{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DEXP3 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"a776bb68-25b2-41e3-b0b1-b38e95e140f1","symbol":"DEXP3","name":"Dexxos Participações S.A.","exchange":"SAO","country":"BR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"BRL","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":6.9,"averageExpectedMove":10.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-2.0,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":56.2,"averageReturn":1.3,"medianReturn":1.7,"confidenceLow":33.2,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":6.5,"medianReturn":5.1,"confidenceLow":35.7,"confidenceHigh":80.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":56.2,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 56.2% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.3% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.1% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-12-27","price":6.685564},{"date":"2025-03-07","price":6.495002},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":7.203398},{"date":"2025-12-12","price":7.436841}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[7.6098,7.5786,7.0869,7.2508,6.8527,7.1025,6.9542,6.7903,6.923,6.7903,6.9698,6.72,6.4078,6.6264,6.4313,6.5561,6.6342,6.7491,6.6856,6.5347,6.6538,6.9635,6.9555,6.8602,6.5109,6.7411,6.6856,6.3203,6.495,6.4712,6.4632,6.2806,6.0662,6.098,6.1933,6.495,6.6198,6.5364,7.2034,7.8287,7.8204,7.6953,7.3785,7.5369,7.6286,7.8704,7.6453,7.2284,7.3368,6.8949,7.1867,7.0033,7.1534,6.9533,7.1867,6.97,7.02,6.8532,6.7865,6.4864,6.453,6.6698,6.5781,6.6365,6.6448,6.7365,6.7865,6.9283,7.4368,7.92,7.63,7.85,7.89,7.28,7.42,7.44,7.48,7.61,7.63,7.52,7.28,7.15,7.1,7.01,7.01,7.43,7.4,7.34,7.37,7.27,7.21,7.3,7.11,6.97,7.05,7.07,6.87,7.0,7.3,7.15,7.21,7.25,7.4,7.1],"consensus":[0.0,-29.4717,-65.0911,-11.0968,-62.4122,0.0,-33.8535,-45.7606,-10.0354,-38.6523,0.0,-39.6758,-55.5773,0.0,-40.6454,0.0,0.0,11.8751,0.0,-22.2383,0.0,33.4198,9.466,0.0,-36.7325,13.646,-13.2742,-52.6499,0.0,-13.6338,-13.6241,-32.929,-47.9057,-15.629,-10.1718,35.2661,32.4027,9.876,68.0974,79.3801,38.4672,20.0921,0.0,19.8861,28.5363,47.4747,0.0,-38.3782,0.0,-57.3896,0.0,-31.1623,0.0,-32.1872,24.4997,-24.2588,-9.1254,-28.5915,-24.3312,-57.513,-39.8463,0.0,-29.0762,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.3762,22.0356,64.1828,75.8837,9.4985,53.2676,38.5032,-41.853,19.142,0.0,0.0,26.48,11.8298,0.0,-33.9691,-36.7773,-22.8958,-35.1975,-24.147,40.2125,8.9731,0.0,20.0054,-23.2392,-18.6904,14.9552,-37.265,-42.4994,0.0,-10.8799,-44.1556,9.5923,39.7543,-9.8541,23.5123,17.5939,42.6682,-33.2645],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-32.0261,23.7764,-27.7289,-8.4477,-32.4677,-18.6032,-62.2366,-40.7379,0.0,-28.3228,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5096,10.5818,59.4078,77.4551,4.2257,49.8364,36.8386,-35.8983,25.0664,0.0,0.0,22.7565,6.4921,0.0,-35.5022,-36.2815,-15.5316,-32.213,-23.1967,40.1549,4.4329,0.0,19.7971,-25.6173,-17.0729,21.1084,-39.3078,-50.3669,0.0,-2.5085,-50.7051,18.8534,47.032,-15.2808,20.4263,12.7675,48.3135,-31.4711],"force":[0.0,-56.5483,62.3321,-30.3326,-0.8266,-29.2305,-17.2452,-61.4364,-23.3259,0.0,-25.0235,0.0,0.0,0.0,23.1232,38.6153,87.5214,91.2438,32.7455,50.5295,18.2972,-89.28,33.5106,0.0,0.0,27.4473,0.2286,0.0,-51.0575,-40.2803,-14.5175,-32.0664,-11.5952,67.4654,1.6631,0.0,21.5106,-33.692,-20.1113,30.3447,-44.2419,-32.4344,0.0,-0.6636,-34.9392,29.7867,41.9626,-22.2823,28.3397,14.8288,50.343,-65.4739],"direction":[0.0,-14.9704,1.6969,-15.9546,-15.8275,-23.705,-35.9388,-49.3122,-50.6275,0.0,-32.8321,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.2617,23.2832,52.9697,63.1164,55.3575,59.1446,54.8385,-14.7819,2.1079,0.0,0.0,30.0445,26.2165,0.0,-20.0109,-34.8419,-37.2965,-40.845,-34.1984,20.812,19.3832,0.0,19.1683,-13.0552,-19.5241,3.0697,-29.9468,-40.6972,0.0,-28.6925,-43.2536,15.4164,29.8596,-5.2252,23.5909,25.0848,30.7344,-12.3072],"intensity":[28.8462,80.7692,96.1538,76.9231,1.9231,46.1538,36.5385,71.1538,28.8462,48.0769,9.6154,7.6923,1.9231,90.3846,48.0769,98.0769,92.3077,88.4615,61.5385,48.0769,55.7692,94.2308,92.3077,40.3846,17.3077,53.8462,26.9231,38.4615,53.8462,19.2308,71.1538,15.3846,3.8462,78.8462,67.3077,5.7692,19.2308,19.2308,34.6154,23.0769,42.3077,65.3846,9.6154,3.8462,46.1538,28.8462,75.0,30.7692,11.5385,25.0,36.5385,73.0769],"confirmation":[27.599,79.0448,54.6992,75.895,48.0109,77.1097,75.6573,86.4518,80.2337,30.9289,77.1924,3.0435,26.0055,25.0432,72.8954,75.7312,89.3225,92.727,9.8484,85.0145,79.7306,82.9291,51.8064,1.5413,25.4576,76.5598,26.18,3.7476,79.3675,79.8831,75.1835,79.2133,75.359,81.6994,25.3844,26.7832,74.4508,75.7189,74.0489,51.1491,80.1063,81.1732,4.6641,26.0656,81.7491,29.4994,80.6778,49.8974,75.7181,73.6193,81.8017,44.64],"persistence":[25.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[34.6017,27.9112,12.2498,5.4205,20.485,5.3252,35.0577,19.7845,29.6348,36.6044,25.706,35.3222,38.6924,17.5727,36.8979,37.423,17.887,12.0557,45.1755,23.3269,29.4678,28.0124,41.3473,44.6984,48.6225,28.3221,26.0736,15.3637,12.8623,28.8978,37.8879,31.7695,32.6353,22.0937,43.4726,49.8485,39.1474,27.4353,33.6508,20.5074,28.0035,27.1094,37.2364,40.5225,23.7589,4.6083,27.7504,30.8096,37.458,38.4144,8.6896,1.9834],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-33.3,"control":-31.5,"force":-65.5,"direction":-12.3,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":2.0,"intensity":73.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-33.3","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-31.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-65.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-12.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"10.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"30%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price 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