{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"BAER Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"ab787332-d159-4be8-a320-6c09694443cc","symbol":"BAER","name":"Julius Bär Gruppe AG","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":43,"displayedObservations":43,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence conflict","headline":"Price is ahead of Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"The gap can close through stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price. Until then, the upward structure should be treated as vulnerable rather than fully aligned.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-0.001272,0.046626,0.110498,0.175084,0.23514,0.293498,0.384791,0.476798,0.603638,0.803289,0.973598,1.014206,0.921421,0.87699,0.859285],"opens":[70.059998,73.120003,73.940002,70.0,71.82,70.400002,70.019997,74.019997,78.080002,78.199997,78.959999,79.32,76.339996,76.720001,80.279999],"highs":[72.900002,75.019997,74.940002,72.239998,72.32,71.18,70.599998,74.019997,79.339996,79.400002,81.459999,79.82,77.379997,80.900002,80.800003],"lows":[69.419998,72.459999,67.879997,68.260002,71.660004,70.400002,70.019997,73.400002,78.080002,77.940002,78.699997,73.739998,75.360001,76.18,79.779999],"closes":[72.900002,73.279999,68.739998,70.199997,71.660004,70.519997,70.599998,73.879997,79.339996,79.160004,79.459999,75.760002,76.480003,80.900002,80.360001],"pressureRange":[-1.156195,1.156195],"priceRange":[68.739998,80.900002],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":0.06,"distributionBoundary":0.94},"latest":0.859285,"state":"Positive but weakening over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"positiveWeakening","latestDirection":"slight easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Distribution risk building","detail":"Price remains extended inside distribution conditions while Market Dynamics is shrinking. A descent through the zone would strengthen the rollover warning.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price remains extended inside distribution conditions while Market Dynamics is shrinking. A descent through the zone would strengthen the rollover warning.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Distribution risk building","detail":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":15,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[55.5021,56.3104,56.2527,60.0632,60.1979,59.3319,59.6398,62.6035,64.0661,64.9706,65.1246,67.2222,70.032,69.8395,68.1075,70.4554,67.1838,69.4354,69.6471,67.4147,63.431,58.9277,60.0439,61.545,66.26,68.4,66.98,68.86,72.9,73.28,68.74,70.2,71.66,70.52,70.6,73.88,79.34,79.16,79.46,75.76,76.48,80.9,80.36],"consensus":[100.0,100.0,85.714,26.0504,68.4928,39.9029,59.3676,80.6915,81.3792,72.3145,64.3891,84.4607,90.8547,59.153,16.7572,67.0889,-19.5569,51.2437,42.7282,-11.5355,-51.4749,-68.8942,-24.401,-17.446,42.6055,49.6285,0.0,45.903,63.7283,33.1432,-14.4418,21.7413,9.4098,0.0,28.9396,53.9631,75.5664,48.0245,35.6191,0.0,14.3357,58.7659,26.8271],"supportDates":["2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,23.302,51.4033,77.0513,80.2394,69.2419,61.6606,83.4199,91.2632,58.2832,6.4891,70.6794,-23.8182,65.7864,45.9505,-8.0192,-54.7993,-79.575,-10.2831,-1.7591,52.2263,56.2819,0.0,51.6555,77.8371,27.5322,-31.3062,22.7581,10.7585,0.0,36.4035,57.2154,81.8285,50.8134,27.5044,0.0,26.5965,74.2342,29.3503],"force":[100.0,100.0,85.714,26.0504,24.8851,21.3692,55.1357,88.1709,81.9673,62.0211,44.1588,85.847,95.4097,26.3536,25.1849,48.0283,-48.3621,56.6905,35.6793,-21.4832,-47.4988,-54.301,-8.0343,-8.2078,50.5576,47.0676,0.0,38.2908,50.2121,8.6536,-35.5403,13.0115,6.9808,0.0,20.4539,54.757,81.9791,21.0222,9.5133,0.0,0.7016,47.5948,1.1116],"direction":[null,null,null,null,99.6411,72.1136,71.4924,79.5091,82.2616,83.1785,81.9576,84.66,87.1343,83.5753,73.2831,76.6002,-5.8883,30.7328,44.0806,-8.4485,-50.5156,-67.1114,-63.7038,-53.6979,25.9303,43.8538,0.0,44.7659,57.2585,57.0482,-19.9022,26.8148,19.5759,0.0,26.4707,49.679,63.8293,64.1246,63.54,0.0,11.0643,49.0673,42.3116],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,60.0,83.3333,85.7143,75.0,77.7778,20.0,63.6364,83.3333,30.7692,57.1429,73.3333,87.5,52.9412,16.6667,78.9474,95.0,95.2381,40.9091,47.8261,95.8333,48.0,53.8462,40.7407,89.2857,75.8621,93.3333,67.7419,78.125,27.2727,11.7647,80.0,100.0,8.1081,39.4737,94.8718,57.5,85.3659,78.5714],"confirmation":[54.6667,54.6667,50.0952,31.0028,65.2575,80.457,86.99,94.1047,94.0766,90.8738,88.0295,95.0855,97.2061,85.9426,11.1954,88.8328,53.6606,84.3424,81.4091,72.0481,84.3001,89.4387,31.4156,6.7909,81.7295,83.7017,28.8233,82.3693,87.7662,77.945,31.9199,74.6757,49.3136,25.9667,76.8883,85.2428,92.2813,82.5024,78.7262,31.205,49.4253,86.2289,61.0958],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,15.5152,27.7419,19.2906,5.7468,8.7548,13.8097,17.7737,7.669,4.5562,20.3426,39.4669,14.8111,36.4396,36.5949,13.8066,40.0838,21.2761,15.5355,37.7618,40.3961,17.2893,25.0933,47.3104,26.562,17.1338,30.7607,33.8638,10.1519,24.6577,35.099,19.095,18.7064,11.9145,25.8911,32.1133,31.3339,46.6187,1.1095,2.485],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":26.8,"control":29.4,"force":1.1,"direction":42.3,"confirmation":61.1,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":2.5,"intensity":78.