{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"JWL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"a786f305-f3f9-45da-bd80-1bf9bd7c3c55","symbol":"JWL","name":"Jupiter Wagons Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Railroads"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":20},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":20},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":20},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":20},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":20},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":20},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":19},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":19},{"week":10,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":19},{"week":11,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":11.7,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":12.6,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":19.1,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":19.7,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":19.3,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":20.1,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":21.4,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":23.1,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":21.3,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":21.1,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":24.4,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":21.6,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":26.9,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":27.8,"averageReturn":18.4,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 27.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 18.4% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 55.6% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 9 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.9 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.1% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 127.4%, while the average adverse move was 0.0%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-02","price":352.279297},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":322.5},{"date":"2026-01-30","price":323.399994}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[552.3062,572.7528,544.69,556.6858,526.8207,516.5172,489.0413,504.5031,522.1096,457.1202,521.3614,492.7322,435.1246,423.5532,489.5401,491.8344,554.0806,539.4667,503.4058,508.194,447.7434,488.343,421.4085,399.6622,341.2067,311.7295,314.7221,289.4346,315.0713,294.3225,347.0422,368.3396,367.8907,369.9855,383.0034,374.674,352.2793,333.4758,421.0094,395.8716,395.2,399.75,390.4,369.55,387.6,381.1,370.75,366.6,352.7,336.1,331.95,314.2,340.9,317.55,323.35,336.3,339.75,336.4,339.7,334.4,319.2,322.75,322.65,312.8,304.0,298.4,285.8,267.05,260.8,260.25,347.55,338.25,293.65,322.5,303.75,323.4,298.55,293.75,289.35,267.2,298.6,262.15,262.6,251.2,256.61,268.16,286.23,279.12,283.73,298.9,275.15,276.95,290.75,277.9,275.6,277.3,262.95,262.3,256.8,254.3,246.55,258.8,260.0,256.5],"consensus":[-16.4318,0.0,-31.1343,0.0,-35.852,-38.2688,-47.0365,-10.9432,0.0,-62.5414,33.9458,-34.8262,-63.9626,-45.1094,19.908,0.0,53.8118,10.975,-21.0937,0.0,-57.5337,17.2954,-59.379,-40.5154,-70.9246,-62.5244,-31.2774,-58.3026,0.0,-45.5478,25.5314,21.9169,0.0,20.3278,18.1739,0.0,-26.4008,-33.6132,60.1433,0.0,0.0,19.7056,-10.8961,-24.8935,19.0047,-15.2447,-22.8388,-16.5175,-35.4921,-44.5382,-35.4146,-50.2521,11.9021,-46.1764,-15.6544,17.8539,0.0,0.0,13.2824,-18.1622,-40.3135,-10.8143,-20.4998,-37.102,-39.9093,-41.7852,-55.7481,-64.4574,-42.0401,-37.9596,65.1201,13.9009,-35.8515,48.0252,-38.5696,32.287,-30.9689,-27.1399,-23.468,-55.9554,33.5877,-58.1881,-26.1635,-41.1762,-13.0684,10.3041,32.4588,0.0,8.6973,36.0188,-30.6885,0.0,26.0731,-24.7331,0.0,0.0,-29.8773,-29.1814,-20.5651,-34.216,-35.6724,11.7416,0.0,-18.8498],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[10.7769,-54.6636,-18.1161,9.8333,0.0,0.0,14.1073,-25.794,-46.1704,-7.7014,-21.7489,-41.0255,-42.6595,-45.9903,-61.343,-70.4098,-35.1394,-35.8829,55.6846,9.1666,-45.6206,36.4038,-30.3139,33.9266,-33.2527,-25.3556,-26.6937,-58.4798,33.5497,-52.9594,-25.2029,-47.7216,-3.2226,5.1039,29.2406,0.0,0.8385,31.9171,-37.3608,0.0,18.7737,-29.7794,0.0,0.0,-29.4787,-34.8361,-15.6007,-37.2445,-37.8394,10.7736,0.0,-26.0885],"force":[57.6219,-47.0684,-2.5189,51.9623,0.0,0.0,19.0961,-21.204,-43.841,-2.1588,-13.1761,-34.7612,-40.3002,-33.591,-52.553,-63.5322,-29.2821,-14.4566,96.6456,29.6372,-76.6389,83.2231,-78.7593,63.1994,-64.2102,-32.3568,-18.8531,-64.275,80.3106,-90.4738,-11.9732,-35.1739,-10.0823,44.4176,55.7639,0.0,7.966,43.3457,-46.4212,0.0,49.9487,-30.7831,0.0,0.0,-24.6625,-20.0422,-7.2783,-22.8299,-23.8636,51.2365,0.0,-19.8176],"direction":[19.469,-35.8396,-25.8219,2.6572,0.0,0.0,8.1871,-7.2674,-31.1002,-23.6383,-24.3036,-34.2899,-36.4869,-42.8323,-51.636,-58.3155,-59.0396,-57.1208,53.3852,50.4101,-4.4469,36.1655,-19.2976,8.3327,-4.6151,-25.4529,-23.0778,-47.1277,0.2576,-41.1024,-37.3972,-37.983,-40.8569,8.1196,19.4903,0.0,20.1178,35.4729,-11.8254,0.0,17.3611,-14.6444,0.0,0.0,-34.0577,-29.2469,-35.7293,-38.8877,-41.6308,15.3626,0.0,-9.8858],"intensity":[57.6923,51.9231,3.8462,17.3077,34.6154,23.0769,13.4615,5.7692,28.8462,11.5385,13.4615,19.2308,25.0,3.8462,40.3846,48.0769,59.6154,3.8462,96.1538,84.6154,78.8462,69.2308,50.0,53.8462,69.2308,3.8462,75.0,63.4615,78.8462,82.6923,75.0,59.6154,34.6154,51.9231,50.0,57.6923,3.8462,42.3077,75.0,48.0769,82.6923,78.8462,21.1538,19.2308,44.2308,15.3846,28.8462,1.9231,34.6154,50.0,32.6923,1.9231],"confirmation":[32.0392,82.6743,50.2887,52.2083,24.3029,1.6135,72.415,51.1216,80.9186,26.2398,74.3177,79.7415,80.741,81.0575,85.6567,88.5075,81.1692,79.4624,89.943,32.1828,58.8487,84.6179,81.6929,79.2489,56.2217,76.871,75.32,86.1208,57.5059,87.6838,75.9545,80.8937,5.7773,6.1484,79.1461,27.6592,25.7517,79.8118,78.1981,47.7622,77.1822,76.0221,24.9293,0.6407,77.4079,76.9733,51.5849,78.556,79.0223,30.9197,24.4307,81.9511],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[41.3679,20.0497,19.0751,35.9942,1.6387,45.5954,35.5267,1.8912,25.2652,33.1941,33.4144,28.0918,22.4167,28.5847,22.1179,17.7691,28.9795,31.0193,16.6138,42.6399,58.8488,24.5437,25.6533,38.7875,23.3119,22.9103,9.9711,19.3225,16.7159,7.6371,19.9696,10.0731,41.0701,9.3345,26.0433,48.1169,41.2516,29.3587,11.8766,8.2786,6.0754,31.351,0.1445,1.7945,34.0443,28.3851,35.8299,31.7225,28.0801,21.2945,18.7379,23.0353],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-18.8,"control":-26.1,"force":-19.8,"direction":-9.9,"confirmation":82.0,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":23.0,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-18.8","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-26.1","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-19.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-9.9","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"42.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"11.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"25%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}