{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"21STCENMGM Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"bcbcbe3a-79ff-4f9c-b002-dff09965e158","symbol":"21STCENMGM","name":"Twentyfirst Century Management Services Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Capital Markets"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":8.9,"averageExpectedMove":16.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":0.3,"medianReturn":1.6,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":28.6,"averageReturn":-0.6,"medianReturn":-7.1,"confidenceLow":11.7,"confidenceHigh":54.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":30.8,"averageReturn":26.6,"medianReturn":-13.0,"confidenceLow":12.7,"confidenceHigh":57.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":24.4,"averageExpectedMove":24.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-6.9,"medianReturn":-6.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-24.2,"medianReturn":-24.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-35.5,"medianReturn":-35.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-14.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-19.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-15.4,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-21.2,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-23.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-24.4,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-21.1,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-24.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-27.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-28.3,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-33.0,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-31.4,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-38.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-44.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-39.4,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-42.3,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-44.5,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-46.1,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-43.4,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-39.1,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-39.2,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-35.5,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":28.6,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 28.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.6% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 13.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 16.3% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-12-26","price":52.740002},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":43.580002}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-27","price":109.190002},{"date":"2024-11-15","price":109.75}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-10-18","price":117.889999}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[109.35,120.71,133.26,131.52,120.82,109.19,100.7,106.8,117.89,110.89,112.99,119.01,109.75,101.21,95.5,99.72,92.87,90.63,89.15,93.0,89.33,85.5,84.51,79.03,80.84,73.04,65.99,71.41,68.05,65.45,63.5,66.67,71.78,71.63,76.01,77.21,72.1,65.44,71.99,69.87,71.02,67.23,64.96,66.37,59.97,61.1,60.66,59.72,60.18,59.04,56.55,56.05,56.0,53.03,52.57,53.85,52.42,51.4,50.21,47.2,48.7,46.88,46.7,47.89,43.27,39.09,38.25,42.21,44.88,48.74,52.74,49.39,46.43,43.76,39.58,38.0,40.31,38.28,36.44,36.34,33.79,32.97,31.9,29.49,28.82,30.34,32.41,35.76,36.58,34.65,32.11,32.24,34.88,33.01,31.36,33.51,33.2,31.45,31.89,33.72,37.11,40.17,43.58,44.05],"consensus":[83.9451,91.1291,87.4234,22.745,0.0,-22.1693,-43.6772,34.4566,55.4416,-21.1979,39.7196,56.0508,-34.3147,-57.4126,-62.5202,0.0,-64.0827,-40.4774,-48.0829,0.0,-48.0643,-54.2929,-45