,12.0361,27.0978,77.2472,19.7735,83.0351,0.0,19.2567,26.1752,30.5511,24.5485,54.8559,76.7187,63.1278,85.5522,83.8725,0.0,66.4651,-54.8687,0.0,0.0,45.3026,68.3816,28.1155,27.8836,14.09,0.0,0.0,25.6403,20.3778,0.0,-8.8734,0.0,9.3435,-27.2449,-32.5885,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,36.5755,-18.5116,17.2637,-18.548,20.8841,-20.2837,79.7188,17.5871,74.636,24.7037,78.2278,0.0,47.9782,67.6703,68.0697,-35.61,45.1828,0.0,-16.8632,35.9568,-16.5196,-18.9083,0.0,-55.4222,0.0,-22.7362,-37.8999,-22.1453,19.5473,-41.723,-34.3544],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,0.0,60.7739,64.3721,18.2207,18.8124,6.6861,0.0,0.0,46.1311,27.4753,0.0,-13.7424,0.0,24.0605,-26.7596,-33.7023,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,33.0289,-20.2465,17.4753,-22.2678,34.9508,-20.1679,86.6415,11.1877,77.2574,19.3268,72.3151,0.0,48.8116,61.6519,65.3631,-36.5207,43.2511,0.0,-15.0912,45.0063,-21.7928,-23.8337,0.0,-63.8364,0.0,-25.8141,-35.8265,-31.2937,29.6684,-45.7263,-34.4221],"force":[0.0,0.0,72.1108,88.8804,2.5972,2.4386,22.6058,0.0,0.0,14.2012,8.1411,0.0,-22.5376,0.0,7.1937,-30.9654,-30.4101,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,72.0263,-43.364,20.0175,-38.614,22.7365,-38.7714,98.8108,27.935,87.8389,16.1111,98.4882,0.0,27.5985,80.4661,79.2239,-92.04,71.2075,0.0,-29.1665,32.7261,-26.179,-21.4238,0.0,-48.1045,0.0,-16.0826,-35.7826,-9.1017,44.3594,-46.4964,-36.463],"direction":[0.0,0.0,8.4725,58.3218,57.6513,56.4256,48.7628,0.0,0.0,10.393,21.0068,0.0,-6.4513,0.0,5.9403,-25.1421,-32.8715,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,15.3069,-1.2227,15.0548,-0.0361,3.4849,-7.2106,58.1701,57.4164,62.2095,60.0022,70.5135,0.0,61.5828,65.4086,63.1958,-5.738,28.8013,0.0,-10.1004,27.9222,-3.5934,-11.4825,0.0,-51.0328,0.0,-23.9711,-41.782,-21.0068,9.7426,-33.7382,-32.7708],"intensity":[96.1538,73.0769,82.6923,100.0,92.3077,44.2308,44.2308,44.2308,71.1538,26.9231,34.6154,21.1538,26.9231,40.3846,36.5385,36.5385,40.3846,25.0,17.3077,17.3077,25.0,53.8462,38.4615,11.5385,11.5385,23.0769,42.3077,92.3077,67.3077,55.7692,34.6154,92.3077,90.3846,34.6154,78.8462,80.7692,94.2308,80.7692,61.5385,78.8462,48.0769,48.0769,21.1538,21.1538,67.3077,57.6923,25.0,61.5385,26.9231,55.7692,57.6923,59.6154],"confirmation":[28.1272,2.5865,83.0781,90.5679,53.7034,53.6188,8.3258,4.3904,49.9135,75.544,74.0398,27.3868,49.8913,23.9528,26.6341,76.8392,78.3449,29.1122,4.7764,24.2681,1.3262,80.8386,52.2489,73.6051,51.8312,51.8584,52.3893,93.9864,32.9642,92.246,32.8469,93.7405,38.2204,82.7192,90.1362,90.1635,59.6585,83.2811,25.2062,73.7982,79.2698,50.8336,74.0523,23.9418,85.3839,4.6104,75.0259,80.095,74.5496,31.6022,81.4358,79.0566],"persistence":[50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[51.1696,44.9975,62.2912,15.5737,35.377,35.2965,36.9083,23.1001,24.1617,35.3409,10.1889,1.9677,4.4367,15.8643,30.8442,23.0842,33.5488,50.635,48.1109,2.683,41.7687,29.6377,46.7872,39.3794,46.8054,10.4421,10.1419,9.969,41.0539,12.6402,37.6005,10.7001,47.9689,20.5575,15.3883,4.0529,2.7976,14.9168,28.0959,38.4313,11.2301,9.1345,7.6186,6.824,19.3332,26.9163,9.6807,17.5405,23.6227,9.7736,16.9624,5.6994],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-34.4,"control":-34.4,"force":-36.5,"direction":-32.8,"confirmation":79.1,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":5.7,"intensity":59.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-34.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-34.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-36.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-32.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"79/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"31.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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leadership","title":"Strength versus the research benchmark","description":"Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.","reason":"Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.","series":[{"label":"Relative 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