{"ticker": {"uuid": "b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2", "symbol": "GRAL", "name": "Grifal S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-09-18", "headline": {"latest_week": "2026-09-18", "latest_close": "0.575 EUR", "weekly_return": "0.0%", "weekly_return_tone": "neutral", "four_week_return": "-7.3%", "four_week_return_tone": "negative", "twelve_week_return": "-5.0%", "twelve_week_return_tone": "negative", "trend_breadth": "0.0%", "trend_breadth_detail": "0 of 52 weeks active", "volume_ratio": "0.3x"}, "summary": "GRAL closed the latest completed week at 0.575 EUR. The 4-week return is -7.3% and the 12-week return is -5.0%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.57.", "description": "Grifal S.p.A. provides packaging solutions in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers corrugated cardboard packaging; cushion paper packaging, including cushion paper wrap, thermal, bottles, box, profiles, strips, and roll up products; and protective packaging solutions under the cArt\u00f9 and Mondaplen brands. Grifal S.p.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Cologno Al Serio, Italy. 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"9 of 26", "detail": "14 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+25.4%", "detail": "Week of 17 Apr.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-12.3%", "detail": "Week of 15 May.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+0.0%", "detail": "Week of 18 Sep.", "tone": "neutral"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 8, "share": 30.76923076923077, "share_label": "30.8%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "3.6%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "6.2%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "14/34", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "5.4% / -4.6%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-14.5%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.3x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.90% based on similar historical setup states.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-09-18", "close": "0.575 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.6723 EUR", "fair_value": "1.57 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.57", "relative_leadership": "-40.38", "volume": "6.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-09-11", "close": "0.575 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.6862 EUR", "fair_value": "1.59 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.77", "relative_leadership": "-42.77", "volume": "8.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-09-04", "close": "0.60 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.7007 EUR", "fair_value": "1.60 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.86", "relative_leadership": "-41.07", "volume": "112.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-08-28", "close": "0.60 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.714 EUR", "fair_value": "1.61 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.73", "relative_leadership": "-42.93", "volume": "39.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-08-21", "close": "0.62 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.73 EUR", "fair_value": "1.62 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.49", "relative_leadership": "-42.31", "volume": "60.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-08-14", "close": "0.61 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.748 EUR", "fair_value": "1.64 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.18", "relative_leadership": "-45.35", "volume": "30.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "0.625 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.767 EUR", "fair_value": "1.65 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.05", "relative_leadership": "-45.31", "volume": "2.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "0.61 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.7862 EUR", "fair_value": "1.66 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.02", "relative_leadership": "-46.17", "volume": "5.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "0.60 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.8008 EUR", "fair_value": "1.68 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.06", "relative_leadership": "-47.79", "volume": "46.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "0.60 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.8148 EUR", "fair_value": "1.69 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.13", "relative_leadership": "-49.02", "volume": "1.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "0.59 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.8295 EUR", "fair_value": "1.70 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.12", "relative_leadership": "-51.68", "volume": "3.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "0.645 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.8458 EUR", "fair_value": "1.72 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.08", "relative_leadership": "-48.56", "volume": "6.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "0.605 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.861 EUR", "fair_value": "1.73 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.07", "relative_leadership": "-51.43", "volume": "500", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "0.625 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "0.8778 EUR", "fair_value": "1.74 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.13", "relative_leadership": "-52.35", "volume": "9.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "33", "primary_driver": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 18.185210665385593, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 18.185210665385593, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 28.74305555555555, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers", "metric": "29/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 33.05135, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 33.90%", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [], "negatives": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 18.185210665385593, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 28.74305555555555, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers", "metric": "29/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 33.05135, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 33.90%", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is sentiment: Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -7.3%.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "0/61", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 33.90%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Weak trend", "stance_tone": "negative", "setup_score": "19", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -7.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -7.3% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -7.3% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and -58.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "0.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -7.3%.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "0/61", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 33.90%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/"}], "strengths": ["Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.90% based on similar historical setup states."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 18.185210665385593, "score_label": "18", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "18/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 28.74305555555555, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers", "metric": "29/100", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 33.05135, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 33.90%", "url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/", "api_path": "/terminal/b16a49a8-8d03-4148-9dbe-155bc96ef0d2/report/api/"}