{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DOTW Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"b0d22092-e9a8-41b9-b619-f237c46c1bfd","symbol":"DOTW","name":"WisdomTree Physical Polkadot","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":33,"displayedObservations":33,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.906842,-1.20498,-1.063421,-0.95492,-0.798698],"opens":[0.403,0.403,0.375,0.401,0.382],"highs":[0.403,0.403,0.406,0.401,0.382],"lows":[0.403,0.375,0.375,0.382,0.382],"closes":[0.403,0.375,0.401,0.382,0.382],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.41","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.40","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"0.38","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[0.37332,0.40468],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"strengthening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[1.032,1.098,0.937,0.888,0.653,0.653,0.643,0.749,0.749,0.74,0.778,0.628,0.596,0.596,0.622,0.622,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.59,0.59,0.465,0.465,0.471,0.443,0.403,0.403,0.403,0.403,0.375,0.401,0.382,0.382],"consensus":[100.0,97.0149,0.0,58.0,-78.7039,-50.9403,-41.3006,0.0,0.0,-40.1389,0.0,-88.5926,-81.4178,-46.1635,0.0,-32.2075,-55.6177,-30.38,-34.2174,-42.8059,-22.2788,-53.1247,-40.8388,-37.23,-51.8761,-54.962,-42.9801,-42.4065,-40.343,-75.4571,0.0,-58.1391,-32.1268],"supportDates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-40.5379,-22.1331,0.0,0.0,-62.5506,0.0,-88.6684,-77.9098,-36.668,0.0,-33.383,-74.6469,-34.4264,-33.8078,-53.1664,-31.5011,-36.9279,-37.4076,-32.7552,-51.9524,-55.9643,-37.4204,-36.9161,-36.409,-85.0984,0.0,-76.9232,-34.5007],"force":[100.0,97.0149,0.0,58.0,-48.8899,-10.44,-2.6627,0.0,0.0,-26.908,0.0,-96.8932,-83.8248,-10.4027,0.0,-1.4267,-38.2188,-2.7958,-7.926,-17.5434,-1.5754,-61.6996,-10.4091,-5.1977,-30.9781,-34.8365,-17.2584,-17.6277,-16.1035,-81.2764,0.0,-39.9856,-7.0942],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-99.9996,-91.7574,-90.8049,0.0,0.0,-23.9763,0.0,-82.577,-83.7076,-82.5588,0.0,-52.8502,-46.2979,-45.4586,-53.4649,-49.0099,-28.7777,-65.5104,-66.4958,-65.2243,-66.716,-68.1919,-67.7066,-66.3803,-62.1531,-60.2817,0.0,-49.6385,-47.2943],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,60.0,16.6667,71.4286,62.5,11.1111,30.0,81.8182,41.6667,23.0769,28.5714,40.0,25.0,11.7647,5.5556,21.0526,10.0,85.7143,9.0909,13.0435,37.5,52.0,7.6923,11.1111,14.2857,44.8276,40.0,38.7097,40.625],"confirmation":[54.6667,53.7114,0.0,41.2267,69.1557,83.2251,57.6641,40.5788,28.7781,80.0997,32.5463,96.6014,94.1805,81.8272,15.969,54.6837,84.9775,54.1526,55.4879,80.7701,51.9311,85.508,80.1933,56.3389,83.9623,84.9592,81.0544,80.8986,80.231,92.1767,8.2344,85.765,54.8148],"persistence":[null,null,66.6667,75.0,40.0,16.6667,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,10.5186,24.5019,29.0318,41.1407,39.8256,55.1571,45.7255,2.332,5.445,22.7523,43.2643,12.4442,21.1104,5.1648,12.5869,5.1204,16.7962,22.3678,28.4906,30.4411,24.0332,19.3023,25.2932,26.8268,20.7029,4.1967,1.3625,2.7354,10.3873],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-32.1,"control":-34.5,"force":-7.1,"direction":-47.3,"confirmation":54.8,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":10.4,"intensity":40.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-32.1","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-34.5","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-7.1","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-47.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"38.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"58.3","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"2%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[1.032,1.098,0.937,0.888,0.653,0.653,0.643,0.749,0.749,0.74,0.778,0.628,0.596,0.596,0.622,0.622,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.59,0.59,0.465,0.465,0.471,0.443,0.403,0.403,0.403,0.403,0.375,0.401,0.382,0.382],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,0.9367,0.8851,0.8411,0.8243,0.8106,0.7978,0.7942,0.764,0.7334,0.7084,0.6927,0.6799,0.6626,0.6485,0.637,0.6284,0.6214,0.593,0.5697,0.5518,0.532,0.5085,0.4894,0.4737,0.4608,0.4452,0.4372,0.4271,0.4189],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.8528,0.8338,0.8181,0.8036,0.7874,0.7724,0.7585,0.746,0.7345,0.7145,0.696,0.6794,0.6619,0.6427,0.6249,0.6085,0.5933,0.5771,0.5641,0.5506,0.5381],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.1265,1.1094,1.0988,1.0904,1.0806,1.0689,1.0576,1.0485,1.0394,1.0305,1.0216,0.9672,0.8827,0.8364,0.7927,0.7972,0.8032,0.806,0.7883,0.7651,0.7407,0.6956,0.6834,0.6739],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.5019,0.5124,0.4925,0.4702,0.4536,0.4461,0.4404,0.4302,0.4221,0.4157,0.4113,0.4215,0.4427,0.4418,0.4438,0.4183,0.3873,0.3605,0.3436,0.3322,0.3201,0.3275,0.3151,0.3032],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-14.663,-19.1257,-40.5282,-40.5282,-41.439,-31.7851,-31.7851,-32.6047,-29.1439,-42.8051,-45.7195,-45.7195,-43.3515,-43.3515,-46.7213,-46.7213,-46.7213,-46.2659,-46.2659,-57.6503,-57.6503,-57.1038,-59.6539,-63.2969,-63.2969,-63.2969,-63.2969,-65.847,-63.4791,-65.2095,-65.2095],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.4852,16.4852,15.0855,20.9953,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.3624,4.3624,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.8547,0.8547,0.0,0.0,1.2903,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.9333,1.8667,1.8667],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend 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change of 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