{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XCTE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"becc5fee-7825-4f44-8693-4c0464bc1672","symbol":"XCTE","name":"Xtrackers Harvest MSCI China Tech 100 UCITS ETF 1C","exchange":"STO","country":"SE","asset_type":"etf","currency":"SEK","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":46,"displayedObservations":46,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","headline":"Downward price structure is confirmed by Market Dynamics","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","take":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","tone":"negative","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.276778,0.432888,0.730216,0.994613,1.043582,1.202418,1.12422,0.919427,1.007478,0.775951,0.662285,0.587649,0.252538,0.096195,-0.071793,-0.179204,-0.168689,-0.190168],"opens":[338.200012,338.5,345.950012,356.899994,355.5,352.299988,352.5,345.0,350.5,348.0,345.5,347.149994,341.850006,329.5,339.950012,333.549988,345.600006,342.0],"highs":[344.600006,341.899994,355.299988,361.899994,355.5,357.200012,352.5,345.0,359.299988,348.0,346.399994,347.25,341.850006,342.950012,340.850006,345.649994,346.450012,342.799988],"lows":[338.200012,334.549988,345.75,355.700012,345.549988,347.850006,349.600006,343.0,348.850006,343.700012,345.0,347.049988,327.0,329.5,331.200012,332.450012,336.850006,329.25],"closes":[341.0,341.899994,351.899994,355.700012,345.549988,352.0,349.75,343.5,358.799988,344.75,346.399994,347.049988,329.5,336.200012,333.850006,345.649994,338.149994,334.549988],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"338.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"344.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"338.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"341.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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weakening","context":{"scenario":"negativeWeakening","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":18,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-06-19","price":358.799988}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":344.75}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[377.8,355.35,37.8736,357.7,363.2,354.0,329.85,342.8,344.3,335.55,333.85,335.6,344.6,348.3,353.95,344.25,332.1,327.05,325.0,324.95,325.85,318.9,334.75,321.6,318.55,320.75,328.25,341.25,341.0,341.9,351.9,355.7,345.55,352.0,349.75,343.5,358.8,344.75,346.4,347.05,329.5,336.2,333.85,345.65,338.15,334.55],"consensus":[-100.0,-64.3313,-100.0,-21.4683,15.8558,0.0,-12.1889,14.5025,9.7089,-24.7939,0.0,8.7133,23.198,25.9336,24.3623,-12.1169,-31.6624,-10.9272,-31.7906,-15.6914,-22.76,-32.5842,32.5042,-36.4842,-20.3225,-8.0072,15.1921,48.7919,21.4093,33.9242,47.4929,26.0238,-10.9249,33.409,0.0,-16.8158,62.3387,-22.9237,14.7373,0.0,-62.5827,0.0,-32.9192,39.0335,-26.7032,-23.8941],"supportDates":["2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,0.0,-35.8811,28.2977,23.7211,-28.1679,0.0,21.2566,32.6605,26.4679,13.5587,-21.7078,-26.3413,-1.8061,-34.8593,-11.1348,-30.9454,-38.6963,37.5098,-42.0242,-20.7512,-12.4815,24.1983,44.6242,15.3638,35.7827,45.4136,10.0598,-23.2564,25.4297,0.0,-18.4458,61.7599,-28.7417,27.1032,0.0,-59.4521,0.0,-30.4119,43.0024,-33.7258,-25.7832],"force":[-100.0,-64.3313,-100.0,-21.4683,10.0592,0.0,-17.9143,18.1411,8.8401,-31.7757,0.0,12.6118,27.3699,27.4919,25.8281,-30.4971,-58.5721,-6.9039,-25.6746,-5.5933,-16.6966,-30.7031,51.6343,-54.4843,-14.8665,-2.7506,29.9241,71.7209,8.2033,25.0663,47.3524,19.5163,-40.5521,38.9678,0.0,-27.5018,85.1474,-37.1575,13.7362,0.0,-88.0513,0.0,-34.0902,77.3621,-56.3957,-27.6336],"direction":[null,null,null,null,19.9963,0.0,-18.9775,3.8624,5.6844,-15.9508,0.0,8.4064,9.4037,24.2098,35.6622,-11.9729,-18.5225,-28.3534,-32.6522,-28.1119,-17.7363,-26.9426,13.1191,-17.2955,-23.7298,-10.5779,5.6236,37.1771,37.7512,38.1273,49.9698,48.9166,-24.3304,38.5577,0.0,-7.32,46.7084,-6.1076,1.3201,0.0,-47.9687,0.0,-34.9483,7.1199,-2.5316,-19.0639],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,20.0,66.6667,42.8571,12.5,22.2222,60.0,18.1818,33.3333,46.1538,42.8571,40.0,75.0,70.5882,16.6667,21.0526,25.0,28.5714,72.7273,65.2174,83.3333,8.0,23.0769,66.6667,21.4286,6.8966,66.6667,54.8387,56.25,15.1515,11.7647,31.4286,77.7778,70.2703,5.2632,7.6923,87.5,21.9512,9.5238,62.7907,36.3636,37.7778],"confirmation":[54.6667,43.2527,54.6667,29.5365,50.1422,27.9095,30.4291,50.6988,49.4129,76.0954,0.2474,27.176,75.4063,76.3381,76.0052,29.5123,79.0332,26.6201,77.9399,50.1163,74.9737,78.2765,78.9081,80.1391,74.3304,48.0864,51.7062,84.3757,74.5406,78.5575,83.2251,76.3725,32.0682,78.9819,27.6614,51.0152,88.6523,53.0141,49.8303,3.8543,88.8504,8.7451,78.608,58.9317,55.2163,83.7313],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,60.0,50.0,57.1429,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,11.1594,2.3954,52.0545,11.6014,10.7403,6.305,1.7878,6.9953,11.4841,7.9022,4.2296,11.0682,26.7965,43.3219,33.8822,41.7326,27.6902,27.3059,27.1449,1.2327,25.6158,15.8657,41.3602,24.554,38.8585,32.6776,26.0396,34.7808,30.3888,24.9956,12.1266,38.0368,16.3902,23.4843,26.3559,22.2941,18.5678,38.8868,27.4725,26.9609,49.605,2.9847],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-23.9,"control":-25.8,"force":-27.6,"direction":-19.1,"confirmation":83.7,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":3.0,"intensity":37.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-23.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-25.8","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-27.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-19.1","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"28.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"43%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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