{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AJAX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"afaf8ead-bb41-4a2d-8eed-6fd09c5c579f","symbol":"AJAX","name":"AFC Ajax NV","exchange":"AMS","country":"NL","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Communication Services","industry":"Entertainment"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":14},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":13},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":13},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":13},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":13},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-6.3,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":13},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":7.7,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":13},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 7.7% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -3.7% across 13 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 1.5% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":8.56},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":8.92}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[10.25,10.2,10.15,10.2,10.2,10.1,10.15,10.1,9.96,10.0,10.05,10.2,10.05,10.0,10.05,9.9,10.0,9.94,9.86,9.82,9.78,9.88,9.96,9.94,9.98,10.1,10.1,10.1,10.1,10.05,10.0,9.94,9.96,9.9,9.94,9.94,9.94,10.0,9.84,9.8,9.84,9.82,9.84,9.76,9.7,9.64,9.8,9.76,9.64,9.66,9.56,9.62,9.6,9.56,9.58,9.7,9.7,9.6,9.46,9.36,9.16,9.12,9.08,9.22,9.2,9.3,9.08,9.02,8.9,8.92,8.92,8.7,8.86,8.88,8.82,9.46,9.18,8.98,9.12,8.74,8.78,8.6,8.56,8.5,8.56,8.48,8.46,8.86,8.58,8.42,8.44,8.58,8.58,8.56,8.44,8.56,8.56,8.5,8.48,8.46,8.48,8.92,9.0,9.0],"consensus":[0.0,-13.3736,-15.3176,0.0,0.0,-12.3473,0.0,-17.3489,-38.7585,-8.7758,0.0,31.7598,-25.4821,-17.8557,0.0,-44.7103,0.0,-16.5572,-28.683,-15.4549,-30.4215,9.8551,22.3907,0.0,12.2192,43.3451,13.5971,13.7528,14.1299,0.0,-18.9515,-28.6722,0.0,-19.0076,0.0,0.0,-8.1609,14.3304,-40.2906,-20.714,-15.2754,-21.2894,0.0,-21.2753,-15.1985,-32.8973,18.1288,0.0,-36.2647,0.0,-40.1027,-10.0497,-10.2542,-26.0635,0.0,27.46,11.9324,-19.9779,-40.4568,-42.9282,-67.5557,-40.9653,-43.5807,0.0,-20.0802,23.4257,-36.0169,-26.3571,-35.9397,-28.2617,-25.1018,-53.1562,13.9285,-14.2848,-30.9888,66.1328,8.862,-20.5954,12.328,-56.7467,-13.1606,-43.2794,-35.8805,-39.8163,0.0,-27.6082,-21.7858,48.785,-29.6141,-40.7187,0.0,8.8554,0.0,0.0,-28.7299,15.3196,8.8412,0.0,0.0,-11.3634,0.0,61.5936,42.8058,33.4828],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-7.5876,-28.3088,0.0,25.2337,9.6952,-27.2447,-40.5298,-40.9268,-68.5116,-34.078,-42.9393,0.0,-22.3086,20.8034,-36.9948,-18.5725,-29.8629,-24.5541,-27.2111,-45.2258,14.0254,-17.0141,-30.0689,59.2972,2.3787,-30.183,4.6594,-54.7354,-6.0522,-38.7955,-33.9795,-46.9834,0.0,-28.0567,-23.0387,43.9442,-41.3064,-51.2432,0.0,23.3983,0.0,0.0,-43.0803,26.0787,16.6868,0.0,0.0,-10.1678,0.0,51.1616,31.7042,28.3922],"force":[-0.6229,-17.8493,0.0,53.054,13.4469,-28.1188,-49.0418,-37.9193,-79.0316,-28.1935,-25.28,0.0,-16.1186,56.1278,-48.303,-22.1461,-33.1825,-13.8982,-9.0036,-71.653,66.8594,-2.1563,-40.2709,96.5524,