{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"UPS Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"bb2c082b-d954-4c52-9f9a-9b5b05f795ef","symbol":"UPS","name":"United Parcel Service, Inc.","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":33,"displayedObservations":33,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[0.476645,0.632474,0.601227,0.529919,0.408168],"opens":[14.25,14.35,14.48,13.37,13.13],"highs":[14.85,14.72,14.48,13.7,13.29],"lows":[14.0,14.19,12.94,12.89,12.93],"closes":[14.83,14.37,13.17,13.13,13.14],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"14.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"14.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"14.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"14.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"Reversal danger","className":"is-negative","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"14.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"14.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"14.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"14.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"14.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"14.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"13.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"13.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"13.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"13.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"13.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"13.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"12.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"13.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[13.028,14.932],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the accumulation zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying conditions are repairing or continuing to weaken.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has moved from the upper positioning area into the lower accumulation zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to classify the move.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Accumulation zone","detail":"Price is in the lower accumulation area. With limited Market Dynamics history, the zone describes location rather than a completed positioning signal.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":14.83}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[12.5986,13.5427,13.3952,13.4739,13.2772,14.6836,14.8704,14.5655,14.477,12.7756,12.1166,11.8806,11.8216,12.2347,12.6477,13.287,13.3067,13.3657,12.51,12.274,12.75,13.5,13.71,13.56,13.05,13.53,13.8,14.19,14.83,14.37,13.17,13.13,13.14],"consensus":[73.3338,72.549,-53.333,0.0,38.0731,74.3783,54.5301,42.9001,40.9892,-69.2344,-74.2193,-65.1244,-54.4894,-10.0922,23.7252,56.5498,26.1144,26.2222,-38.4456,-34.5649,15.0977,49.5766,23.08,13.1891,-13.4836,11.2922,15.2425,49.3927,70.9925,13.5639,-52.9508,-28.2735,-19.3906],"supportDates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,78.7553,49.6527,40.6792,36.3216,-53.0877,-74.5628,-67.4832,-52.8066,-2.033,20.3498,46.4261,21.6188,18.1381,-35.1293,-31.4033,28.7994,56.4968,11.9062,0.2764,-26.5746,7.5744,11.0034,57.4615,73.4545,5.509,-47.7202,-23.5745,-11.6664],"force":[73.3338,72.549,-53.333,0.0,12.8764,57.5801,25.5536,2.7828,7.7565,-95.8178,-70.7655,-44.9455,-28.4119,-34.5074,55.6571,80.9296,16.1135,23.2965,-65.8718,-27.453,40.2167,68.7143,6.2221,7.1609,-22.5356,3.4889,0.8671,34.2198,78.2454,26.3312,-91.4608,-24.6173,-6.6099],"direction":[null,null,null,null,74.4656,81.3748,80.8019,74.0935,70.0612,-68.6996,-76.2937,-76.8423,-75.0394,-55.8064,4.7743,50.7055,38.3958,37.5509,-22.6455,-43.2581,18.5035,27.998,47.8913,43.114,-7.9433,21.1148,30.3552,51.009,62.9983,51.2661,-31.4215,-36.2555,-37.3475],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,100.0,83.3333,42.8571,12.5,100.0,90.0,36.3636,8.3333,38.4615,42.8571,53.3333,68.75,47.0588,72.2222,26.3158,45.0,71.4286,77.2727,17.3913,45.8333,48.0,23.0769,29.6296,67.8571,41.3793,86.6667,74.1935,28.125],"confirmation":[46.1335,45.8824,39.7332,2.4747,13.9747,91.2224,84.6409,57.8726,57.5082,91.2112,91.6397,88.1889,84.6675,9.8503,53.95,86.9932,76.1203,76.4251,81.189,78.8922,32.0021,84.3423,52.3754,28.0588,51.419,26.099,49.8374,83.2203,90.9011,8.8647,86.1976,77.0077,51.2665],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,25.0,40.