.1486,-61.3673,-19.1631,-70.1994,-72.0426,-8.3193,-63.1597,-58.3442,-47.7923,-21.1202,20.6084,0.0,37.4184,16.1984,-33.4028,-58.5595,25.9842,-34.8359,0.0,-32.9186,-49.3819,0.0,-69.4386,-9.2855,-39.3758,-29.3807,-10.9232,-34.1188,-50.1031,-36.1442,-28.9868,-60.9056,-38.0384,-14.822,-45.0903,-38.3156,-44.7085,-61.8143,-8.6731,-51.7146,-25.5347,0.0,-67.8284,-74.8046,-39.3771,0.0,21.9089,54.3929,66.8923,-8.4257,-24.7568,-46.9898,-60.7359,-40.4555,0.0,-53.1624,-52.0632,-28.7334,-61.4246,-51.2844,-55.8916,-73.3595,-46.4289,-8.1953,17.1998,49.4208,33.0676,-14.779,-43.1177,-9.6101,29.8057,-14.0662,-37.2378,15.7787,-9.1057,-38.8052,0.0,37.9923,67.0507,79.4934,81.5708,59.8435],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-28.8717,-67.2451,-41.04,-13.1176,-50.9147,-47.3168,-54.0328,-67.6527,-1.8499,-57.9059,-19.739,0.0,-77.9064,-81.3933,-30.9936,0.0,21.8544,44.6325,71.3053,-20.4175,-36.7358,-54.6957,-71.8785,-38.5633,0.0,-59.9131,-61.3921,-31.2571,-68.8327,-58.1488,-64.0888,-76.7287,-48.5041,-5.6991,15.6165,45.1969,26.3488,-31.4659,-52.5111,-0.1814,40.9826,-12.2786,-52.3,11.1061,-8.0427,-51.0561,0.0,35.1951,62.967,80.6579,80.9889,58.4646],"force":[-8.8695,-63.3637,-19.5317,-12.8183,-38.1334,-24.2892,-32.9395,-61.3723,-26.7615,-43.7521,-4.9547,0.0,-70.9217,-83.4011,-21.328,0.0,56.1564,87.617,69.6167,-58.7769,-48.9866,-52.4841,-57.5507,-25.1242,0.0,-48.9836,-43.1414,-6.6087,-56.0111,-32.9104,-41.4148,-84.2177,-22.6242,-29.2544,71.5822,80.9648,32.641,-36.9229,-60.7786,-5.5393,50.097,-13.6376,-32.3055,28.1669,-9.4399,-36.5261,0.0,73.8648,85.6991,92.1753,92.2708,41.2218],"direction":[-43.4877,-51.9047,-47.8272,-36.5131,-43.4032,-38.0473,-42.4587,-55.4576,-46.0097,-50.3265,-46.8583,0.0,-54.101,-61.1344,-61.8506,0.0,2.4914,41.8161,59.903,-41.2444,-6.2406,-34.2586,-50.2766,-53.5689,0.0,-48.4323,-47.7745,-41.6527,-56.8249,-56.5637,-56.864,-61.753,-61.0606,-50.8244,19.8353,31.7168,41.0509,-20.1088,-19.7675,-31.6215,2.5383,-16.4153,-23.5468,12.27,-10.0818,-26.4322,0.0,15.5659,58.3976,69.1039,74.5929,74.7207],"intensity":[1.9231,23.0769,15.3846,9.6154,13.4615,7.6923,13.4615,34.6154,26.9231,23.0769,32.6923,11.5385,67.3077,63.4615,67.3077,61.5385,40.3846,73.0769,80.7692,46.1538,50.0,57.6923,65.3846,88.4615,28.8462,25.0,26.9231,21.1538,42.3077,5.7692,23.0769,40.3846,51.9231,21.1538,34.6154,61.5385,32.6923,32.6923,55.7692,65.3846,57.6923,30.7692,25.0,42.3077,7.6923,30.7692,1.9231,34.6154,80.7692,96.1538,82.6923,21.1538],"confirmation":[76.6644,87.4681,79.5626,29.3279,82.1281,79.6964,81.806,87.6781,7.9596,84.2117,52.9655,7.8928,89.6458,92.0991,80.1784,34.5699,53.9202,86.567,89.4213,35.5135,55.1427,83.0868,87.1686,80.5073,32.4428,84.7818,84.2462,53.8153,87.378,83.7465,85.3192,91.7546,82.1002,9.1496,34.0836,84.8404,78.671,32.1064,82.1928,26.6498,55.3192,72.5154,79.5362,73.4979,70.9402,80.1615,49.3816,81.2934,90.0868,93.8066,94.4376,94.6034],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[33.5497,19.2315,29.2206,32.1567,25.0115,24.7675,26.4097,19.0911,45.1927,24.0149,36.6307,19.4181,15.8811,12.5674,30.2999,50.0259,18.0554,22.7251,16.549,53.3267,35.8671,22.7181,19.6035,29.6852,46.7048,20.5252,13.2761,11.1113,18.4085,22.7322,20.4917,13.3031,26.6299,41.6779,4.9041,25.1567,33.4407,56.577,13.4508,43.2508,49.8763,27.8027,0.223,20.07,31.0978,13.8697,9.777,13.4651,14.8833,10.2332,9.2132,20.0765],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":59.8,"control":58.5,"force":41.2,"direction":74.7,"confirmation":94.6,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":20.1,"intensity":21.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+59.8","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+58.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+41.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+74.7","detail":"Upward 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