7.0618,-34.4762,12.8632,-83.2505,-3.4107,-54.3533,-28.8444,-30.7094,0.0,-21.9661,-9.5606,85.0829,-37.7645,-45.0233,0.0,24.3561,0.0,0.0,-26.392,22.6224,10.8517,0.0,0.0,-5.4374,0.0,88.7619,41.0176,9.8784],"direction":[-21.071,-29.3646,0.0,11.723,13.4076,-5.8582,-34.2412,-48.7934,-58.2664,-57.9592,-57.3857,0.0,-20.3633,3.0642,-26.1233,-38.2617,-44.854,-42.7585,-34.1899,-49.0076,23.9899,-19.8287,-25.41,52.2165,27.6457,-0.2769,20.71,-40.114,-33.1211,-40.4939,-43.0788,-38.1304,0.0,-31.1256,-29.0861,28.3903,-10.4298,-25.6161,0.0,18.837,0.0,0.0,-13.9992,2.1929,1.5612,0.0,0.0,-16.9626,0.0,54.11,56.7707,56.1608],"intensity":[30.7692,5.7692,7.6923,86.5385,1.9231,51.9231,88.4615,63.4615,92.3077,96.1538,48.0769,65.3846,88.4615,100.0,96.1538,100.0,57.6923,90.3846,84.6154,100.0,75.0,82.6923,86.5385,100.0,92.3077,90.3846,46.1538,94.2308,90.3846,90.3846,78.8462,82.6923,38.4615,23.0769,11.5385,94.2308,82.6923,75.0,40.3846,44.2308,82.6923,98.0769,40.3846,34.6154,3.8462,23.0769,17.3077,13.4615,5.7692,100.0,76.9231,38.4615],"confirmation":[25.79,76.0558,3.0273,77.6011,71.8986,51.8636,81.2067,81.6149,89.953,80.8246,81.3979,11.0192,74.271,53.8662,79.8849,76.4246,79.5093,76.6625,75.5098,85.6945,33.8533,49.4932,78.2133,90.1937,26.6225,52.2599,49.4115,86.9973,27.209,82.2552,79.2963,80.3545,5.1936,76.6558,74.5798,84.7912,77.5467,81.0008,4.0927,29.7697,1.2613,48.5915,76.9036,50.762,48.4373,2.864,24.6282,48.8072,24.9341,88.6969,81.8125,86.0727],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[19.8746,31.2766,14.9937,24.1876,36.8605,32.8585,23.7243,28.5255,16.2218,29.5163,28.2002,47.64,30.8428,35.9024,18.0084,34.3185,31.7831,35.815,33.3459,23.1434,22.746,9.742,19.7216,16.8618,40.2414,30.8776,36.9512,21.3481,39.7294,23.9178,30.9903,17.5298,32.6131,9.4973,9.0179,19.5088,19.8347,5.1333,1.7789,49.6463,2.0166,39.1913,14.3649,13.9299,10.7278,18.999,15.9475,22.5558,30.9429,18.9275,28.5582,33.2291],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":33.5,"control":28.4,"force":9.9,"direction":56.2,"confirmation":86.1,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":33.2,"intensity":38.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+33.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+28.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+9.9","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+56.2","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"86/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"60.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"73%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[10.25,10.2,10.15,10.2,10.2,10.1,10.15,10.1,9.96,10.0,10.05,10.2,10.05,10.0,10.05,9.9,10.0,9.94,9.86,9.82,9.78,9.88,9.96,9.94,9.98,10.1,10.1,10.1,10.1,10.05,10.0,9.94,9.96,9.9,9.94,9.94,9.94,10.0,9.84,9.8,9.84,9.82,9.84,9.76,9.7,9.64,9.8,9.76,9.64,9.66,9.56,9.62,9.6,9.56,9.58,9.7,9.7,9.6,9.46,9.36,9.16,9.12,9.08,9.22,9.2,9.3,9.08,9.02,8.9,8.92,8.92,8.7,8.86,8.88,8.82,9.46,9.18,8.98,9.12,8.74,8.78,8.6,8.56,8.5,8.56,8.48,8.46,8.86,8.58,8.42,8.44,8.58,8.58,8.56,8.44,8.56,8.56,8.5,8.48,8.46,8.48,8.92,9.0,9.0],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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