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,26.0206,10.0162,22.0485,26.0051,28.0057,14.4707,12.7893,17.3498,22.6855,26.9484,21.1092,19.999,35.5644,33.1956,7.9068,29.6074,43.5023,14.7357,37.8949,43.186,36.2074,2.3369,2.3044,19.6977,14.4694,40.4501,13.1989,34.0565,40.146],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-19.4,"control":-11.7,"force":-6.6,"direction":-37.3,"confirmation":51.3,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":40.1,"intensity":28.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Completed tape has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Completed tape","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.4","detail":"Completed tape has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-11.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-6.6","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-37.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"51/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"57.7","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"15.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"45%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[12.5986,13.5427,13.3952,13.4739,13.2772,14.6836,14.8704,14.5655,14.477,12.7756,12.1166,11.8806,11.8216,12.2347,12.6477,13.287,13.3067,13.3657,12.51,12.274,12.75,13.5,13.71,13.56,13.05,13.53,13.8,14.19,14.83,14.37,13.17,13.13,13.14],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,13.0431,13.3414,13.6194,13.7914,13.9161,13.7087,13.4192,13.1395,12.8999,12.7789,12.7551,12.8518,12.9345,13.0129,12.9215,12.8037,12.794,12.9223,13.0656,13.1555,13.1363,13.2079,13.3155,13.4745,13.721,13.839,13.7173,13.6106,13.525],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.9861,12.9304,12.9095,12.9375,12.9648,12.9945,12.9586,12.9079,12.8962,12.9409,12.9979,13.0395,13.0403,13.0766,13.1302,13.2087,13.3288,13.4059,13.3884,13.3693,13.3523],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,15.3231,15.3777,15.4118,15.4057,15.3321,15.2445,15.1845,15.1311,15.086,15.0277,14.9804,14.9799,14.9761,15.0051,15.0126,15.0015,14.8178,14.5994,14.5145,14.607,14.7818,14.7665,14.7112,14.6238],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.2088,11.8543,11.531,11.2833,11.1983,11.2036,11.2715,11.3342,11.394,11.3755,11.33,11.3457,11.3452,11.3477,11.3488,11.3372,11.4055,11.5168,11.5642,11.507,11.4917,11.6123,11.7925,12.0118],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,39.8989,123.0545,213.4767,99.6775,73.4837,54.6126,81.5402,78.2946,122.0705,44.0712,100.1419,167.5639,60.3665,56.1067,85.9566,28.688,12.4074,2.7069,3.1316,7.6239,23.5274,114.4769,83.9895,352.0292,372.7373,234.6896],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,129.7411,113.0406,79.8883,65.0,65.0,65.0,72.5138,79.6184,90.8607,94.7824,103.6944,88.2007,82.733,87.7801,95.3849,97.8629,96.8058,96.5898,96.8171,97.3287,98.886,106.2748,101.546,79.607,65.0,78.7032],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.9953,4.9147,4.8305,4.6478,4.8749,5.6505,5.6168,5.4803,5.2188,5.0011,4.8006,4.9384,4.7925,4.653,4.4032,4.3217,4.4595,5.3536,5.4269,5.2312],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope width","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,22.6236,25.877,28.808,30.8926,31.1624,30.5567,29.5812,28.6934,27.8846,27.6643,27.7483,27.6098,27.5886,27.7571,27.7964,27.8247,26.0249,23.6067,22.6256,23.7426,25.0448,23.9142,22.0246,19.6129],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-1.0893,-0.5083,-1.9608,0.0,0.0,-2.0503,-2.6455,-14.0873,-18.5185,-20.1058,-20.5026,-17.7249,-14.9471,-10.6481,-10.5159,-10.119,-15.873,-17.4603,-14.2593,-9.2158,-7.8036,-8.8123,-12.2419,-9.014,-7.1983,-4.5757,-0.2718,-3.3652,-11.4349,-11.7039,-11.6367],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,15.6128,14.9102,1.4051,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.4942,6.9883,12.396,12.5624,13.0616,5.8236,3.8269,7.8535,14.1978,15.9742,14.7054,10.3912,14.4516,16.7355,20.0346,25.4484,21.5572,11.4063,11.0679,11.1525],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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