{"ticker": {"uuid": "a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520", "symbol": "4578", "name": "Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "JPX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "4578 closed the latest completed week at 12,705 JPY. The 4-week return is 13.6% and the 12-week return is 13.8%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.15.", "description": "Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, consumer products, and other businesses worldwide. It develops pharmaceutical products in the fields of psychiatry, neurology, oncology, cardiovascular and renal system, autoimmune space digestive system, ophthalmology, and diagnostics, as well as intravenous solutions and medical devices. It also provides clinical testing, medical equipment and tools, food products, cosmetics, functional food products, chemical products, soft drinks, beverages, analytical and measurement equipment, nutritional products, vehicle headlight testers, synthetic resin molded products, paper products, quasi-drugs, household products, and packaging materials and electronic parts. In addition, it offers IT solutions; adhesive tapes; flaky titanate and compounds; infusion and clinical nutrition products; hydrazine; plant-based food products; reinsurance underwriting services; wine; stable isotopes; food supplements; software and services for management of mental healthcare systems; anticancer drugs; terracess; bio-pesticides; dietetic food products; spring and mineral water; and polyolefin foams. Further, it engages in the warehousing and transport, medical device operational management, shared service, environmental health management, and venture capital and incubation businesses; rental of medical devices and related products; purchase and sale of agricultural products; import and export trading business; tuberculosis research and development activities; rental of space and office businesses; manufacturing and development of xenotransplantation products; and processing and marketing of functional films, as well as planning, design, production, and construction of ceramic boards and arts, ceramic walls, reliefs, terracotta, ceramic OT and portraits, and ceramic sign boards; and operation of travel agency, and Hotel Ridge and California Table. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.", "setup_signature": "Leadership continuation", "composite_score": "80", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "12,705 JPY", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "14.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "13.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "13.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "94.2%", "hint": "49 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "2.3x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "sector": "Healthcare", "industry": "Drug Manufacturers - General", "currency": "JPY", "market_cap": "6169.1B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "10,736 JPY", "fair_value": "7,747 JPY", "vs_trend": "18.3%", "vs_fair_value": "64.0%", "high_52": "12,735 JPY", "low_52": "7,597 JPY", 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Jul", "return": 4.678091709124595, "return_label": "4.7%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 11.340081947457218, "volume": "1.3M"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": -1.0176991150442478, "return_label": "-1.0%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 52.83717246840891, "volume": "6.1M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": -1.6540008940545372, "return_label": "-1.7%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 44.331680611507075, "volume": "5.2M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 1.4090909090909092, "return_label": "1.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 36.37537444478876, "volume": "4.2M"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": -0.49305244285073957, "return_label": "-0.5%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 100, "volume": "11.6M"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": 14.45945945945946, "return_label": "14.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 91.26553730675205, "volume": "10.6M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "2.3x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "4.6M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "5.2M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "5.3%", "volatility_52": "4.2%", "downside_weeks": 22, "upside_weeks": 30, "downside_breadth": "42.3%", "average_gain": "3.6%", "average_loss": "-2.4%", "distribution_scale": "15%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "15 of 26", "detail": "11 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+14.5%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-9.7%", "detail": "Week of 5 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+14.5%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "5.3%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "4.2%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "30/22", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.6% / -2.4%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "18.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "2.3x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "12,705 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,736 JPY", "fair_value": "7,747 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.15", "relative_leadership": "9.17", "volume": "10.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "11,100 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,615 JPY", "fair_value": "7,700 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.25", "relative_leadership": "-2.69", "volume": "11.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "11,155 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,541 JPY", "fair_value": "7,660 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.47", "relative_leadership": "-2.68", "volume": "4.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "11,000 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,473 JPY", "fair_value": "7,622 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.70", "relative_leadership": "-3.29", "volume": "5.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "11,185 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,412 JPY", "fair_value": "7,583 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.93", "relative_leadership": "-7.92", "volume": "6.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "11,300 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,347 JPY", "fair_value": "7,543 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-1.18", "relative_leadership": "-8.60", "volume": "1.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "10,795 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,273 JPY", "fair_value": "7,503 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-1.23", "relative_leadership": "-12.27", "volume": "888.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "10,447 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,206 JPY", "fair_value": "7,466 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.95", "relative_leadership": "-17.52", "volume": "1.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "10,134 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,141 JPY", "fair_value": "7,432 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.65", "relative_leadership": "-13.96", "volume": "1.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "10,512 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,080 JPY", "fair_value": "7,401 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.39", "relative_leadership": "-11.85", "volume": "1.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "11,640 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10,007 JPY", "fair_value": "7,366 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.20", "relative_leadership": "-2.20", "volume": "5.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "11,575 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9,896 JPY", "fair_value": "7,323 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.06", "relative_leadership": "1.69", "volume": "5.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "11,163 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9,784 JPY", "fair_value": "7,281 JPY", "activity_pressure": "-0.06", "relative_leadership": "1.22", "volume": "4.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "10,954 JPY", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "9,681 JPY", "fair_value": "7,239 JPY", "activity_pressure": "0.02", "relative_leadership": "-2.64", "volume": "3.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "60", "primary_driver": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 78.25382017031612, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "78/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 50.256944444444436, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.75; 1 reversal markers", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 78.25382017031612, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "78/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 50.256944444444436, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.75; 1 reversal markers", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 57.0, "score_label": "57", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.", "detail": "Will Otsuka\u2019s Upgraded 2026 Guidance and Higher Dividend Change Otsuka Holdings' (TSE:4578) Narrative?", "metric": "57/100", "url": "/sentiment/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 78.25382017031612, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "78/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "14.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 13.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "97/62", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "57/100", "detail": "6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "80", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.5%, after a 13.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.5%, after a 13.6% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 2.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 13.6% over four weeks, 13.8% over 12 weeks, and 63.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 49 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "14.5%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 13.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "97/62", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "57/100", "detail": "6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 78.25382017031612, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "78/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 50.256944444444436, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 2/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.75; 1 reversal markers", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 57.0, "score_label": "57", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.", "detail": "Will Otsuka\u2019s Upgraded 2026 Guidance and Higher Dividend Change Otsuka Holdings' (TSE:4578) Narrative?", "metric": "57/100", "url": "/sentiment/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/", "api_path": "/terminal/a6896cc8-80c5-4d26-8c63-1cd58d8c3520/report/api/"}