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+26.8","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+29.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+1.1","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+42.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"61/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"66.7","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.2","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"95%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[55.5021,56.3104,56.2527,60.0632,60.1979,59.3319,59.6398,62.6035,64.0661,64.9706,65.1246,67.2222,70.032,69.8395,68.1075,70.4554,67.1838,69.4354,69.6471,67.4147,63.431,58.9277,60.0439,61.545,66.26,68.4,66.98,68.86,72.9,73.28,68.74,70.2,71.66,70.52,70.6,73.88,79.34,79.16,79.46,75.76,76.48,80.9,80.36],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,57.2062,57.5927,57.9649,58.8083,59.7643,60.7109,61.5134,62.5513,63.9115,64.9893,65.5562,66.447,66.5809,67.0999,67.5631,67.5361,66.7897,65.3603,64.3936,63.8757,64.3092,65.053,65.4034,66.0318,67.2806,68.3714,68.4384,68.7587,69.2862,69.5105,69.7086,70.4671,72.0803,73.3675,74.4753,74.7088,75.0309,76.098,76.8729],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60.1414,60.8598,61.3967,62.0677,62.4467,62.9643,63.4594,63.7524,63.7285,63.3729,63.1263,63.0092,63.25,63.6315,63.8795,64.2484,64.8893,65.5108,65.75,66.0797,66.493,66.7913,67.0734,67.5776,68.4489,69.2423,69.9992,70.4259,70.8744,71.617,72.2646],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,66.1038,67.0104,68.3416,70.2444,71.5308,72.0743,73.0189,73.1523,73.614,74.0231,74.0528,73.6287,73.345,72.9309,72.8518,72.8599,72.9149,72.7325,72.9488,73.8754,74.7658,74.9067,75.1508,75.3695,75.4475,75.6739,76.2083,78.173,79.7095,81.1244,81.7988,82.3696,82.9759,83.2219],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,53.6838,53.7283,53.5392,53.0351,52.9201,53.1609,53.196,53.5422,53.7569,53.9754,54.2872,55.5043,56.0497,56.8429,57.0702,57.6682,58.52,59.4365,59.8459,59.8026,59.7432,59.9638,60.0175,59.9616,59.9516,59.9745,59.7826,59.0334,58.4694,58.0358,58.1959,58.9301,60.5209,62.3066],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"range","eyebrow":"Acceptance map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,90.4545,97.9339,99.0494,100.0,98.3051,99.4924,96.9925,81.6229,96.1814,73.1876,86.6513,87.9171,74.5684,50.748,23.8205,30.4948,39.4707,67.664,80.4601,71.9692,83.1525,100.0,90.3936,65.3288,72.3309,80.7121,74.1679,74.6271,93.4559,100.0,98.8991,91.6178,76.1108,79.1284,97.653,95.3898],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-1.2747,-0.2995,-0.1479,0.0,-0.3139,-0.1098,-0.657,-4.1701,-0.8665,-6.2567,-3.1149,-2.8196,-5.9345,-11.493,-17.7766,-16.2191,-14.1246,-7.5457,-4.5597,-6.541,-3.9178,0.0,-2.3194,-8.3711,-6.425,-4.4788,-5.9984,-5.8918,-1.5196,0.0,-0.3023,-2.4552,-6.9973,-6.1134,-0.6875,-1.3504],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From low","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,13.9405,16.6025,18.2487,18.5289,22.3468,27.4606,27.1103,23.958,28.2312,22.2767,26.3748,26.7601,22.697,15.4466,7.2504,9.282,12.014,20.5955,24.4903,21.9059,25.196,28.1037,28.7715,20.7936,21.8754,24.4101,22.4309,22.5698,28.2643,37.7435,37.431,37.9518,31.5282,32.7782,40.4518,39.5143],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.5}],"guides":[{"label":"Range centre","values":[50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,55.5568,53.1484,51.9368,51.2645,48.7292,46.375,44.2117,41.7023,39.2223,37.9634,37.9613,37.9014,38.2281,36.6916,35.2649,34.7106,34.1959],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,45.574,42.1866,35.1653,31.3575,29.0576,27.4159,23.7371,20.9241,18.3456,16.3185,17.8187,22.6879,25.3544,26.7493,24.9666,31.1311,34.0971,29.1317,26.7654,25.7417,25.0285,24.6894,30.6556,38.661,37.3709,39.7415,34.5305,32.9832,37.1981,36.2591],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative 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deceleration and rollover","description":"The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.","reason":"Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of 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