{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XZO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b77813e6-5910-4011-90d6-ab723d714378","symbol":"XZO","name":"Exzeo Group, Inc.","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Insurance - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":41,"displayedObservations":41,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","headline":"Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","take":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-0.210823,-0.252906,-0.22477,-0.194112,-0.193779,-0.074919,0.09458,0.385595,0.584826,0.518668,0.418645,0.313887,0.34296],"opens":[13.43,13.49,13.61,13.25,13.09,13.1,16.17,18.7,17.06,16.11,15.55,15.88,15.46],"highs":[14.06,14.19,14.64,13.6616,13.7,15.985,18.87,19.22,17.53,16.51,17.04,17.315,16.5],"lows":[12.5,13.17,12.36,12.625,12.91,13.1,16.14,16.615,15.86,14.76,15.47,15.13,15.04],"closes":[12.97,13.85,13.22,13.1,13.27,15.93,18.69,17.04,16.1,15.31,15.52,15.5,15.17],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"13.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"14.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"13.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"0.42","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"17.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.31","note":"Supportive but easing","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"15.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"16.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"15.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"15.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.34","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[12.6268,19.0332],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":0.34296,"state":"Positive but weakening over four weeks","context":{"scenario":"positiveWeakening","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Positive support is weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Positive support is weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":13,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[19.38,17.91,14.7,18.85,18.23,19.75,20.72,22.56,22.76,22.54,22.5,21.25,20.32,17.61,15.4,15.91,16.76,15.45,15.65,14.71,13.73,14.26,14.87,17.5,16.84,16.4,13.49,13.56,12.97,13.85,13.22,13.1,13.27,15.93,18.69,17.04,16.1,15.31,15.52,15.5,15.17],"consensus":[0.0,-41.6949,-32.1937,47.6948,-11.5571,21.6622,33.9363,39.5527,23.8961,18.5897,22.6683,-13.7141,-25.2525,-53.0122,-54.3597,-25.0124,0.0,-39.7252,0.0,-44.9616,-47.1822,-18.1916,-9.6851,44.042,0.0,0.0,-54.1035,-29.2855,-38.6344,0.0,-25.7189,-18.8751,-9.432,53.9694,67.7797,0.0,0.0,-15.7215,-13.1689,-11.0608,-17.8092],"supportDates":["2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,22.3021,31.4918,35.0176,12.3549,11.2444,21.8644,-15.4216,-27.2229,-48.3615,-48.1636,-13.4942,0.0,-41.2446,0.0,-50.9134,-46.7414,-18.346,-7.9292,44.5158,0.0,0.0,-50.7838,-27.7258,-36.6523,0.0,-26.9458,-20.9799,-13.7117,49.9635,69.6437,0.0,0.0,-18.476,-10.1491,-9.3498,-19.5793],"force":[0.0,-41.6949,-32.1937,47.6948,-7.8161,21.2372,27.6676,35.2019,7.0443,1.3459,10.7034,-26.4223,-28.957,-61.129,-49.5686,-2.7751,0.0,-35.7069,0.0,-45.1014,-45.0171,-7.6733,-10.7683,69.5505,0.0,0.0,-84.3129,-12.0896,-31.5198,0.0,-25.8965,-6.8009,-5.0131,89.6168,79.874,0.0,0.0,-27.2626,-16.6768,-16.6545,-25.8124],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-14.2293,21.2344,41.2076,47.8435,49.1231,39.3014,32.1333,-2.6854,-20.3544,-52.5295,-64.863,-58.0243,0.0,-40.8591,0.0,-38.0596,-49.2324,-36.49,-26.3014,25.2802,0.0,0.0,-36.3193,-43.3507,-45.9816,0.0,-24.19,-25.094,-14.859,33.0852,57.0105,0.0,0.0,-4.3298,-14.1145,-9.0206,-10.0697],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,20.0,16.6667,71.4286,25.0,11.1111,30.0,45.4545,25.0,76.9231,85.7143,13.3333,6.25,52.9412,22.2222,15.7895,60.0,4.7619,9.0909,78.2609,62.5,8.0,80.7692,88.8889,10.7143,24.1379,13.3333,32.2581,3.125,78.7879,85.2941,65.7143,66.6667,35.1351,13.1579,5.1282,22.5],"confirmation":[0.6545,36.009,32.9687,37.929,26.1939,74.9092,78.7058,80.5934,52.6424,50.8684,74.9014,50.0831,76.1637,85.2821,85.3435,53.258,7.5898,80.5665,4.4896,82.3013,83.039,52.001,4.7999,82.8636,26.0994,25.0517,86.2844,76.8711,80.1764,5.8216,76.2168,50.9733,48.9156,86.4177,90.0297,33.0854,29.8007,50.674,72.367,71.736,44.64],"persistence":[null,null,66.6667,25.0,40.0,16.6667,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,14.1413,20.1171,32.4449,26.6866,36.7287,34.9845,25.4368,23.501,31.0862,22.9577,22.7546,37.282,47.4445,26.2731,12.9991,15.4566,26.1578,31.7295,25.9224,26.2379,47.5704,45.6635,10.9979,35.1549,30.4671,45.0012,2.0635,8.4852,16.8641,18.2887,16.0251,49.2277,48.4761,11.7877,42.0078,36.6661,22.6032],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-17.8,"control":-19.6,"force":-25.8,"direction":-10.1,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":22.6,"intensity":22.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-17.8","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-19.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-25.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-10.1","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"14.3%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.8","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"41%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because 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