{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"OCTB Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"ae1289bf-d663-4cb1-9b3c-843f29b0fe83","symbol":"OCTB","name":"APTUS OCTOBER BUFFER ETF","exchange":"CBOE","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":45,"displayedObservations":45,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence conflict","headline":"Price is ahead of Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"The gap can close through stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price. Until then, the upward structure should be treated as vulnerable rather than fully aligned.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.381428,0.60304,0.734413,0.855964,0.918297,0.912189,0.924717,0.900635,0.830355,0.859467,0.901917,0.932666,0.854196,0.73755,0.65089,0.547245,0.57736],"opens":[26.385,26.51,26.8,26.83,27.0283,27.15,26.9402,27.19,27.21,26.97,27.22,27.355,27.2305,27.17,27.55,27.73,27.85],"highs":[26.58,26.79,26.925,26.98,27.145,27.2,27.0,27.21,27.21,27.21,27.4,27.41,27.36,27.408,27.74,27.825,27.85],"lows":[26.31,26.49,26.72,26.766,27.01,26.9164,26.71,27.0027,26.83,26.97,27.15,27.25,27.1495,27.02,27.51,27.72,27.7506],"closes":[26.5494,26.7897,26.8149,26.9584,27.145,26.9164,26.9726,27.1499,26.83,27.1754,27.4,27.25,27.18,27.408,27.74,27.825,27.7859],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"26.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"26.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"26.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"26.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"27.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"27.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.55","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"27.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"27.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"27.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.58","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[26.472864,27.901536],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.57736,"state":"Positive but weakening over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"positiveWeakening","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Distribution risk building","detail":"Price remains extended inside distribution conditions while Market Dynamics is shrinking. A descent through the zone would strengthen the rollover warning.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price remains extended inside distribution conditions while Market Dynamics is shrinking. A descent through the zone would strengthen the rollover warning.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Distribution risk building","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":17,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[25.0167,25.2874,25.3182,25.13,25.13,24.8605,25.3999,25.47,25.43,25.4775,25.6669,25.547,25.76,25.77,25.7112,25.74,25.78,25.5725,25.7548,25.7076,25.4102,25.2151,24.9415,24.64,25.14,25.71,26.3193,26.3965,26.5494,26.7897,26.8149,26.9584,27.145,26.9164,26.9726,27.1499,26.83,27.1754,27.4,27.25,27.18,27.408,27.74,27.825,27.7859],"consensus":[51.8889,89.7143,-54.0952,0.0,10.7362,-48.2592,52.308,48.4141,21.3964,50.7252,61.0802,8.6969,60.1798,43.7618,27.5171,22.8952,23.6373,-27.6037,38.3528,0.0,-47.3585,-51.0168,-70.323,-76.6256,9.272,54.7256,67.1418,55.0971,57.9879,67.0593,39.9004,60.0836,65.531,0.0,45.1212,47.7789,-23.4866,65.7039,70.5054,0.0,13.319,60.706,73.213,59.1884,27.9845],"supportDates":["2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-42.9685,60.0536,46.204,12.5139,44.1874,64.9874,0.8013,63.269,41.4335,30.9868,7.1918,24.6196,-29.0782,48.6935,0.0,-49.0804,-47.5161,-64.2567,-74.1514,28.5956,54.1395,77.6381,63.2375,64.1916,76.943,34.7869,64.9564,72.6179,0.0,49.657,50.7855,-23.8401,67.5063,72.3532,0.0,3.2394,62.4458,78.5823,65.6048,20.5431],"force":[51.8889,89.7143,-54.0952,0.0,11.8566,-42.582,48.4422,31.3508,13.0372,46.563,48.6193,21.7058,44.2781,17.5013,5.5157,6.7712,15.4637,-47.8302,42.2242,0.0,-54.9612,-56.5597,-91.6807,-93.7077,42.9347,75.9723,61.9944,32.605,38.461,49.6322,11.2731,40.9286,47.5623,0.0,28.3829,32.4488,-71.9046,82.3975,83.2459,0.0,14.785,76.1721,87.0749,45.9346,4.0821],"direction":[null,null,null,null,26.8739,-58.3607,46.217,63.1281,56.1431,61.1699,65.5154,41.2681,68.0078,65.1803,39.267,52.3591,28.353,-11.4711,23.7696,0.0,-39.96,-51.0583,-62.0004,-67.2519,36.8568,40.2192,58.8227,61.8595,64.8458,68.2115,66.1924,68.1968,70.2665,0.0,51.8934,55.293,-11.5016,51.72,59.2933,0.0,44.9128,47.6703,57.1752,61.3225,59.3936],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,100.0,100.0,85.7143,12.5,22.2222,50.0,36.3636,41.6667,7.6923,42.8571,66.6667,75.0,41.1765,38.8889,15.7895,80.0,42.8571,72.7273,82.6087,95.8333,100.0,100.0,88.8889,32.1429,48.2759,46.6667,22.5806,53.125,45.4545,35.2941,68.5714,77.7778,81.0811,42.1053,20.5128,10.0,46.3415,88.0952,37.2093,4.5455],"confirmation":[39.2711,51.3752,39.9771,0.8838,6.1969,83.3505,84.5027,83.0062,31.3807,84.2048,87.1064,6.8027,86.7259,81.2389,53.4154,29.741,75.2999,77.4271,80.2333,47.7545,83.3602,84.5476,91.2467,93.0785,34.228,86.1686,89.1686,84.8215,85.8665,88.7773,79.9736,86.5687,88.3143,35.4144,81.8596,82.7762,34.1063,89.5065,90.9219,10.5714,6.7133,87.8708,91.7688,86.4386,62.2953],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,25.0,40.0,16.6667,28.5714,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,24.6773,24.8068,11.646,19.4099,31.7619,24.2171,11.506,12.8582,15.7447,22.8352,2.5884,26.4201,6.4133,24.3845,7.2269,16.793,25.7218,23.5576,14.8329,11.6869,46.3146,20.1252,16.4127,22.45,20.9927,16.3548,26.1546,17.406,15.2197,20.0383,2.4261,7.2981,29.7995,5.7546,12.5852,24.73,40.8247,11.1995,10.0093,20.066,35.7475],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":28.0,"control":20.5,"force":4.1,"direction":59.4,"confirmation":62.3,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":35.7,"intensity":4.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+28.0","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+20.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+4.1","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+59.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"62/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"72.5","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"24.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"98%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}