{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"UBSG34 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b57c4111-2473-4c32-8ed8-15a35a246d0a","symbol":"UBSG34","name":"UBS Group AG","exchange":"SAO","country":"BR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"BRL","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Banks - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":22},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":22},{"week":3,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":22},{"week":4,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":22},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":22},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":22},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":22},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":22},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":22},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":22},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":22},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":22},{"week":17,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":22},{"week":18,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":22},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":22},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":22},{"week":21,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":22},{"week":22,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":22},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.5,"sample":22},{"week":24,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":22},{"week":25,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":22},{"week":26,"averageReturn":10.3,"sample":22}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":56.5,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":23},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 56.5% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.1% across 23 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 12.2% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-24","price":65.262497}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[41.0259,41.31,38.2689,39.3001,39.4147,40.539,40.2549,43.2053,44.7282,43.6851,43.5753,44.5826,44.6733,44.0312,44.1601,47.2633,46.3061,43.8116,45.399,44.6733,47.2203,48.8148,49.7267,49.7768,46.0912,45.7165,45.3536,47.5497,46.7596,44.1744,44.8762,43.444,37.4287,39.5126,41.6287,42.4245,42.6572,43.24,45.6201,44.3199,44.1656,46.6731,43.7689,41.2124,44.7827,46.4503,48.6786,48.73,51.8865,49.9324,52.555,52.3493,53.2455,54.3034,53.0643,53.4414,55.1654,53.3876,53.6569,53.0668,51.8865,50.3952,50.1381,49.8295,50.1405,50.1405,49.4304,51.1151,57.5602,62.5042,63.7727,62.3353,62.6267,61.7574,61.2774,60.8073,60.8513,53.6177,54.0291,53.2602,50.5593,47.8485,47.6526,48.4852,49.4696,50.9339,53.1721,51.525,54.705,55.0625,57.7,59.5,59.9425,60.18,60.9375,64.0,63.635,66.63,66.3525,67.365,65.2625,66.71,68.2,70.28],"consensus":[56.6977,43.2934,-40.4636,26.9352,0.0,40.3159,23.351,72.565,67.6242,0.0,23.6994,54.9184,26.3372,20.879,34.4769,64.7207,0.0,-38.6678,44.8895,-23.3717,62.9083,70.5123,53.6886,25.9634,-40.2852,-21.9871,-29.7588,32.1038,0.0,-54.0639,-13.6198,-63.4166,-84.1275,0.0,0.0,0.0,16.0179,25.7524,58.0899,-11.0014,10.6313,59.4351,-43.7445,-56.8772,43.0055,42.5816,69.4641,47.8375,71.2012,0.0,77.1622,47.1219,51.9805,62.2111,8.0403,25.1721,67.4027,-17.1891,37.3887,0.0,-29.0865,-41.478,-44.3037,-44.7802,-29.4742,-17.3192,-32.3106,41.905,80.5566,86.3836,68.7424,0.0,38.2546,0.0,0.0,0.0,27.3008,-71.0212,-32.5058,-43.87,-72.6225,-69.8,-56.4581,-46.7182,-10.7787,17.232,47.0388,-25.1953,61.3979,35.3756,61.2404,73.2411,58.8636,52.9773,35.2439,72.2568,23.4297,74.6607,26.4105,46.8911,0.0,39.6584,55.4997,72.9768],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[60.5311,70.1046,1.5205,18.9557,74.7475,-14.7787,45.18,0.0,-26.07,-29.4561,-42.9004,-49.0957,-27.9361,-16.1747,-26.5059,40.6477,87.2233,92.1864,77.9183,0.0,24.9836,0.0,0.0,0.0,48.7604,-65.7655,-28.475,-39.663,-79.7588,-60.3057,-55.7901,-48.3321,-3.6341,8.5693,44.2024,-38.1879,60.1315,30.6539,69.17,74.0346,61.9945,58.254,25.2273,83.24,7.2762,85.7185,8.4233,38.5138,0.0,32.0314,62.0927,80.3008],"force":[30.6245,42.6154,28.6856,0.9354,67.2278,-75.7298,27.7759,0.0,-43.1535,-56.9571,-41.5254,-28.4737,-13.8163,-1.6432,-29.0056,87.9616,98.6702,99.2519,45.117,0.0,13.4585,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.3347,-96.2563,-0.2465,-21.0149,-61.6936,-75.3906,-27.8628,-4.7825,-42.5264,75.0293,87.2723,-38.1037,92.4927,32.4854,55.3734,85.8754,45.053,26.0517,9.5425,55.6176,12.1193,59.5021,8.2168,29.6323,0.0,45.8178,40.9313,72.3148],"direction":[57.4627,67.1868,45.1998,49.5884,59.1334,-21.871,35.3505,0.0,-22.486,-44.1609,-47.8921,-51.4956,-42.4164,-29.8242,-41.3052,10.4443,59.9992,70.5602,75.1309,0.0,71.1331,0.0,0.0,0.0,18.4657,-59.0025,-60.5069,-65.0031,-72.273,-76.6572,-77.6466,-74.8277,-57.0189,14.1516,21.5421,-1.1263,40.6346,42.8361,56.3687,63.3098,65.1501,66.1792,65.0496,71.5896,67.2829,72.8506,71.7011,68.7931,0.0,43.9752,58.3709,65.0794],"intensity":[26.9231,26.9231,32.6923,7.6923,53.8462,53.8462,38.4615,5.7692,51.9231,92.3077,3.8462,34.6154,28.8462,26.9231,61.5385,48.0769,100.0,94.2308,96.1538,34.6154,1.9231,38.4615,9.6154,26.9231,65.3846,100.0,90.3846,34.6154,73.0769,86.5385,1.9231,15.3846,57.6923,57.6923,67.3077,44.2308,80.7692,26.9231,73.0769,82.6923,46.1538,3.8462,69.2308,76.9231,90.3846,76.9231,67.3077,78.8462,75.0,36.5385,40.3846,57.6923],"confirmation":[83.8526,87.1901,8.0433,52.7445,89.4516,34.6538,79.5527,28.6637,77.7823,81.9279,82.1139,81.7669,76.978,50.4152,78.3271,82.8324,94.2286,95.9465,89.1377,15.5229,79.688,8.7691,8.2098,7.6459,53.0731,91.5759,54.851,81.406,90.7974,90.651,85.2053,58.9805,11.0058,33.0934,84.3218,53.5912,88.6143,79.304,87.2973,91.8101,86.3678,84.0517,78.6474,90.4477,9.2457,91.2609,32.0897,82.6068,34.7419,80.9946,85.2154,99.2208],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[2.5313,17.4088,7.96,14.0066,8.1138,17.5144,0.5235,8.6821,33.9996,28.0166,27.4686,27.4401,32.0564,4.0499,16.3945,21.5447,9.6529,6.8053,15.6285,46.9231,29.622,17.6691,39.202,27.5206,46.6747,13.9598,32.8124,27.2907,13.5351,13.8728,21.5596,25.733,18.3386,35.7567,25.5894,55.5522,17.6024,28.3678,18.7011,13.3606,20.2453,23.3574,31.8645,13.7787,37.8532,12.6568,36.7216,25.5398,38.119,17.0126,15.3968,12.096],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":73.0,"control":80.3,"force":72.3,"direction":65.1,"confirmation":99.2,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":12.1,"intensity":57.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+73.0","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+80.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+72.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+65.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"99/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"73.6","detail":"Stretched positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.3%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"39.3","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"100%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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