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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":67.2,"averageExpectedMove":67.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-35.3,"medianReturn":-35.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-67.2,"medianReturn":-67.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-20.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-38.4,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-35.3,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-43.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-45.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-49.2,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-51.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-56.3,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-56.8,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-63.1,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-67.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-65.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-72.8,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-76.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":56.2,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 56.2% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -9.4% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 34.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 72.1% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 299.4%, while the average adverse move was 59.5%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-11-15","price":11.88},{"date":"2025-10-10","price":14.37}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-01","price":20.29}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[13.02,14.59,14.39,17.77,17.69,17.49,16.48,19.54,19.31,19.64,17.38,18.2,11.88,12.17,11.94,10.99,10.95,10.81,10.41,10.39,11.11,11.38,12.28,12.11,12.49,12.91,12.19,10.52,9.4,9.7,9.36,8.69,6.9,7.26,7.29,8.32,8.24,7.89,7.72,8.14,7.48,7.66,6.98,7.49,8.55,8.68,7.84,7.35,7.36,6.4,6.83,8.61,11.04,12.33,13.24,13.31,13.41,14.41,17.28,14.37,14.24,14.74,16.64,14.26,11.27,10.42,10.93,11.73,11.46,10.71,10.74,10.11,10.43,12.12,11.38,10.89,10.48,9.9,12.65,12.35,11.07,11.935,10.98,11.42,12.09,13.31,15.18,15.02,20.29,16.08,13.67,12.49,13.12,11.42,11.09,10.31,9.79,8.87,8.76,7.49,6.66,7.03,5.51,4.69],"consensus":[52.8791,68.5761,32.2283,79.0771,38.5886,31.3393,16.1427,69.3834,28.5462,38.4802,-12.8296,27.2243,-64.629,-36.7927,-40.5435,-54.6205,-27.1954,-35.8914,-37.0687,-21.2133,-8.239,0.0,19.6262,0.0,14.7414,15.3314,-15.4117,-50.2007,-49.8749,-14.2114,-38.1057,-46.4057,-63.9616,-22.2425,-34.7599,0.0,-10.1263,-16.5187,-22.6008,0.0,-36.9212,0.0,-41.9577,0.0,43.905,18.526,-21.4872,-27.0453,-20.77,-55.7508,-8.5983,50.8899,71.9632,68.8865,63.1975,42.1198,43.9242,69.5033,83.5276,-12.0275,12.3385,32.4405,56.1401,-20.2372,-55.9023,-43.0213,-12.1178,0.0,-17.6598,-31.3166,-17.3469,-39.539,-15.2737,38.8249,-16.4421,-15.4452,-15.9489,-39.0753,52.619,0.0,-22.6459,26.8535,-32.8611,0.0,27.6156,45.3498,65.3297,25.1578,79.4319,-13.0667,-40.4582,-37.8158,0.0,-53.422,-25.762,-41.7993,-41.7717,-50.4549,-25.6855,-58.7698,-58.1023,-17.6122,-65.0807,-60.5577],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[67.6325,62.8874,56.5861,34.9808,39.1128,64.8492,83.5649,-23.6857,2.1076,32.7558,71.9453,-25.1376,-54.216,-41.1278,-3.5912,0.0,-22.2339,-37.5815,-18.931,-40.8259,-9.9883,40.8767,-24.8104,-23.4809,-16.4049,-38.7928,48.1045,0.0,-32.1,22.6524,-30.3672,0.0,30.3279,49.1516,70.2314,15.5853,76.3665,-25.2079,-38.0732,-32.9084,0.0,-44.4348,-17.3805,-42.9578,-41.6735,-52.9592,-16.1525,-61.9411