{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"EBS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b553c5de-b880-4edd-a42a-a000db79ef94","symbol":"EBS","name":"Erste Group Bank AG","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Regional"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":8.4,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":10.2,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":11.9,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":11.5,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":11.6,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":14.1,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":13.8,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":15.4,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":15.7,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":19.1,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":17.9,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":18.1,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":17.2,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":17.1,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":18.8,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-4.4,"medianReturn":-4.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":89.5,"averageReturn":11.0,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 89.5% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 11.0% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 17.2% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 9.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":111.699997}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":116.900002},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":120.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[45.9385,47.0601,45.2826,45.6819,45.9385,46.6134,46.1761,47.1266,47.716,46.4233,49.1417,50.8337,50.1683,49.4079,49.3318,51.8792,56.1566,55.9665,55.9094,55.206,57.1071,57.6394,59.5214,56.4987,58.4758,63.6466,63.0193,61.4414,64.1789,64.8253,64.1219,62.1448,54.5217,55.1775,58.5994,60.2628,55.9379,66.3461,68.7224,67.154,70.3306,72.713,70.3306,69.735,71.4721,70.6284,73.4078,75.3436,77.8252,78.9172,85.2206,87.6526,83.3842,80.704,80.4558,82.193,82.3915,84.625,86.8585,82.9375,81.3988,81.6966,89.092,88.7942,90.1343,88.4468,93.4598,95.048,94.7999,100.4581,100.3588,103.1383,102.2449,104.1309,107.0097,108.6972,106.2155,101.2522,105.8185,99.9617,94.3035,90.7795,88.6949,90.4818,93.4101,103.039,107.8038,99.75,94.2,98.85,97.0,98.3,103.0,102.6,109.0,116.9,115.7,118.2,117.6,111.7,115.1,113.0,120.0,122.6],"consensus":[50.4798,61.0298,-10.1159,27.6033,22.204,32.5895,8.8715,46.4764,41.1255,-17.553,66.383,65.0608,19.9557,11.8849,21.161,63.0157,81.0469,43.0199,28.3422,22.699,59.0056,44.925,66.7933,-11.0549,49.6562,79.6571,22.4324,0.0,62.6148,40.7643,19.8154,-11.657,-63.3653,-12.0972,0.0,17.332,-42.3486,65.5908,56.6355,20.8504,53.7546,61.4314,0.0,9.8765,41.774,0.0,49.6139,54.179,60.2274,38.8669,77.4066,67.2685,0.0,0.0,0.0,19.81,15.9162,51.7305,55.038,-17.5914,-18.491,-10.6025,61.9662,30.6749,32.2523,13.7491,70.101,45.8511,19.0932,78.5403,45.7826,65.9701,29.795,53.8643,63.6957,51.3489,11.9446,-29.6026,41.611,-46.2231,-56.7657,-57.2366,-58.8148,-16.5973,0.0,57.4833,62.4349,-16.408,-40.9164,15.5032,-23.9369,0.0,47.7111,20.9491,59.0008,68.9419,32.6104,39.567,38.1725,-22.2561,37.5339,-10.0088,53.0846,50.5754],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,0.0,0.0,32.2381,21.8254,59.3888,59.2254,-25.5402,-18.8186,-7.5519,68.825,30.2464,22.9014,7.4237,73.8639,43.2344,7.9741,82.6774,50.1782,75.3252,24.3016,57.587,65.7418,51.6592,4.4965,-29.0013,51.792,-37.4128,-46.7618,-52.5675,-57.0471,-4.861,0.0,56.0604,69.0712,-28.9652,-46.8964,23.6359,-16.3404,0.0,46.7511,22.103,69.368,77.5659,26.3639,32.4069,35.5473,-21.4575,44.7141,-5.2637,53.9173,52.5053],"force":[0.0,0.0,0.0,14.2943,1.6464,49.3376,52.943,-53.191,-36.62,-13.1136,79.8513,7.1314,20.4727,16.0337,90.3845,37.042,7.6171,94.6908,18.3619,54.5637,3.7364,45.0856,63.9201,37.7352,29.4172,-67.4757,53.4656,-86.2902,-77.2463,-60.1644,-54.202,-20.3119,0.0,84.1792,68.5097,-48.9862,-61.0635,39.312,-31.6327,0.0,65.2709,10.3676,51.8468,64.3666,2.5947,17.0879,10.5961,-64.9763,38.3467,-37.7089,66.0627,38.7815],"direction":[0.0,0.0,0.0,9.5464,19.3555,44.6875,51.7487,-16.9213,-5.1674,-12.2951,41.3526,47.9814,51.3531,42.2514,51.3123,55.1338,50.8796,62.2762,60.3452,63.426,60.0242,55.8802,61.1971,60.7181,50.0009,-3.2377,21.508,-27.6727,-53.5698,-60.4813,-64.13,-56.3739,0.0,40.041,50.5115,-21.2131,-19.6914,10.7977,-27.1217,0.0,36.2655,27.1886,52.2626,62.3539,61.1892,63.8065,60.8701,-7.3455,28.7474,-4.3539,42.863,56.794],"intensity":[78.8462,63.4615,50.0,38.4615,9.6154,48.0769,48.0769,73.0769,32.6923,69.2308,92.3077,88.4615,67.3077,63.4615,82.6923,78.8462,36.5385,88.4615,65.3846,51.9231,5.7692,25.0,59.6154,80.7692,40.3846,84.6154,76.9231,88.4615,90.3846,53.8462,51.9231,48.0769,63.4615,96.1538,94.2308,92.3077,80.7692,71.1538,36.5385,7.6923,73.0769,5.7692,90.3846,98.0769,3.8462,44.2308,3.8462,84.6154,46.1538,19.2308,90.3846,80.7692],"confirmation":[35.1064,32.7101,25.8967,73.9817,49.9016,84.3641,85.4845,32.8696,51.798,48.8491,88.2698,54.4383,78.1042,7.0089,90.9931,82.4438,29.7569,93.5621,81.7478,88.6203,54.7266,84.9123,88.3583,84.012,8.9509,55.9696,81.5217,84.1468,86.9416,86.4761,86.7071,8.6983,7.0409,87.2299,88.0632,33.2442,81.6161,30.5329,76.0101,49.337,83.8173,74.3637,86.5043,89.7906,54.9491,80.0855,79.4148,55.3365,79.9262,27.7148,85.3699,91.7953],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[46.6474,30.7913,45.0859,58.4849,26.5082,19.6555,21.8609,21.6827,7.4378,33.6983,2.0523,32.7181,33.6115,42.4423,10.6551,25.9481,36.9605,10.6907,25.9957,16.4835,34.6203,17.1577,17.5144,23.8077,40.8363,23.3414,40.0996,26.3986,21.471,20.9989,20.5888,41.3005,13.4915,20.8706,18.759,55.8008,28.1043,40.57,36.4974,17.9287,23.3489,22.8191,19.8736,15.4775,33.0789,30.024,28.7846,28.9241,26.0172,39.0677,0.5098,24.3721],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":50.6,"control":52.5,"force":38.8,"direction":56.8,"confirmation":91.8,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":24.4,"intensity":80.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+50.6","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+52.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+38.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+56.8","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"92/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"66.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"23.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"95%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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