{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ADSK Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b64ce08a-c530-4cec-8d85-8c9b10b4f4c0","symbol":"ADSK","name":"Autodesk, Inc.","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Technology","industry":"Software - Application"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","headline":"Market Dynamics is improving before price has fully responded","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":8.8,"averageExpectedMove":10.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":19,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":42.1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"medianReturn":-0.8,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":63.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":55.6,"averageReturn":0.3,"medianReturn":0.5,"confidenceLow":33.7,"confidenceHigh":75.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":17,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":47.1,"averageReturn":3.5,"medianReturn":-0.7,"confidenceLow":26.2,"confidenceHigh":69.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":26.5,"averageExpectedMove":26.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.6,"medianReturn":-14.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-21.8,"medianReturn":-21.8,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.4,"medianReturn":-15.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-9.3,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-14.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-23.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-23.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-20.5,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-25.3,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-26.5,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-24.7,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-19.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-16.3,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-14.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-14.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-14.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-16.1,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-12.4,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-21.2,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":55.6,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 55.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.3% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.0% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":200.649994}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-11-29","price":275.299988},{"date":"2025-02-07","price":294.450012}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-31","price":304.600006}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[228.0,238.65,225.75,237.15,239.4,244.2,244.05,256.95,270.15,265.45,265.3,285.05,283.2,305.55,275.3,292.4,290.8,286.65,283.6,284.9,280.4,284.45,286.9,304.6,294.45,288.55,276.25,260.25,234.45,232.95,247.3,242.2,227.65,223.75,229.35,238.05,245.2,255.0,266.0,259.5,262.05,262.1,255.6,257.95,264.1,266.9,240.0,252.3,257.9,257.7,248.7,244.9,248.2,264.6,276.55,274.6,274.0,275.4,272.5,264.05,260.3,268.6,261.4,255.0,258.05,250.65,260.5,262.9,253.7,256.45,251.7,244.5,237.05,227.2,228.8,213.4,202.0,193.56,193.42,208.1,223.55,219.4,213.6,201.7,207.25,184.8,207.55,198.8,202.45,207.8,203.0,206.6,198.38,201.2,172.66,169.52,170.52,183.56,182.54,188.22,187.92,200.65,216.1,219.05],"consensus":[36.8569,60.0449,-21.3256,53.0492,31.7871,46.3741,28.5985,68.4512,73.2759,18.6205,37.8751,81.528,20.6438,77.1607,-18.1632,60.2612,19.8924,0.0,0.0,11.2267,-24.4598,25.987,25.7434,67.3547,0.0,-8.1264,-53.3935,-72.1945,-75.0059,-46.8749,0.0,-56.2064,-64.9813,-32.6802,-25.0399,11.2309,24.3139,36.9842,43.76,0.0,18.1458,23.3565,-15.8018,15.5778,38.378,29.7432,-61.7779,24.0925,19.2874,-11.5997,-24.8136,-27.6891,0.0,46.3673,67.9366,15.4017,33.3448,33.1983,0.0,-29.8839,-21.2263,24.6638,-31.4144,-44.9079,0.0,-51.702,20.716,13.2449,-38.4796,12.4433,-39.3198,-52.0878,-52.885,-69.607,-19.6858,-75.0903,-76.2652,-68.8593,-38.9736,12.4241,40.4242,0.0,-25.631,-60.3677,0.0,-74.6012,19.701,-34.6901,0.0,12.0804,-16.2864,8.2785,-30.6476,-9.2662,-66.4101,-30.7441,-20.2076,0.0,-17.4749,28.7934,0.0,48.7367,72.4047,46.038],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,39.237,68.7471,1.0534,30.2359,32.4818,0.0,-31.8539,-15.339,41.1754,-28.1051,-44.6194,0.0,-45.8996,18.0635,11.2202,-46.8551,12.8696,-46.2822,-56.819,-56.1925,-66.8262,-7.555,-73.2609,-75.1496,-61.7356,-29.5163,20.504,33.6659,0.0,-38.1387,-62.8292,0.0,-74.466,31.3458,-40.9558,0.0,1.9343,-16.5581,3.7076,-33.6813,-9.2408,-79.1789,-20.8563,-5.2049,0.0,-34.7067,17.7844,0.0,36.3124,71.5829,38.4905],"force":[0.0,79.2479,86.1002,10.0456,15.2408,17.8872,0.0,-50.4375,-25.2564,30.883,-49.6123,-60.3959,0.0,-69.7166,59.9931,14.5895,-43.6968,31.647,-36.2317,-47.7918,-44.5132,-83.3312,-16.7376,-89.8184,-87.1632,-76.884,-9.6082,78.9424,87.486,0.0,-39.8208,-83.5182,0.0,-95.8034,53.6495,-36.3299,0.0,26.1824,-17.4927,12.9985,-40.5499,-0.9101,-60.5252,-7.5499,-7.933,0.0,-5.0062,66.9075,0.0,79.0684,91.0936,36.5282],"direction":[0.0,31.0301,54.0364,52.3842,49.8292,44.9536,0.0,-12.9514,-25.076,1.3509,-22.198,-34.1747,0.0,-45.4658,4.3076,14.5984,-25.181,1.761,-33.5686,-49.7493,-55.0848,-62.9822,-59.5662,-66.661,-69.7557,-71.2688,-70.7573,44.3231,14.5324,0.0,-1.2008,-41.0186,0.0,-59.6114,17.8563,-26.3578,0.0,18.0243,-15.1141,10.1308,-20.1074,-16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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+46.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+38.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+36.5","detail":"Upward 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