,-62.1521,-5.9559,-58.7184,-62.643],"force":[92.7668,80.6879,63.606,14.3084,18.7787,78.3061,94.6479,-81.6724,14.6362,23.7183,58.3524,-63.1806,-78.1804,-35.3699,-11.8161,0.0,-11.4121,-32.5225,-1.6424,-30.2393,-3.9509,63.1471,-26.3967,-15.9996,-12.0607,-35.1169,90.2116,0.0,-38.2541,38.2154,-52.183,0.0,33.1542,49.1211,68.4002,1.4934,98.2131,-75.4131,-85.4738,-56.8574,0.0,-82.99,-18.0912,-36.8728,-29.8797,-43.663,-4.7536,-54.4701,-47.1951,-15.3048,-79.546,-53.6549],"direction":[62.0528,67.3131,70.4617,70.1441,67.3841,68.5346,75.5418,-51.0425,43.2985,38.3102,36.4969,-16.0372,-41.9165,-50.6505,-47.1666,0.0,-16.8949,-23.2955,-26.7541,-44.7109,-35.0461,19.1069,-0.2322,-5.8657,-18.2051,-42.2255,30.9265,0.0,-0.6924,23.539,-21.91,0.0,20.5597,38.3111,57.5344,55.1345,69.52,-45.3421,-11.0298,-29.8232,0.0,-42.573,-40.8201,-43.9942,-50.3783,-52.4442,-51.5317,-58.2166,-61.2646,-54.4457,-62.0195,-63.1052],"intensity":[86.5385,84.6154,73.0769,9.6154,3.8462,55.7692,92.3077,92.3077,76.9231,57.6923,80.7692,88.4615,96.1538,98.0769,19.2308,51.9231,51.9231,28.8462,78.8462,17.3077,11.5385,73.0769,61.5385,63.4615,67.3077,15.3846,92.3077,100.0,69.2308,38.4615,42.3077,61.5385,23.0769,69.2308,76.9231,63.4615,100.0,98.0769,100.0,78.8462,17.3077,65.3846,92.3077,23.0769,55.7692,30.7692,59.6154,46.1538,25.0,21.1538,51.9231,75.0],"confirmation":[91.7282,90.4948,88.3364,80.7395,81.3627,90.5802,95.0672,39.3494,6.4045,78.1103,85.7914,33.7979,86.5934,81.5625,6.6746,30.1694,73.391,77.9626,50.3816,80.3494,50.5584,81.1339,50.8202,50.1703,72.9782,80.3878,86.0526,4.5162,52.9116,77.0034,79.1424,25.0417,76.9645,82.5689,88.9244,53.0361,94.0373,38.2361,82.3549,80.7562,5.108,86.1331,76.1378,81.208,81.006,83.9004,53.06,86.627,86.1986,8.0753,89.3636,95.1363],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[13.9582,15.5561,18.401,28.9346,27.3116,13.9467,8.1477,37.1906,19.9107,4.8587,49.5309,6.7514,18.2317,27.7956,43.8171,45.0491,14.3907,24.0716,3.0211,21.1725,26.3727,19.5519,30.37,36.4573,10.3471,30.2508,16.1409,41.9143,36.6422,34.2977,29.0458,34.8149,22.788,19.2647,17.2685,37.2591,10.2772,49.4778,8.8897,22.1597,47.8758,21.8461,28.4233,17.0887,24.5667,15.9437,26.9412,14.5725,16.428,36.6562,17.4276,19.6992],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-60.6,"control":-62.6,"force":-53.7,"direction":-63.1,"confirmation":95.1,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":19.7,"intensity":75.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-60.6","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-62.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-53.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-63.1","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"95/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"31.2","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"43.8%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"1%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[13.02,14.59,14.39,17.77,17.69,17.49,16.48,19.54,19.31,19.64,17.38,18.2,11.88,12.17,11.94,10.99,10.95,10.81,10.41,10.39,11.11,11.38,12.28,12.11,12.49,12.91,12.19,10.52,9.4,9.7,9.36,8.69,6.9,7.26,7.29,8.32,8.24,7.89,7.72,8.14,7.48,7.66,6.98,7.49,8.55,8.68,7.84,7.35,7.36,6.4,6.83,8.61,11.04,12.33,13.24,13.31,13.41,14.41,17.28,14.37,14.24,14.74,16.64,14.26,11.27,10.42,10.93,11.73,11.46,10.71,10.74,10.11,10.43,12.12,11.38,10.89,10.48,9.9,12.65,12.35,11.07,11.935,10.98,11.42,12.09,13.31,15.18,15.02,20.29,16.08,13.67,12.49,13.12,11.42,11.09,10.31,9.79,8.87,8.76,7.49,6.66,7.03,5.51,4.69],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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