{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PCBL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"abda12aa-78da-4f28-9a00-2ad99a8f1ba6","symbol":"PCBL","name":"PCBL Chemical Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Specialty Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":20,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":3,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":16.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":55.6,"averageReturn":2.9,"medianReturn":1.2,"confidenceLow":33.7,"confidenceHigh":75.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":47.1,"averageReturn":6.9,"medianReturn":-0.2,"confidenceLow":26.2,"confidenceHigh":69.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":17.1,"medianReturn":8.4,"confidenceLow":35.7,"confidenceHigh":80.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.4% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-08-30","price":473.596252},{"date":"2024-10-18","price":467.493439}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[484.6878,473.5963,462.1172,467.0575,502.0275,554.1434,524.7435,492.6796,467.4934,415.5713,419.7851,406.0296,380.6497,381.0856,420.2694,455.0457,455.966,450.1053,448.1679,448.2164,378.8576,352.5026,360.618,373.7501,404.1459,360.1753,389.8825,352.1583,384.7182,366.6184,416.1468,416.4419,417.278,407.8347,427.1149,380.6851,354.3224,360.1261,388.5545,386.2921,392.0958,408.9167,397.4568,384.5706,410.1955,402.6212,415.9009,413.5893,381.8163,393.9648,369.8154,372.127,373.996,365.4872,367.7004,378.275,406.8018,368.9301,377.8324,381.2261,356.093,361.7,362.1,347.75,339.4,332.05,325.15,313.9,313.4,307.1,304.25,300.35,285.05,274.6,264.65,266.0,271.4,301.2,305.6,309.4,280.7,253.2,248.05,255.55,258.93,273.17,285.41,282.08,290.58,306.15,274.3,293.2,289.85,289.15,290.25,309.5,317.4,316.7278,305.2875,316.3826,313.5226,313.5226,321.9,309.8],"consensus":[88.1481,31.9628,20.6566,47.8323,66.5111,79.8622,16.2475,0.0,-10.892,-48.6684,-15.4863,-34.7354,-48.4961,-27.4088,20.4066,43.519,19.07,0.0,0.0,0.0,-64.6712,-53.1272,-29.8481,-9.3086,25.9176,-42.2256,23.6831,-47.651,15.6817,-28.1908,46.2917,16.5296,15.3029,18.864,29.683,-43.811,-48.1853,-15.5264,14.613,0.0,8.4362,32.8895,0.0,-15.0708,37.0165,-8.708,32.4692,13.1066,-44.8079,10.9103,-45.8466,-16.5872,-20.6047,-35.0277,-16.5361,0.0,48.6151,-37.5023,10.5505,0.0,-50.1779,0.0,-23.8392,-47.2651,-42.5253,-46.6137,-47.1351,-53.2536,-34.0036,-47.3644,-41.7583,-31.6565,-57.3372,-54.2699,-56.2754,-31.1285,-14.5051,36.7649,17.4629,19.3018,-35.6272,-64.5801,-45.3114,-11.4058,-9.1091,24.8646,33.8734,0.0,23.9592,48.1441,-37.2247,38.7769,0.0,0.0,18.3034,33.934,34.7703,25.4696,9.231,37.5328,0.0,0.0,24.6304,18.3146],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-25.7228,-38.1509,-20.8045,0.0,43.5478,-47.2966,12.1475,0.0,-48.1933,0.0,-26.6695,-47.9485,-49.1656,-50.786,-50.6403,-56.9606,-31.4484,-51.0033,-43.4147,-25.2434,-58.0017,-55.3754,-56.2054,-24.0353,-8.8178,28.5205,6.3966,8.0962,-44.1618,-65.2504,-45.8815,-4.4732,-3.2154,18.462,29.6527,0.0,15.5163,43.4103,-43.9462,31.2713,0.0,0.0,16.8282,32.803,31.9032,17.5944,1.5017,38.3194,0.0,0.0,17.107,23.75],"force":[-12.0284,-28.5136,-5.3699,0.0,73.7037,-56.1356,21.5963,0.0,-64.232,0.0,-16.2437,-52.3408,-33.8362,-36.6656,-33.1513,-43.0821,-11.6035,-32.1581,-25.3946,-20.8294,-56.6216,-44.1877,-47.6764,-2.7545,-16.0881,78.5512,23.4278,21.4313,-56.6378,-83.3215,-34.4793,-24.5534,-15.862,59.2432,49.3958,0.0,25.2374,58.8242,-60.0048,73.3347,0.0,0.0,16.2951,27.3264,18.1371,5.5405,6.2005,41.8377,0.0,0.0,22.3596,38.4763],"direction":[-20.8814,-36.1113,-19.6338,0.0,36.486,-12.9993,0.8353,0.0,-42.4074,0.0,-26.0299,-42.8585,-41.143,-48.9513,-53.1176,-56.2824,-52.924,-54.0674,-51.5535,-46.7193,-57.0891,-60.2081,-62.4975,-59.5021,-42.8571,16.3397,25.8493,30.5872,-10.8659,-50.4274,-52.3969,-45.0138,-33.6813,7.6257,27.6098,0.0,32.6952,45.9255,-13.2714,22.6706,0.0,0.0,21.4237,39.9462,49.928,48.705,29.0869,33.5589,0.0,0.0,34.8507,2.2986],"intensity":[17.3077,7.6923,1.9231,11.5385,55.7692,75.0,36.5385,5.7692,51.9231,21.1538,23.0769,28.8462,32.6923,9.6154,34.6154,23.0769,5.7692,9.6154,3.8462,46.1538,42.3077,50.0,21.1538,17.3077,94.2308,76.9231,65.3846,3.8462,78.8462,75.0,65.3846,53.8462,34.6154,38.4615,28.8462,55.7692,19.2308,53.8462,96.1538,67.3077,67.3077,3.8462,5.7692,84.6154,40.3846,5.7692,38.4615,46.1538,26.9231,96.1538,94.2308,32.6923],"confirmation":[74.2541,78.9627,50.2195,25.7676,84.3987,80.4194,49.0218,24.6525,84.5155,4.0885,75.3539,83.2691,81.2421,82.5496,82.6036,84.6747,78.2374,82.6377,80.8387,77.8978,86.316,85.0423,85.7471,54.5378,29.8947,81.1639,51.2719,74.4122,79.911,89.2266,82.1608,7.8976,5.6276,54.4353,79.3769,26.9114,75.8345,83.8037,80.5037,81.5762,2.2326,24.9912,73.8184,78.6747,78.6633,52.9963,26.5908,80.1297,3.9301,2.9458,75.9272,60.216],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[12.5988,29.8419,1.2214,15.9162,23.7799,28.1109,19.7782,5.2696,24.4431,17.8166,24.6541,24.8296,17.5135,24.22,25.4266,21.88,29.5208,24.6158,28.308,31.236,21.2733,22.8638,21.8623,34.4357,42.0846,30.8688,41.2114,40.3124,48.5143,17.5726,27.3074,44.2242,40.2132,30.7649,32.2962,46.2435,36.4788,24.4742,11.3703,9.422,2.4895,37.4145,33.5339,25.4466,31.1706,35.7913,35.7563,4.9163,16.3746,12.6363,30.738,20.7212],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":18.3,"control":23.8,"force":38.5,"direction":2.3,"confirmation":60.2,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":20.7,"intensity":32.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+18.3","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+23.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+38.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+2.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"60/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.3","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"59%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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