{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"VICI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"aefc082e-7569-42ae-8f2b-9646895b2f22","symbol":"VICI","name":"VICI Properties Inc.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Reit - Diversified"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":9.2,"averageExpectedMove":10.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.4,"medianReturn":-6.1,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.7,"medianReturn":-7.8,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-5.8,"medianReturn":-6.1,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-6.4,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.3,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":58.3,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 58.3% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.2% across 12 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.3% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 50.7%, while the average adverse move was 0.0%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-06","price":635.11908},{"date":"2025-04-11","price":621.017456}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-11-29","price":667.970032},{"date":"2025-02-28","price":663.936523},{"date":"2025-04-04","price":657.899719}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[611.8156,639.2628,626.7379,646.6344,637.1101,646.0694,631.6349,621.5108,621.5108,642.0875,634.1933,634.1236,632.1326,647.0649,667.97,635.1191,640.5942,577.7692,585.2404,585.7385,589.8228,602.6731,602.6731,608.6501,611.6385,616.1212,615.6232,663.9365,652.4808,635.616,639.6082,639.6082,657.8997,621.0175,621.0175,623.6591,618.027,618.017,602.7757,615.9138,611.5477,611.5477,609.0556,609.4871,605.4969,605.9957,611.133,618.4648,618.4648,643.9016,623.4524,624.45,620.4598,623.4524,623.4524,623.4524,585.9684,581.2767,638.8753,578.9807,573.9895,572.1527,546.0387,555.0229,559.0159,539.051,529.0685,507.1072,506.109,500.5544,499.5553,506.5491,504.5508,504.5508,495.1192,484.5686,499.3555,506.5491,519.5375,522.5349,523.5339,505.5,505.95,485.0,501.0,493.0,484.7404,484.5405,501.5244,499.5263,483.042,483.042,483.042,478.9436,473.0137,465.0,473.0,465.5,456.0,474.0,470.0,455.0,459.0,450.1],"consensus":[69.1463,77.5457,10.3364,65.5655,15.9593,50.3746,0.0,-11.4101,8.037,49.5453,0.0,9.2833,0.0,52.4991,63.0709,-34.5341,16.5708,-74.0053,-15.6038,-43.6895,-17.2449,21.7001,0.0,25.409,15.1645,24.5175,9.1136,65.5909,8.7749,-17.7105,18.04,0.0,51.174,-48.1838,-16.4261,-14.2274,-35.9214,0.0,-50.6466,17.8353,-20.2157,-13.5914,-23.7914,0.0,-34.8594,-19.3412,14.0784,22.3125,12.4249,63.4431,-15.9189,24.1814,-12.1304,0.0,0.0,0.0,-71.8922,-58.8131,61.9397,-67.2959,-34.8144,-45.3949,-79.534,-13.6591,-30.0516,-68.4187,-59.4464,-81.3666,-47.5026,-68.691,-46.1707,-33.4143,-28.5789,0.0,-56.4047,-57.4371,13.501,11.7476,51.2415,38.6881,30.8075,-39.4418,0.0,-57.6285,9.959,-45.3253,-51.7479,-29.6136,38.8773,10.1843,-55.2715,-18.7832,-25.4485,-34.5392,-37.1381,-44.4818,-15.8805,-41.5774,-55.2964,38.8434,-34.3078,-69.022,0.0,-57.2059],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-19.5193,0.0,0.0,0.0,-67.22,-64.1104,57.2263,-58.2963,-28.8258,-54.8076,-81.8487,-10.2623,-34.5638,-73.0135,-68.2419,-83.8454,-44.537,-70.794,-45.0344,-45.3369,-30.961,0.0,-58.6606,-66.0556,16.7049,19.1176,44.3017,32.7372,25.7058,-54.5194,0.0,-66.6094,27.2256,-55.6888,-63.8774,-39.0189,39.0788,8.3375,-63.2954,-24.2824,-23.0673,-33.5105,-40.1683,-46.0986,-11.3088,-43.4919,-46.9843,34.3006,-45.9606,-73.0338,0.0,-49.9867],"force":[-23.6584,0.0,0.0,0.0,-98.8362,-46.1548,96.4155,-98.6689,-25.3835,-27.2355,-93.5291,-45.6828,-7.6506,-66.9962,-42.3863,-91.7542,-19.0891,-63.1812,-18.0781,-0.8279,-5.9372,0.0,-69.8847,-41.792,74.4809,31.6736,87.5408,44.9729,22.9352,-51.7097,0.0,-53.9274,37.3038,-43.0086,-39.8366,-18.2862,83.519,11.836,-83.2555,-1.151,-9.3923,-22.3484,-21.7223,-28.2151,-11.3328,-27.1386,-66.794,93.6027,-34.1681,-91.5033,0.0,-73.8724],"direction":[-4.5484,0.0,0.0,0.0,-57.9862,-61.8006,42.7009,-55.1717,-48.3949,-47.6087,-66.8922,-59.9283,-51.8249,-64.1835,-61.5804,-71.1142,-71.1873,-70.2233,-67.5356,-44.2471,-42.0292,0.0,-44.1978,-58.7626,33.7175,10.9082,33.2447,40.9999,42.2611,-13.4475,0.0,-50.0083,29.3062,-35.1362,-46.3938,-26.9558,6.76,11.1151,-26.1126,-25.0929,-39.6387,-44.4226,-44.6863,-54.253,-40.5434,-49.7028,-56.5835,4.9214,-21.0902,-48.379,0.0,-53.5517],"intensity":[23.0769,92.3077,94.2308,1.9231,82.6923,82.6923,98.0769,98.0769,98.0769,11.5385,57.6923,23.0769,25.0,59.6154,28.8462,51.9231,36.5385,19.2308,19.2308,34.6154,30.7692,44.2308,26.9231,44.2308,50.0,53.8462,42.3077,13.4615,19.2308,61.5385,51.9231,75.0,57.6923,23.0769,61.5385,42.3077,67.3077,13.4615,67.3077,57.6923,3.8462,11.5385,17.3077,25.0,25.0,17.3077,40.3846,71.1538,51.9231,61.5385,13.4615,40.3846],"confirmation":[50.4241,27.6456,1.1236,0.9686,91.8979,86.3537,88.9432,90.6279,78.9444,81.8295,93.8421,35.0265,55.3642,89.7806,86.3689,94.3161,82.3801,89.7812,81.9358,54.9773,53.7523,5.8877,86.4259,85.7717,35.9897,29.2479,85.6093,80.6624,77.6962,80.7655,26.5785,86.1915,32.6758,82.2756,84.0115,76.9878,59.1315,71.3375,86.4174,50.7228,75.6905,78.6967,79.3682,81.7138,29.4064,80.8356,86.1719,59.5013,78.7967,90.7111,31.0206,94.9238],"persistence":[25.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[16.2916,52.6254,1.9593,6.7255,13.3332,20.3508,0.1258,12.8227,3.6041,6.2623,10.1551,29.4989,10.9031,8.2816,1.2512,6.7245,24.464,11.2115,18.1968,15.138,6.9583,21.8152,8.5193,20.4968,30.91,3.8946,23.6589,30.6174,34.4496,13.9361,43.0532,21.1039,53.1358,17.1014,21.552,12.8015,17.2526,20.8544,20.5704,2.7282,33.8343,30.3949,19.0761,24.8396,31.7408,25.8316,20.8725,17.2104,2.1153,7.1204,18.0941,21.0747],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-57.2,"control":-50.0,"force":-73.9,"direction":-53.6,"confirmation":94.9,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":21.1,"intensity":40.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-57.2","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-50.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-73.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-53.6","detail":"Downward 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