{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AIF Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"bd698b0f-baaf-4f51-aa92-642528c3f071","symbol":"AIF","name":"Altus Group Limited","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CAD","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Real Estate Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":5.4,"averageExpectedMove":8.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":41.2,"averageReturn":-1.4,"medianReturn":-0.6,"confidenceLow":21.6,"confidenceHigh":64.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":52.9,"averageReturn":-0.1,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":31.0,"confidenceHigh":73.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":37.5,"averageReturn":-5.6,"medianReturn":-6.2,"confidenceLow":18.5,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":52.9,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.9% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -0.1% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.1% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-12","price":59.543247},{"date":"2025-10-10","price":58.732574}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[54.2708,53.2707,51.996,51.6725,52.604,53.6912,52.4327,53.7207,53.819,53.2389,51.8625,55.6575,55.2741,56.7783,58.5186,57.8893,56.0606,55.2643,55.4019,55.1386,53.019,55.0597,56.9525,58.5102,58.7566,56.8737,54.2217,53.9753,52.2007,50.8403,50.8107,50.3769,48.5774,47.0053,49.0915,49.3783,51.0493,54.154,55.4888,54.1342,53.887,51.3953,51.7117,52.7005,52.3544,52.523,53.0485,53.7922,55.8546,57.5601,52.4833,60.6538,61.0504,61.0901,60.6736,59.5432,57.6989,57.7981,61.9635,58.7326,55.959,57.987,57.2812,46.9026,49.5071,53.7819,55.3128,55.2034,54.4579,55.2134,56.3964,56.2273,56.4964,51.8316,49.5889,46.0504,41.236,38.9135,42.7112,46.5587,46.7481,43.3591,46.4491,46.4491,47.71,48.75,50.76,45.67,45.8557,44.4105,41.1914,42.9853,42.1581,45.7759,45.3873,44.3607,44.1215,47.59,46.57,46.76,44.73,46.82,52.43,47.96],"consensus":[35.861,0.0,-9.3079,-12.2662,8.6368,22.0648,-13.0385,32.1797,13.3538,0.0,-27.2812,53.5177,8.0606,50.7325,60.1069,9.7883,-15.8279,-15.1774,0.0,-9.4457,-51.1469,24.713,44.0655,49.7009,35.3263,-9.5613,-46.7904,-28.5298,-56.3185,-51.3021,-33.6182,-47.0552,-55.617,-55.6118,0.0,-10.885,26.6026,52.747,47.5327,0.0,11.4437,-45.7418,-12.1297,11.7796,-15.1206,14.5031,16.7716,26.564,56.8547,61.0367,-44.1954,69.6939,48.241,41.479,28.4601,0.0,-34.0803,0.0,62.3585,-28.9637,-46.3389,21.614,-21.9805,-71.133,0.0,16.1734,15.3352,13.7443,-10.7692,14.3458,28.2775,0.0,20.5815,-59.4543,-61.2031,-73.4194,-80.3015,-69.2972,0.0,23.1274,0.0,-41.5017,12.2088,-11.4282,18.7039,28.8643,55.0292,-44.2359,-11.3718,-35.411,-59.909,0.0,-42.3683,21.0478,0.0,0.0,8.4358,39.9315,13.1101,22.3575,-18.7166,24.3243,67.5769,19.7012],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[50.859,42.4767,19.461,0.0,-26.892,0.0,65.8923,-32.0435,-50.6301,25.4522,-14.3971,-61.4817,0.0,25.9963,26.7015,10.1374,-25.6353,12.6891,37.4645,0.0,18.7403,-59.8139,-63.4507,-78.2845,-80.6696,-62.5098,0.0,24.8615,0.0,-58.9972,0.0442,-15.6818,21.5693,24.3522,51.0518,-44.8332,-9.1403,-32.4737,-58.8398,0.0,-47.0909,23.8755,0.0,0.0,7.0591,46.7322,12.5291,19.345,-23.4884,28.5396,59.5823,28.3915],"force":[26.5679,16.2127,0.2726,0.0,-82.1803,0.0,82.8013,-69.2606,-61.9797,43.5545,-28.2093,-94.0807,0.0,69.912,36.6531,15.8252,-14.3257,27.0368,29.1023,0.0,20.0792,-78.334,-63.5438,-77.6056,-92.8171,-75.7315,0.0,81.0269,0.0,-47.6162,42.6573,-8.3353,26.9164,31.4167,75.8743,-79.8356,-2.2372,-39.756,-73.2166,0.0,-36.4989,28.5347,0.0,0.0,17.5755,36.7003,1.0298,17.6982,-35.2042,37.4115,92.8568,63.1865],"direction":[60.7297,58.386,58.8788,0.0,-7.9384,0.0,43.718,-3.3396,-30.2627,1.5557,-26.1982,-65.7719,0.0,33.4374,12.882,16.3802,-8.761,7.1741,17.189,0.0,23.0444,-45.5577,-56.9623,-64.869,-70.941,-72.4582,0.0,20.2111,0.0,-17.1394,4.4634,-8.7762,9.5629,32.1979,44.6856,-18.1249,-20.4468,-35.6644,-51.6254,0.0,-41.1635,12.4684,0.0,0.0,3.4807,34.4673,22.4029,29.1283,-1.4863,10.1589,58.6565,21.2916],"intensity":[98.0769,9.6154,3.8462,26.9231,55.7692,21.1538,90.3846,82.6923,86.5385,55.7692,9.6154,100.0,94.2308,88.4615,90.3846,21.1538,23.0769,17.3077,40.3846,21.1538,30.7692,88.4615,78.8462,75.0,92.3077,71.1538,78.8462,82.6923,57.6923,65.3846,59.6154,38.4615,32.6923,42.3077,50.0,90.3846,59.6154,34.6154,63.4615,44.2308,13.4615,71.1538,3.8462,30.7692,32.6923,80.7692,25.0,15.3846,53.8462,51.9231,92.3077,82.6923],"confirmation":[82.7367,80.488,53.7187,6.928,57.8145,47.7837,88.5239,56.4953,83.2397,52.86,75.3392,91.609,12.82,36.4635,30.7986,72.5166,27.8637,50.336,76.934,3.2489,74.5988,87.5953,87.6221,91.5476,94.0723,90.4746,14.6456,36.1173,25.0295,81.2003,27.6976,71.498,74.1919,77.3831,86.3052,83.2313,48.7279,79.5087,87.5927,6.6276,81.307,74.9204,25.3455,24.4637,25.6656,80.576,49.1693,75.0583,51.7524,76.1184,90.5169,42.7061],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[23.3837,21.6366,35.5335,17.3058,24.4312,37.7198,10.8412,1.9639,1.1195,7.9293,33.6846,14.1282,44.2263,48.983,32.0392,42.0199,48.9795,11.3602,0.1138,13.9435,16.5897,7.3881,17.3861,12.9476,9.8483,15.3479,48.3719,2.2153,46.1486,66.7823,36.4971,3.836,6.3247,32.923,18.0171,9.7098,22.324,28.7539,19.9614,36.6346,24.9721,14.1326,43.6043,30.1851,31.4084,12.1286,16.4634,27.8149,24.698,30.4776,15.4144,31.4284],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":19.7,"control":28.4,"force":63.2,"direction":21.3,"confirmation":42.7,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":31.4,"intensity":82.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+19.7","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+28.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+63.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+21.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"43/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"51.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.7%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"22.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"63%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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