{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"APLZ Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ac300518-5e39-4d1e-9a12-d44a5b8891c9","symbol":"APLZ","name":"Tradr 2X Short APLD Daily ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":31,"displayedObservations":31,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.156323,0.21662,0.228461],"opens":[25.14,20.74,17.92],"highs":[26.75,20.99,23.76],"lows":[17.5,15.72,17.32],"closes":[20.7,18.0,22.84],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"25.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"26.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"17.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"20.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"20.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"21.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"18.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"17.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"23.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"17.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"22.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[17.7096,23.1304],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"slight strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":23,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[106.1,115.1,74.8,69.85,99.6,109.4,119.6,98.65,106.05,118.65,96.8,80.2,51.15,39.0,41.45,24.4,21.85,14.9,13.6,18.63,15.45,12.65,17.263,23.67,26.02,36.19,30.69,24.46,20.7,18.0,22.84],"consensus":[-48.3356,92.0756,-96.7766,15.8093,9.5579,13.3357,31.1863,-11.3497,15.3601,28.0525,-32.1249,-34.7477,-66.252,-54.3105,-33.9111,-64.1613,-35.8403,-47.8746,-35.4235,0.0,-27.8325,-23.9434,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.9817,0.0,-16.9928,-20.5399,-23.6338,-5.2234],"supportDates":["2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,19.4989,27.3076,-22.0547,17.388,29.3576,-25.7923,-26.7151,-59.507,-45.5513,-28.6131,-57.5558,-34.1535,-50.6493,-34.5631,0.0,-31.0838,-26.9998,0.0,0.0,0.0,23.6432,0.0,-23.0094,-25.0356,-23.0438,-13.5218],"force":[-48.3356,92.0756,-96.7766,15.8093,29.2692,12.1989,23.6745,-28.0427,21.6516,34.0889,-57.1583,-50.1759,-84.5722,-52.0078,-4.6029,-71.458,-18.5038,-40.7479,-15.0085,0.0,-10.6427,-6.0792,0.0,0.0,0.0,34.4548,0.0,-20.6493,-18.1227,-17.0405,-17.9541],"direction":[null,null,null,null,4.5216,7.104,40.9847,-12.808,8.5484,22.2493,-21.4811,-32.9076,-60.8747,-65.9657,-60.9004,-66.4984,-50.1514,-49.794,-50.989,0.0,-36.3952,-33.2105,0.0,0.0,0.0,22.602,0.0,-7.5048,-17.1286,-29.0177,-13.3538],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,20.0,16.6667,57.1429,25.0,33.3333,80.0,90.9091,58.3333,53.8462,7.1429,40.0,31.25,11.7647,33.3333,5.2632,5.0,19.0476,9.0909,30.4348,8.3333,44.0,34.6154,33.3333,57.1429,24.1379,13.3333],"confirmation":[38.134,52.1309,53.6352,27.7256,28.0732,49.4722,77.8098,29.3766,73.0761,77.1409,79.1394,79.7118,89.8618,85.4426,55.3724,88.8546,78.9663,83.0604,78.7265,7.1843,76.333,52.4042,4.7391,27.3684,25.0603,76.608,24.1417,50.7908,74.4306,75.3709,27.4485],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,0.0,20.0,33.3333,42.8571,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,17.2479,18.6739,32.869,49.2281,7.6674,7.9834,24.8127,19.5889,16.46,22.8182,32.7456,17.7963,29.198,23.2702,30.9925,17.8279,10.8,2.054,18.2468,20.4749,37.0333,36.8473,45.8375,14.2439,28.2371,38.0895,48.4574],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-5.2,"control":-13.5,"force":-18.0,"direction":-13.4,"confirmation":27.4,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":48.5,"intensity":13.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-5.2","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-13.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-18.0","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-13.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"27/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.2","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"79.2%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"9.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"8%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[106.1,115.1,74.8,69.85,99.6,109.4,119.6,98.65,106.05,118.65,96.8,80.2,51.15,39.0,41.45,24.4,21.85,14.9,13.6,18.63,15.45,12.65,17.263,23.67,26.02,36.19,30.69,24.46,20.7,18.0,22.84],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,96.6123,98.9373,102.6942,101.9589,102.7027,105.6022,104.0018,99.6742,90.8516,81.4241,74.156,65.1095,57.2441,49.5452,43.0097,38.577,34.3721,30.4226,28.03,27.2373,27.0159,28.6839,29.0487,28.2144,26.8481,25.2394,24.8031],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,98.4037,94.0034,90.1106,85.2431,80.5473,75.6846,71.0857,67.2001,63.3668,59.61,56.4732,54.0433,51.9675,50.7988,49.3092,47.4686,45.4857,43.4497,41.9231],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,134.2548,132.4229,131.5471,135.9655,140.2806,141.585,144.5082,146.0493,147.3552,147.7835,147.0468,144.3858,139.2687,138.4127,137.3124,132.0771,124.2315,112.722,104.745,93.4751,74.6201,58.8828],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,69.3052,70.2317,67.5863,55.7191,43.2837,35.2683,24.3418,15.4389,6.817,-0.294,-5.0688,-11.4728,-16.6007,-21.4984,-25.0161,-27.1388,-26.6142,-23.9957,-23.4377,-20.7028,-11.9128,-3.5715],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-35.013,-39.3136,-13.4666,-4.9522,0.0,-17.5167,-11.3294,-0.7943,-19.0635,-32.9431,-57.2324,-67.3913,-65.3428,-79.5987,-81.7308,-87.5418,-88.6288,-84.4231,-87.0819,-89.4231,-85.5661,-80.209,-78.2441,-69.7408,-74.3395,-79.5485,-82.6923,-84.9498,-80.903],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,41.2312,51.8253,69.864,38.5827,14.8175,0.0,0.0,6.2821,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,36.9853,13.6029,0.0,36.4664,87.1146,105.6917,186.087,142.6087,93.3597,63.6364,42.2925,80.5534],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,43.6738,51.0449,63.5957,41.1938,24.9105,1.5385,5.6112,7.5752,2.108,2.95,1.2871,1.1054,4.5803,2.3834,0.9486,4.1195,8.5235,10.1389,17.1295,13.3489,9.0665,6.482,4.6261,7.953],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-36.4356,-31.6675,-23.5488,-38.2456,-48.8357,-67.3684,-75.1196,-73.5566,-84.4338,-86.0606,-90.4944,-91.3238,-88.1148,-90.1435,-91.9298,-88.9869,-84.8995,-83.4003,-76.9123,-80.4211,-84.3955,-86.7943,-88.5167,-85.429],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From low","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,80.0018,93.5042,116.4948,76.6262,46.337,3.3333,21.875,29.5313,13.2251,23.1021,14.1719,13.3333,55.25,28.75,12.2449,53.1766,110.0266,130.8784,221.118,172.3159,117.0364,83.6735,59.7161,102.6619],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.5}],"guides":[{"label":"Range 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