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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":58.2,"averageExpectedMove":58.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-32.6,"medianReturn":-32.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-58.2,"medianReturn":-58.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-68.0,"medianReturn":-68.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-12.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-36.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-32.2,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-34.9,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-39.7,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-45.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-47.3,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-45.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-49.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-58.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-55.8,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-58.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-58.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-60.9,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-56.3,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-63.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-62.7,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-60.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-62.9,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-67.1,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-71.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-71.5,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-69.3,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-68.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 69.5% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-10-25","price":78.03}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[64.63,64.12,54.13,66.73,70.47,61.63,64.96,65.84,65.8,78.03,72.88,68.48,49.58,52.59,52.94,50.8,47.03,42.25,41.16,42.89,39.31,32.65,34.5,32.75,32.56,30.48,34.07,28.87,29.1,30.89,28.95,25.65,22.62,22.22,23.94,24.99,29.36,27.55,28.43,26.98,26.8,27.83,26.08,26.01,26.52,28.19,31.11,32.01,34.42,32.68,37.89,40.03,26.0,27.05,26.98,24.81,25.4,25.57,29.72,33.56,33.535,34.42,38.08,36.77,39.11,34.26,36.81,38.55,37.08,35.19,37.18,35.42,31.99,33.92,32.22,29.04,28.44,29.0,31.03,33.84,32.98,35.63,32.33,32.52,34.8,34.26,35.2,32.75,30.0,31.33,30.27,30.89,32.74,28.45,28.75,30.38,38.04,37.44,38.86,37.08,34.79,31.74,34.26,33.19],"consensus":[34.1708,17.4743,-36.9001,49.4554,37.5322,-28.776,27.301,10.6529,0.0,61.2372,0.0,-14.6523,-66.1178,-14.3325,-28.8432,-34.7362,-41.271,-51.3065,-44.2344,-12.1787,-48.719,-68.5188,-19.9421,-46.8631,-27.7889,-37.7466,0.0,-52.4756,-18.7158,0.0,-34.4999,-46.8376,-48.9675,-26.9224,-22.4013,-10.7824,33.6394,-8.0953,14.1811,-15.6039,-17.5926,12.1783,-27.534,-13.4233,0.0,19.398,46.9948,34.6431,53.8091,0.0,68.5638,52.9856,-57.3973,-10.1185,-22.778,-51.0378,0.0,-17.5258,38.6502,48.878,20.6637,32.6354,55.2183,18.1526,38.8927,-19.3418,32.0042,33.5078,0.0,0.0,26.0438,-16.6714,-47.1718,0.0,-34.0861,-53.8621,-28.8949,-22.0154,8.5949,28.3914,9.003,39.0102,-22.7651,0.0,31.6002,0.0,21.0552,-22.3019,-44.3028,0.0,-35.3201,0.0,26.1941,-51.768,-15.7598,0.0,64.5923,18.9449,38.5908,15.0727,-23.3873,-42.7122,17.4647,20.5137],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-50.4122,-5.8287,-18.2194,-55.2811,0.0,-19.4481,39.427,42.4204,10.9859,26.3278,54.0433,14.4544,32.1822,-25.2091,44.9162,35.2204,0.0,0.0,33.2664,-16.3861,-47.9424,0.0,-34.9329,-58.2211,-24.5815,-14.8055,19.1578,24.7937,4.4642,35.2172,-29.5752,0.0,32.6374,0.0,17.8961,-27.275,-40.3622,0.0,-36.1662,0.0,27.132,-54.0718,-14.0847,0.0,59.1271,7.8889,30.128,6.824,-22.8819,-39.3195,32.1813,16.9657],"force":[-95.1034,-14.0615,-11.2368,-52.702,0.0,-3.6007,65.6876,63.4322,3.1764,23.4505,56.3403,10.3093,31.5176,-50.7783,31.2277,29.7975,0.0,0.0,26.6888,-27.2018,-61.5168,0.0,-34.0265,-53.8976,-13.8363,-6.1455,28.2204,40.5171,4.2523,48.6009,-45.9274,0.0,45.2193,0.0,19.5103,-40.6736,-60.3445,0.0,-34.7818,0.0,39.9034,-67.2371,-1.2577,0.0,92.884,7.7284,30.957,10.9981,-49.4109,-63.2897,35.8665,27.039],"direction":[-38.4473,-32.2927,-36.2316,-44.9998,0.0,-25.2754,18.4501,45.8622,44.2151,46.4046,55.7597,42.7089,51.8298,-9.8182,17.8023,34.2008,0.0,0.0,17.3286,-9.4758,-36.0446,0.0,-33.1608,-48.8549,-44.5808,-41.5911,17.4952,23.8418,17.5836,36.4946,-1.5623,0.0,20.6868,0.0,25.769,-3.4957,-37.3481,0.0,-34.7376,0.0,15.3298,-38.0858,-29.8296,0.0,50.6298,50.6328,53.7153,43.1218,-5.3766,-31.8915,12.4985,19.9078],"intensity":[96.1538,94.2308,5.7692,30.7692,21.1538,11.5385,73.0769,82.6923,13.4615,9.6154,69.2308,9.6154,80.7692,82.6923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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+20.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+17.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+27.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+19.9","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"75/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.5","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"12.4%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[64.63,64.12,54.13,66.73,70.47,61.63,64.96,65.84,65.8,78.03,72.88,68.48,49.58,52.59,52.94,50.8,47.03,42.25,41.16,42.89,39.31,32.65,34.5,32.75,32.56,30.48,34.07,28.87,29.1,30.89,28.95,25.65,22.62,22.22,23.94,24.99,29.36,27.55,28.43,26.98,26.8,27.83,26.08,26.01,26.52,28.19,31.11,32.01,34.42,32.68,37.89,40.03,26.0,27.05,26.98,24.81,25.4,25.57,29.72,33.56,33.535,34.42,38.08,36.77,39.11,34.26,36.81,38.55,37.08,35.19,37.18,35.42,31.99,33.92,32.22,29.04,28.44,29.0,31.03,33.84,32.98,35.63,32.33,32.52,34.8,34.26,35.2,32.75,30.0,31.33,30.27,30.89,32.74,28.45,28.75,30.38,38.04,37.44,38.86,37.08,34.79,31.74,34.26,33.19],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}