{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"2288 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b0d2a712-3228-4067-a3df-0e065651484b","symbol":"2288","name":"Nofoth Food Products Company","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Grocery Stores"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":12.0,"averageExpectedMove":13.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-8.8,"medianReturn":-8.8,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.7,"medianReturn":-12.0,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-29.9,"medianReturn":-28.8,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.9,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-17.3,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-20.1,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-19.0,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-22.1,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-25.0,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-27.7,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-27.3,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-29.9,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":63.6,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":11},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 63.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.7% across 11 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.9% across 11 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-04-25","price":11.690704},{"date":"2025-07-18","price":12.048338},{"date":"2025-08-15","price":11.989565},{"date":"2025-08-29","price":10.951253}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-07-04","price":13.370715},{"date":"2025-08-08","price":12.244246},{"date":"2025-08-22","price":12.283427}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[9.2285,9.403,9.0637,8.802,8.3754,8.6953,8.3948,8.327,8.3367,8.3463,8.2882,8.4724,8.579,8.6275,8.4821,8.4336,8.9183,9.5678,9.0637,8.6081,9.6938,10.1688,9.7713,9.7423,9.8877,10.4111,10.0234,9.8877,11.6325,10.9055,10.8183,11.2739,11.0994,10.9637,12.2626,11.6907,11.5356,11.7683,11.4193,11.5453,11.7489,12.1463,12.0483,11.7349,12.2247,13.3707,13.1258,12.0483,12.1855,12.1953,12.2442,11.9896,12.2834,10.9513,11.2647,11.2157,11.1178,11.3529,11.3627,11.6565,11.7055,11.2549,11.2745,11.059,10.8141,11.0688,11.2843,10.7749,10.2362,9.6485,10.0403,9.8444,9.7562,9.5897,9.0216,8.6102,8.7179,8.9138,8.0322,8.1302,8.473,8.5318,8.6199,8.2477,8.2183,7.8363,8.3065,8.0962,8.3979,7.6097,7.6097,7.3315,7.3315,7.6494,7.56,7.56,7.47,7.43,7.07,6.91,6.43,6.21,6.19,5.88],"consensus":[-16.1001,12.4624,-29.9773,-33.6635,-47.6194,0.0,-49.2579,-35.895,-27.3449,-25.6839,-25.9987,12.3739,0.0,0.0,-18.6219,-20.9163,45.922,57.2541,-14.1076,-28.595,63.7082,50.407,0.0,18.5778,19.5721,44.8204,0.0,0.0,67.7424,0.0,10.4491,52.1436,0.0,9.0413,57.7688,0.0,12.8968,30.0027,-18.0902,11.6924,20.7476,32.8203,17.3965,0.0,39.4746,64.2267,16.8896,-26.5072,0.0,-17.1734,0.0,-11.4512,10.8375,-64.4707,-13.99,-28.8124,-33.6705,9.1043,-14.7377,17.1403,0.0,-27.8035,-10.5012,-33.769,-36.276,0.0,0.0,-43.6819,-55.6907,-63.4885,-9.616,-32.2142,-27.9136,-38.0763,-58.8991,-63.0125,-25.9489,-9.7445,-70.0902,-34.6791,0.0,-15.0367,0.0,-39.3733,-21.9129,-43.9545,15.4806,-27.6015,19.1536,-53.0847,-32.3994,-42.8291,-29.6389,0.0,-14.8916,-9.2052,-14.9956,-19.051,-49.4918,-46.73,-64.7809,-52.1664,-47.2095,-60.2074],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[13.1907,-58.8304,-6.4409,-27.086,-30.6329,12.3458,-20.0866,17.5362,0.0,-32.1957,-9.9328,-31.3934,-35.2806,0.0,0.0,-48.1711,-47.6982,-62.9394,-0.4279,-25.6848,-27.0736,-49.3654,-50.1112,-61.655,-22.2234,-3.3291,-70.3789,-40.9017,0.0,-13.3455,0.0,-53.9865,-23.2733,-43.4468,16.6061,-33.1213,17.4344,-58.8811,-34.7927,-45.0613,-26.37,0.0,-16.551,-17.9351,-23.8861,-20.4921,-53.3168,-53.237,-73.178,-52.8406,-53.5498,-62.1986],"force":[14.3682,-91.7628,-13.3742,-15.1444,-22.7875,28.8998,-7.8745,29.2131,0.0,-31.9157,-2.1472,-37.1267,-27.9852,0.0,0.0,-55.9743,-84.4701,-72.8867,-27.3573,-24.5025,-13.1448,-27.6442,-80.9888,-72.1471,-6.567,-28.0833,-87.5885,-6.4063,0.0,-4.5288,0.0,-39.9903,-8.0759,-43.1598,65.6648,-25.0763,47.2031,-70.8391,-16.2978,-34.5971,-9.7363,0.0,-6.9712,-2.0323,-5.3636,-9.8745,-54.6443,-36.405,-63.2291,-42.177,-23.2265,-56.6738],"direction":[5.6261,-51.4223,-42.1635,-40.5484,-44.9155,8.7398,-13.5268,8.0644,0.0,-19.8467,-17.118,-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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-60.2","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-62.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-56.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-60.5","detail":"Downward 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