{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"NESN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b58ad9ba-ea84-4afd-8756-776b9c983d8a","symbol":"NESN","name":"Nestlé S.A.","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CHF","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Packaged Foods"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":19,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":3.5,"averageExpectedMove":4.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":20,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":35.0,"averageReturn":-0.8,"medianReturn":-0.6,"confidenceLow":18.1,"confidenceHigh":56.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":19,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":26.3,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-2.8,"confidenceLow":11.8,"confidenceHigh":48.8,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":17.6,"averageReturn":-8.1,"medianReturn":-7.4,"confidenceLow":6.2,"confidenceHigh":41.0,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":20},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":20},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":20},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":20},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":20},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":20},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":20},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":19},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":19},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":17}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.1% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-02-14","price":76.497108},{"date":"2025-10-17","price":81.502068}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[83.045,84.4176,81.1901,81.2457,76.089,79.0198,77.6472,77.9068,79.7432,78.4077,76.7197,73.251,71.8969,70.4871,70.9323,70.2646,69.7266,68.6137,69.0218,69.2814,68.6693,68.8177,69.2629,71.8598,71.8783,76.4971,78.9271,80.8005,83.2119,82.7111,85.0298,83.6942,81.0231,78.8158,81.5982,82.3764,84.1634,84.2114,83.0873,85.0473,84.2595,83.2987,80.9448,78.3411,76.1794,76.1602,73.9696,74.671,70.4436,68.3107,69.2715,69.5021,72.4036,72.4324,72.4516,70.117,69.5789,68.3491,71.2891,72.6438,81.5021,76.9672,73.864,76.0161,77.1594,77.6013,76.6982,75.7278,74.892,75.699,74.7767,75.651,72.4516,72.2883,69.627,70.5493,75.7951,76.458,77.7359,80.6854,77.0921,77.6974,72.884,73.374,75.2955,75.9969,75.92,81.17,79.05,77.47,78.07,78.78,79.44,76.96,79.81,78.78,83.29,84.55,83.16,85.55,80.67,81.01,81.21,81.01],"consensus":[0.0,18.773,-54.1689,-30.8512,-77.1486,0.0,-50.4645,-19.9759,21.7786,-34.8006,-39.6272,-70.1629,-59.3932,-61.1121,-24.2425,-49.2178,-38.8461,-46.9029,-21.2882,-22.1256,-35.8901,-14.5702,-8.6429,41.7469,16.7441,68.4496,73.2562,57.1857,73.8578,34.9366,75.7064,26.1205,-17.177,-17.2866,38.2442,9.8926,51.7257,27.7973,0.0,51.5389,0.0,0.0,-41.269,-65.2568,-62.5447,-35.1463,-67.7837,-18.4367,-77.348,-69.7185,-22.1033,-31.3079,18.6456,0.0,0.0,-49.7521,-33.7004,-54.0255,20.4916,32.1287,75.0333,0.0,-19.0194,43.4475,18.4151,29.1489,0.0,-8.0011,-17.6631,0.0,-24.1566,18.7161,-51.1984,-29.8621,-63.8028,-12.4153,53.5313,35.2997,43.9083,66.8016,-15.0469,28.5247,-57.1154,-11.4366,12.9321,0.0,14.2253,68.8327,0.0,-8.5477,27.5439,12.4829,14.0548,-11.9743,30.9435,0.0,49.2944,47.9834,25.415,62.9482,-40.2919,0.0,0.0,4.437],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[19.7448,0.0,0.0,-63.7375,-27.0692,-56.5384,28.5007,30.441,68.5823,0.0,-31.3719,43.4704,29.0029,32.8507,0.0,-11.1666,-15.7031,0.0,-29.2592,27.4008,-45.8463,-27.4022,-64.6566,-0.9784,50.951,32.8393,38.0482,68.4558,-23.1843,30.7973,-54.12,-1.113,21.8051,0.0,10.2856,63.6411,0.0,-17.5267,28.1771,21.1168,11.3037,-12.9604,32.9508,0.0,53.1344,50.9529,21.8223,64.297,-36.0621,0.0,0.0,6.8042],"force":[65.5257,0.0,0.0,-55.8927,-22.1096,-47.539,62.7984,48.7008,99.2451,0.0,-51.3164,50.0672,10.9113,16.7673,0.0,-24.794,-27.2442,0.0,-28.6413,22.6906,-77.8003,-17.8183,-73.8616,-21.2437,83.7976,32.2119,46.4516,75.0809,-57.8292,26.3921,-87.4728,-7.3996,29.9381,0.0,11.5789,95.8301,0.0,-31.7461,29.6,8.7355,5.0387,-17.0681,27.5618,0.0,38.8413,27.9296,1.1754,66.1901,-87.6189,0.0,0.0,5.2383],"direction":[16.0965,0.0,0.0,-29.3825,-49.5582,-55.7869,18.8807,22.2203,65.1115,0.0,-18.167,38.693,11.6747,33.7623,0.0,-7.6115,-13.0595,0.0,-15.1217,5.9519,-38.3135,-41.2763,-55.6421,-49.5281,34.8615,40.3171,48.789,58.9974,-24.8119,27.4506,-38.855,-36.6896,9.3557,0.0,20.6181,55.482,0.0,-18.2844,25.3517,5.2924,23.639,-7.2088,31.0649,0.0,52.3724,58.9137,48.5141,59.0913,-11.3208,0.0,0.0,16.7118],"intensity":[84.6154,48.0769,21.1538,57.6923,46.1538,21.1538,76.9231,69.2308,100.0,94.2308,90.3846,51.9231,67.3077,11.5385,15.3846,17.3077,25.0,21.1538,34.6154,9.6154,86.5385,25.0,67.3077,34.6154,94.2308,65.3846,44.2308,76.9231,84.6154,78.8462,92.3077,82.6923,42.3077,26.9231,1.9231,98.0769,78.8462,36.5385,36.5385,53.8462,38.4615,80.7692,73.0769,17.3077,90.3846,19.2308,26.9231,55.7692,92.3077,69.2308,17.3077,17.3077],"confirmation":[33.4791,25.608,25.0707,83.8947,78.5319,85.0522,34.4192,78.812,92.8468,37.5167,33.4246,82.1046,73.5028,76.8939,5.5694,49.981,73.9741,25.0978,75.789,51.3113,85.2758,77.2263,88.7104,7.6534,86.0917,79.2393,82.2175,89.6036,33.9547,77.0283,87.2478,27.4882,29.1839,25.0955,72.5315,90.9283,31.6255,29.8728,76.8671,49.0821,49.598,49.3053,77.7683,2.7875,83.3971,82.6983,52.9613,88.2217,82.4002,24.5785,1.3362,25.7338],"persistence":[75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[30.2136,48.5033,46.6169,40.826,29.0702,22.0647,36.5936,26.8876,12.4385,53.0533,42.8159,17.2223,52.8085,4.6974,31.5737,0.4852,22.1134,29.4476,15.3761,10.6233,6.8181,32.5973,17.9324,43.6944,19.8302,30.8859,28.0146,16.5917,32.5604,9.9591,18.8079,43.8514,35.3247,31.9536,34.2568,15.2496,42.2226,30.1443,20.4198,42.8911,0.9368,4.8308,15.1617,0.0895,22.0054,25.8836,31.9004,18.1889,19.4507,43.0953,33.7787,45.8659],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":4.4,"control":6.8,"force":5.2,"direction":16.7,"confirmation":25.7,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":45.9,"intensity":17.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+4.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+6.8","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+5.2","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+16.7","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"26/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"16.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"61%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected 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