{"ticker": {"uuid": "afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c", "symbol": "1288", "name": "Agricultural Bank of China Limited", "exchange": "HKG", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "1288 closed the latest completed week at 6.31 HKD. The 4-week return is 19.1% and the 12-week return is 6.2%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at -0.33.", "description": "Agricultural Bank of China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services. The company operates through Corporate Banking, Personal Banking, Treasury operations, and Others segments. The Corporate Banking segment offers corporate loans and advances, trade finance, deposit products, corporate wealth management services, and other corporate intermediary services. The Personal Banking segment provides personal loans, deposit products, card business, and other personal intermediary services. The Treasury Operations segment conducts money market and repurchase transactions, debt instruments investments, precious metals transactions, and derivative transactions. It offers asset and fund management, financial leasing, life insurance, and investment banking services. It also provides inclusive finance, green finance, pension finance, digital and online financial services, and cross-border financial solutions, as well as services for rural revitalization. In addition, it provides demand, personal call, foreign currency call and time, time or demand optional, savings, agreed-term, and negotiated deposit accounts; certificates of deposit; and loans, including housing, consumer, personal auto, business, fixed asset, working capital, real estate, bonds, commercial drafts, entrusted syndicated loans, trade finances, guarantees and commitments, and loans with custody of export rebates accounts. In addition, it offers credit and debit cards, payment and settlement, private banking, cash management, custody, financial market, financial institution services, and trading. Further, it offers agro-related personal and corporate banking products and services; telephone, mobile, self-service, and SMS banking services; asset custodian services; and reinsurance. The company operates domestic and overseas branches, and representative offices. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.", "setup_signature": "Leadership continuation", "composite_score": "71", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "6.31 HKD", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "7.3%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "19.1%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "6.2%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "75.0%", "hint": "39 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.7x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Banks - Diversified", "currency": "HKD", "market_cap": "2015.9B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "5.58 HKD", "fair_value": "4.09 HKD", "vs_trend": "13.1%", "vs_fair_value": "54.5%", "high_52": "6.52 HKD", "low_52": "4.81 HKD", 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"return_label": "-3.0%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 97.52362288724832, "volume": "605.5M"}, {"week": "29 May", "return": -2.53378378378379, "return_label": "-2.5%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 55.280018143486544, "volume": "343.2M"}, {"week": "5 Jun", "return": 1.0398613518197661, "return_label": "1.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 8.914827565044558, "volume": "55.4M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": 3.9451114922812955, "return_label": "3.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 13.402445246226009, "volume": "83.2M"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": -6.435643564356431, "return_label": "-6.4%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 59.78017267210204, "volume": "371.2M"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": -5.996472663139327, "return_label": "-6.0%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 10.916654585998408, "volume": "67.8M"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": -0.5628517823639821, "return_label": "-0.6%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 90.86920812917154, "volume": "564.2M"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": 3.584905660377366, "return_label": "3.6%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 55.95218830777456, "volume": "347.4M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 3.4608378870673864, "return_label": "3.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 45.078671081222666, "volume": "279.9M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 3.521126760563384, "return_label": "3.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 51.148665715048026, "volume": "317.6M"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": 7.312925170068023, "return_label": "7.3%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 94.12177086185594, "volume": "584.4M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.7x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "338.1M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "480.5M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "4.0%", "volatility_52": "3.5%", "downside_weeks": 21, "upside_weeks": 30, "downside_breadth": "40.4%", "average_gain": "3.0%", "average_loss": "-2.9%", "distribution_scale": "8%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "15 of 26", "detail": "10 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+7.3%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-6.4%", "detail": "Week of 19 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+7.3%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.0%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "3.5%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "30/21", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.0% / -2.9%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "13.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.7x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.37% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "6.31 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.58 HKD", "fair_value": "4.09 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.33", "relative_leadership": "13.98", "volume": "584.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "5.88 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.56 HKD", "fair_value": "4.06 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.60", "relative_leadership": "10.58", "volume": "317.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "5.68 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.54 HKD", "fair_value": "4.04 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.75", "relative_leadership": "8.94", "volume": "279.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "5.49 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.53 HKD", "fair_value": "4.01 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.58", "relative_leadership": "7.24", "volume": "347.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "5.30 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.53 HKD", "fair_value": "3.99 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.26", "relative_leadership": "7.27", "volume": "564.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "5.33 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.54 HKD", "fair_value": "3.97 HKD", "activity_pressure": "-0.07", "relative_leadership": "11.16", "volume": "67.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "5.67 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.55 HKD", "fair_value": "3.95 HKD", "activity_pressure": "0.24", "relative_leadership": "12.22", "volume": "371.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "6.06 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.54 HKD", "fair_value": "3.93 HKD", "activity_pressure": "0.50", "relative_leadership": "16.27", "volume": "83.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "5.83 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.53 HKD", "fair_value": "3.91 HKD", "activity_pressure": "0.63", "relative_leadership": "11.06", "volume": "55.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "5.77 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.53 HKD", "fair_value": "3.89 HKD", "activity_pressure": "0.82", "relative_leadership": "9.21", "volume": "343.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "5.92 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.53 HKD", "fair_value": "3.87 HKD", "activity_pressure": "1.11", "relative_leadership": "10.48", "volume": "605.5M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "6.10 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.52 HKD", "fair_value": "3.84 HKD", "activity_pressure": "1.14", "relative_leadership": "12.60", "volume": "391.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "5.94 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.50 HKD", "fair_value": "3.82 HKD", "activity_pressure": "1.18", "relative_leadership": "8.19", "volume": "383.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "5.93 HKD", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "5.47 HKD", "fair_value": "3.80 HKD", "activity_pressure": "0.99", "relative_leadership": "10.89", "volume": "620.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Positive", "rating_tone": "positive", "overall_score": "64", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.18299999999999, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.37% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.37%", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 61.499999999999986, "score_label": "61", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.60; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "61/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.16366561954108, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 61.499999999999986, "score_label": "61", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.60; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "61/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.18299999999999, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.37% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.37%", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 16 relevant articles.", "detail": "Bank of America Securities: Upgrades Agricultural Bank of China (1288.HK) to \"Buy\"; H-share profits of Chinese banks expected to show improved average growth in the first half", "metric": "62/100", "url": "/sentiment/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.18299999999999, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.37% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.37%", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.16366561954108, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.37% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "7.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 19.1%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "48/42", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 60.37%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "62/100", "detail": "16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive trend", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "71", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 19.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 19.1% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 19.1% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and 29.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "7.3%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 19.1%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "48/42", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 60.37%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "62/100", "detail": "16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.16366561954108, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 61.499999999999986, "score_label": "61", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.60; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "61/100", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.18299999999999, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.37% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 60.37%", "url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 62.0, "score_label": "62", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 16 relevant articles.", "detail": "Bank of America Securities: Upgrades Agricultural Bank of China (1288.HK) to \"Buy\"; H-share profits of Chinese banks expected to show improved average growth in the first half", "metric": "62/100", "url": "/sentiment/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/", "api_path": "/terminal/afb753f1-ab3d-4d49-8dcc-bb93be7cb20c/report/api/"}