{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"b8bd1a0a-fb9f-4c32-9a5a-d595c4bc70f7","symbol":"IS","name":"INFRASTRUCTURE DIVIDEND SPLIT C","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":119,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-0.8,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":20.0,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":5},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 20.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 10.6% across 5 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 2.9% across 5 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-23","price":12.836882}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-05-22","price":19.079996},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":19.030233},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":18.933973},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":18.92}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":19.496563},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":19.26836},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":19.440229}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[11.5697,11.7717,11.7717,12.1702,12.5687,12.7393,12.6891,12.6807,13.2248,13.1243,12.9483,12.7794,12.7203,12.7287,12.9061,12.9572,12.9487,12.7015,12.7867,12.8992,12.6927,12.7185,12.9078,12.6829,12.3007,12.2833,12.2312,12.4583,12.2828,12.1951,12.5811,12.9408,12.0108,11.993,12.2942,12.3296,12.5238,12.4343,12.6669,12.8369,13.3483,13.3664,13.3844,13.6644,13.7728,13.8093,13.8639,14.502,14.6843,14.4921,14.6944,14.5013,14.5748,14.5196,14.4732,14.5474,14.7051,14.9185,15.1431,15.1244,15.4239,15.4239,15.7712,15.4126,15.2899,15.3182,15.469,15.4309,15.0406,15.0311,15.2215,15.3368,15.452,15.6057,15.7497,16.0676,16.6583,17.8206,17.869,18.296,17.8469,17.9445,17.6711,17.8274,17.9652,18.162,18.3097,18.4081,18.637,18.696,19.2474,19.08,19.2188,19.4966,19.0302,19.2684,18.934,19.1128,19.4402,19.6982,19.5295,19.62,18.92,18.99],"consensus":[17.5052,39.9709,18.1368,58.1935,71.5019,55.006,30.1723,31.8158,69.8595,35.4024,9.7121,0.0,-9.2109,0.0,27.3489,25.35,19.47,-24.4231,11.669,23.2837,-33.2888,0.0,29.6248,-37.9904,-44.7954,-27.9219,-31.2343,0.0,-35.1317,-24.5459,30.6522,46.581,-53.4586,-18.0725,0.0,0.0,21.1357,0.0,21.6681,33.9927,61.1696,33.6658,21.4215,58.9451,47.6486,32.5543,38.3135,70.8679,53.7299,34.6912,56.2306,15.9703,38.8102,19.1503,12.7108,26.0472,39.8365,51.6678,60.6017,18.9651,56.576,33.9393,67.9162,8.2785,0.0,11.2139,18.8426,0.0,-37.4089,-19.3499,13.0818,19.5917,20.6557,36.0129,29.4639,42.8837,61.8053,83.4436,46.7717,53.1981,13.8029,43.476,0.0,19.3462,24.3503,38.3262,33.4162,33.7558,48.0836,26.3166,73.8015,40.2827,46.0413,54.3306,-15.5556,43.1736,0.0,0.0,50.7226,53.5172,13.988,36.4503,-47.0944,-9.2721],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[53.4012,24.8106,22.5107,30.0883,46.6179,55.6306,64.3124,6.422,61.6123,30.8012,66.919,0.8488,0.0,15.6836,27.7348,0.0,-35.8639,-16.6329,26.4725,30.6212,16.822,35.2174,23.0469,39.1329,60.894,87.6758,43.9594,44.9786,3.479,53.8726,0.0,25.2327,25.5517,44.6675,28.6533,28.5282,47.4133,17.9929,77.2277,48.2358,51.3348,64.8796,-21.4953,57.6161,0.0,0.0,64.0545,61.018,10.1866,39.5144,-36.6242,-0.129],"force":[28.2241,5.7832,5.0299,20.0117,37.2256,51.357,62.7803,6.9044,47.0216,11.5853,81.6299,26.0883,0.0,4.3126,19.052,0.0,-61.2515,-17.0607,24.3238,26.0386,19.0957,38.5361,28.1296,41.2918,67.5034,97.1451,20.6906,44.5322,37.166,24.359,0.0,7.6493