{"ticker": {"uuid": "ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4", "symbol": "BILL", "name": "Billerud AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "BILL closed the latest completed week at 76.95 SEK. The 4-week return is 22.5% and the 12-week return is 24.7%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 1.16.", "description": "Billerud AB (publ) provides paper and packaging materials worldwide. It operates through Region Europe, Region North America, and Other segments. The company offers liquid packaging board, containerboard, cartonboard, and sack paper; kraft paper bags; specialty and formable paper; graphic and label papers comprising coated sheets, web papers, WC Caliper web, coated digital, and inkjet papers; and hardwood and softwood pulp, which are used to produce packaging for food and beverages, industrial, medical and hygiene, and consumer and luxury goods. It also procures and supplies wood. The company serves packaging and paper manufacturers, printers, publishers, converters, and distribution partners. The company was formerly known as BillerudKorsn\u00e4s AB (publ) and changed its name to Billerud AB (publ) in October 2022. Billerud AB (publ) was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "46", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "76.95 SEK", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "1.3%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "22.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "24.7%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "3.8%", "hint": "2 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "sector": "Basic Materials", "industry": "Paper & Paper Products", "currency": "SEK", "market_cap": "15.3B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "70.63 SEK", "fair_value": "88.51 SEK", "vs_trend": "8.9%", "vs_fair_value": "-13.1%", "high_52": "95.15 SEK", "low_52": "58.19 SEK", "drawdown": "-19.1%", 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"volume_height": 26.52688164147195, "volume": "2.4M"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": 1.3166557465433475, "return_label": "1.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 21.6254113647869, "volume": "2.0M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.9x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "2.3M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "2.3M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "3.7%", "volatility_52": "5.1%", "downside_weeks": 26, "upside_weeks": 26, "downside_breadth": "50.0%", "average_gain": "3.5%", "average_loss": "-3.7%", "distribution_scale": "13%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "15 of 26", "detail": "11 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+9.4%", "detail": "Week of 17 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-12.3%", "detail": "Week of 1 May.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+1.3%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "3.7%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.1%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "26/26", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.5% / -3.7%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "8.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.9x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "76.95 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "70.63 SEK", "fair_value": "88.51 SEK", "activity_pressure": "1.16", "relative_leadership": "-12.06", "volume": "2.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "75.95 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "71.16 SEK", "fair_value": "88.52 SEK", "activity_pressure": "0.85", "relative_leadership": "-12.07", "volume": "2.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "71.90 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "71.70 SEK", "fair_value": "88.55 SEK", "activity_pressure": "0.53", "relative_leadership": "-16.03", "volume": "2.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "68.70 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "72.26 SEK", "fair_value": "88.62 SEK", "activity_pressure": "0.23", "relative_leadership": "-19.01", "volume": "2.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "62.80 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "72.95 SEK", "fair_value": "88.67 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.10", "relative_leadership": "-27.20", "volume": "1.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "64.35 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "73.74 SEK", "fair_value": "88.77 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.41", "relative_leadership": "-27.86", "volume": "332.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "64.40 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "74.60 SEK", "fair_value": "88.85 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.73", "relative_leadership": "-26.56", "volume": "662.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "61.95 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "75.47 SEK", "fair_value": "88.93 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "-30.78", "volume": "3.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "61.30 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "76.28 SEK", "fair_value": "89.01 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-1.16", "relative_leadership": "-31.02", "volume": "448.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "62.90 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "77.10 SEK", "fair_value": "89.13 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-1.13", "relative_leadership": "-30.17", "volume": "574.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "61.30 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "77.82 SEK", "fair_value": "89.26 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-1.02", "relative_leadership": "-33.28", "volume": "9.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "62.64 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "78.62 SEK", "fair_value": "89.39 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-1.05", "relative_leadership": "-32.92", "volume": "2.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "61.72 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "79.45 SEK", "fair_value": "89.52 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.97", "relative_leadership": "-32.47", "volume": "1.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "64.48 SEK", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "80.07 SEK", "fair_value": "89.65 SEK", "activity_pressure": "-0.89", "relative_leadership": "-31.19", "volume": "2.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "39", "primary_driver": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 17.527777777777775, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 37.537533981477615, "score_label": "38", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "38/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 17.527777777777775, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.", "detail": "BILL Holdings (BILL) Stock May Be Undervalued As Growth Questions Linger", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 17.527777777777775, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 37.537533981477615, "score_label": "38", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "38/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 22.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "2/100", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Recent", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "46", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 22.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 22.5% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 22.5% over four weeks, 24.7% over 12 weeks, and -10.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 22.5%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "2/100", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Recent", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/"}], "strengths": ["Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 37.537533981477615, "score_label": "38", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "38/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 17.527777777777775, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks", "metric": "Recent", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.", "detail": "BILL Holdings (BILL) Stock May Be Undervalued As Growth Questions Linger", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/", "api_path": "/terminal/ae46ec7f-2011-4bd8-870f-0d21b34f48f4/report/api/"}