{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"OSMEN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"af499617-7392-4cd6-9547-88fc9a8ca812","symbol":"OSMEN","name":"Osmanli Yatirim Menkul Degerler A.S.","exchange":"IST","country":"TR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"TRY","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Capital Markets"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":11.6,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":13.0,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":11.8,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":14.7,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":18.6,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":20.9,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":19.6,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":17.9,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":18.2,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":15.2,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":12.7,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":17.0,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":19.2,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.6,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":16.3,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":19.4,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":22.8,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 25.6% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.4443,9.2529,9.7696,8.6309,8.564,8.5257,8.1334,8.1429,8.076,7.8541,7.777,7.7963,8.5673,9.0588,8.8949,9.3864,9.5791,9.9068,9.9935,10.0706,9.7815,9.4924,9.7141,8.9551,8.7995,8.187,7.8272,7.8078,9.3635,10.5984,8.4398,9.0135,8.4592,9.1204,8.7509,8.6051,8.1773,8.4008,8.0483,7.784,7.079,7.2259,7.2357,7.5294,8.7141,8.5281,8.675,9.4681,9.7422,9.7699,10.0457,9.8881,10.2033,9.7502,9.4745,8.5782,9.2578,8.854,8.4994,8.6669,9.1495,9.9669,10.5304,9.4407,8.6878,8.559,8.4303,8.4798,8.3708,8.1033,7.7863,8.0934,8.0142,7.9944,8.3411,8.237,8.1277,8.6145,8.4158,8.2171,7.6508,7.5514,7.4024,6.9552,7.0049,7.3328,8.2469,7.7501,7.56,8.0,7.82,7.36,7.52,7.35,7.34,7.63,8.1502,8.5279,8.3291,8.3093,9.015,7.8,7.96,7.73],"consensus":[-58.1169,-36.9082,-29.736,-44.1893,-38.9639,-34.9511,-39.0344,-41.703,-29.9857,-28.5344,-23.855,-15.7751,-14.0208,-9.3086,-19.8872,0.0,0.0,-15.5729,0.0,0.0,-14.9487,-10.1877,-9.7249,-21.0428,0.0,-20.8446,-16.7035,-13.9467,23.1271,31.6024,-25.8395,9.4722,-11.1077,13.3883,-10.2342,0.0,-9.2198,0.0,-14.856,-16.5125,-25.6766,0.0,-9.9673,0.0,36.8628,0.0,22.4973,44.6308,26.4482,23.577,29.7602,0.0,34.992,0.0,0.0,-30.9865,15.1711,-21.1674,-20.9935,0.0,17.0278,40.4276,47.9182,-14.0785,-31.1773,-20.4015,-29.4741,-11.4394,-18.2397,-28.1463,-38.3009,0.0,-15.2952,0.0,26.6852,-12.087,-10.3742,32.2342,-10.327,-16.8821,-30.3896,-27.1855,-32.8685,-51.1161,-27.6839,10.2656,53.9545,-14.769,-9.2242,39.7089,-16.4469,-32.7844,0.0,-32.4082,-17.8073,20.9493,25.2582,45.8314,0.0,18.1238,57.4577,-46.7702,0.0,-26.7432],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[33.1555,0.0,0.0,-40.4532,21.708,-30.4177,-27.7178,0.0,15.6737,32.4676,46.5418,-30.0327,-41.0687,-20.7102,-33.6931,-8.4965,-24.9648,-34.3353,-47.9922,0.0,-16.4298,0.0,22.1802,-19.7877,-15.518,29.0125,-13.9454,-21.5211,-30.5409,-24.2615,-34.1526,-55.1455,-29.9704,11.5576,46.9706,-29.1715,-20.6902,32.9037,-14.0205,-32.79,0.0,-39.7259,-17.9435,24.5016,11.3679,45.6748,0.0,9.8557,45.4898,-42.5249,0.0,-27.4513],"force":[31.1165,0.0,0.0,-42.93,20.2049,-29.7118,-22.0453,0.0,25.2139,49.0996,39.4511,-40.8101,-42.9835,-16.3717,-25.0365,-3.4066,-12.8136,-26.8524,-33.6403,0.0,-8.3087,0.0,52.4771,-20.3728,-15.2569,43.5733,-31.0082,-31.777,-34.2817,-20.8002,-24.8248,-51.0533,-7.3939,51.322,89.617,-36.639,-14.1821,67.1453,-36.9689,-48.8982,0.0,-29.8761,-10.0813,27.401,29.2237,37.4166,0.0,2.2011,81.8986,-91.3376,0.0,-33.4787],"direction":[39.8592,0.0,0.0,-11.6364,4.1049,-4.4925,-12.5574,0.0,12.7281,43.3304,55.5392,-23.2489,-11.4397,-22.9272,-27.8222,-20.5403,-14.4296,-21.9972,-30.554,0.0,-18.9889,0.0,13.411,-2.6323,-1.0078,27.8168,-8.5805,-0.9413,-27.4367,-35.0882,-37.1463,-46.556,-39.5637,20.537,36.4628,-17.3126,-7.4212,27.8888,-4.5613,-21.2682,0.0,-25.8539,-23.1702,12.281,38.3002,52.0209,0.0,38.9465,53.6776,-19.7882,0.0,-21.1227],"intensity":[63.4615,55.7692,32.6923,80.7692,63.4615,32.6923,51.9231,9.6154,69.2308,84.6154,63.4615,86.5385,84.6154,63.4615,5.7692,13.4615,7.6923,15.3846,21.1538,17.3077,7.6923,1.9231,26.9231,15.3846,15.3846,46.1538,51.9231,34.6154,86.5385,11.5385,25.0,46.1538,9.6154,32.6923,86.5385,59.6154,46.1538,50.0,34.6154,69.2308,55.7692,11.5385,3.8462,26.9231,100.0,71.1538,17.3077,23.0769,86.5385,98.0769,98.0769,23.0769],"confirmation":[79.1073,29.9452,27.4346,78.1354,50.2419,52.2263,74.6475,24.949,73.719,81.3224,83.0968,32.7031,78.1858,74.401,77.2322,48.794,73.5689,76.8731,79.9666,28.2425,72.6642,25.0576,77.3939,49.8979,48.7235,78.7096,28.377,51.1189,77.841,76.5493,78.2532,84.2938,53.539,31.5644,86.4587,31.5331,49.8446,81.6467,51.2587,78.982,25.3104,78.182,73.4608,74.8463,76.4151,82.412,30.1913,50.7737,87.3137,84.3894,2.8141,44.64],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[21.5406,0.306,40.9413,33.9156,54.8025,37.5379,38.0701,6.2668,20.9491,28.8517,26.0117,50.5676,16.3996,38.9074,35.1818,40.5881,17.2548,21.8292,23.7552,34.1406,22.953,7.5294,29.95,24.4222,25.5316,33.4078,20.5085,4.2941,31.6348,36.3584,33.5046,24.4275,35.3656,37.0728,21.7592,55.5796,48.7676,26.1515,31.405,20.6931,6.5635,30.4399,33.4079,19.3677,33.6078,26.8247,45.5024,39.5674,20.7199,22.0105,34.2023,28.8435],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-26.7,"control":-27.5,"force":-33.5,"direction":-21.1,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":28.8,"intensity":23.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-26.7","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-27.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-33.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-21.1","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"10.3%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"20.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"32%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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