,4.6445,24.1573,17.8814,20.5139,43.9041,8.9027,90.6054,11.7449,31.0227,35.6173,-49.2779,32.4371,0.0,0.0,44.7304,53.8038,16.6511,26.6405,-82.841,-4.1581],"direction":[29.6964,30.491,14.1828,25.7398,33.9514,47.3609,54.8046,51.7784,57.6448,53.4929,59.2604,41.3173,0.0,11.0353,8.5303,0.0,-22.1441,-24.0901,10.252,2.3815,26.1512,35.1197,37.7506,48.3075,58.7766,68.82,68.6151,68.7817,62.0079,45.2491,0.0,20.9737,37.0527,41.1997,49.9557,49.1887,51.835,48.268,57.883,51.5777,50.7193,55.6412,-15.3199,34.337,0.0,0.0,39.7663,44.7402,40.2174,39.9555,-33.5271,-29.6093],"intensity":[5.7692,19.2308,25.0,11.5385,59.6154,50.0,73.0769,63.4615,73.0769,46.1538,75.0,78.8462,63.4615,9.6154,25.0,71.1538,84.6154,1.9231,32.6923,9.6154,82.6923,23.0769,88.4615,61.5385,98.0769,100.0,94.2308,98.0769,100.0,59.6154,46.1538,25.0,28.8462,34.6154,75.0,26.9231,59.6154,69.2308,86.5385,28.8462,32.6923,86.5385,76.9231,76.9231,61.5385,36.5385,59.6154,48.0769,25.0,15.3846,94.2308,55.7692],"confirmation":[79.8743,51.849,49.7838,76.0896,80.5648,84.4638,87.4024,29.6112,85.7364,78.2271,90.1663,7.2805,5.163,48.6434,73.9005,4.6678,80.721,74.1636,29.1785,51.6311,74.6207,79.6131,77.4856,81.7314,87.9652,95.055,82.2149,84.8845,10.9496,81.1713,6.3028,51.0779,52.5066,79.7359,78.2923,78.478,83.2696,76.0174,92.0764,79.8996,82.1948,84.6547,31.8499,81.2683,25.155,24.4064,83.8455,85.0199,29.8192,79.3185,84.3192,26.2823],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[41.5877,2.9499,45.6273,2.1068,8.5226,22.1732,19.5435,40.1137,21.7029,32.9014,16.0163,41.2009,28.4317,31.4442,55.8535,6.2248,21.8294,33.6043,47.283,30.7301,37.6406,31.6652,34.7087,28.49,19.0956,8.2779,26.6136,23.4006,42.8666,5.0355,27.078,52.0049,3.0434,6.9459,30.064,28.7548,23.2528,32.0006,13.0502,29.328,26.2202,22.8121,27.4328,12.3328,37.1711,45.4503,20.288,19.3315,41.6382,29.3236,21.8001,44.3504],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-9.3,"control":-0.1,"force":-4.2,"direction":-29.6,"confirmation":26.3,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":44.4,"intensity":55.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-9.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-0.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-4.2","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-29.6","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"26/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"57.8","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"51.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"66%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[11.5697,11.7717,11.7717,12.1702,12.5687,12.7393,12.6891,12.6807,13.2248,13.1243,12.9483,12.7794,12.7203,12.7287,12.9061,12.9572,12.9487,12.7015,12.7867,12.8992,12.6927,12.7185,12.9078,12.6829,12.3007,12.2833,12.2312,12.4583,12.2828,12.1951,12.5811,12.9408,12.0108,11.993,12.2942,12.3296,12.5238,12.4343,12.6669,12.8369,13.3483,13.3664,13.3844,13.6644,13.7728,13.8093,13.8639,14.502,14.6843,14.4921,14.6944,14.5013,14.5748,14.5196,14.4732,14.5474,14.7051,14.9185,15.1431,15.1244,15.4239,15.4239,15.7712,15.4126,15.2899,15.3182,15.469,15.4309,15.0406,15.0311,15.2215,15.3368,15.452,15.6057,15.7497,16.0676,16.6583,17.8206,17.869,18.296,17.8469,17.9445,17.6711,17.8274,17.9652,18.162,18.3097,18.4081,18.637,18.696,19.2474,19.08,19.2188,19.4966,19.0302,19.2684,18.934,19.1128,19.4402,19.6982,19.5295,19.62,18.92,18.99],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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