{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ARFIN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"bef6046a-61e4-4157-92d9-09931a39be46","symbol":"ARFIN","name":"Arfin India Limited","exchange":"NSI","country":"IN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"INR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Aluminum"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":56,"displayedObservations":56,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-9.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-11.3,"sample":1},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":11.0,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 11.0% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 2.8% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":94.730003},{"date":"2026-05-29","price":92.510002},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":98.879997}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":91.480003},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":89.809998}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[33.4963,37.5885,36.6902,34.4146,33.676,32.7976,38.0876,43.108,46.781,46.9108,47.4498,49.6556,50.4042,52.8894,54.8856,55.764,57.85,57.21,57.77,60.77,64.88,64.17,69.66,74.78,79.04,80.36,78.34,75.26,77.7,74.0,71.21,71.7,76.96,75.04,76.95,75.47,76.15,89.26,94.73,95.16,94.49,96.49,91.48,94.65,92.51,89.24,84.82,98.88,89.81,92.06,89.65,85.92,91.99,90.18,88.03,84.05],"consensus":[-77.8251,100.0,-49.2959,-40.4905,0.0,-21.4275,30.3256,59.8166,63.0097,36.0006,35.1807,46.4894,39.336,56.1768,50.5554,49.3773,48.1104,25.771,35.4306,50.9043,61.8969,27.6407,71.7225,75.8529,76.0132,45.2918,22.3841,0.0,43.642,-22.8943,-22.0587,0.0,45.2766,0.0,35.604,0.0,11.6668,69.2257,66.7418,32.5435,32.3659,50.5395,-20.1652,36.483,0.0,0.0,-23.6395,41.8,-15.4869,10.3294,0.0,-44.1276,37.8145,0.0,-14.8666,-35.8171],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,-22.258,36.7781,50.7982,56.2304,26.7176,27.554,43.9668,41.2634,61.8461,47.248,51.5197,49.7496,22.8269,38.3993,53.1942,68.1902,21.0803,70.5129,76.8195,76.2709,33.6781,20.2333,0.0,49.9552,-14.1559,-10.4554,0.0,47.8866,0.0,36.3049,0.0,18.2369,65.9327,69.6656,24.2963,28.0877,55.8002,-15.4893,40.4996,0.0,0.0,-17.2263,47.5133,-15.446,8.7599,0.0,-36.4203,37.5799,0.0,-9.9079,-35.3057],"force":[0.0,-18.7118,29.195,79.5389,70.2976,12.3939,13.1408,32.603,17.5777,38.3798,33.194,24.5831,34.8021,1.5877,19.4937,46.039,56.5914,1.9312,85.3522,86.9077,85.1247,30.688,29.8026,0.0,50.6774,-76.3817,-53.598,0.0,76.5423,0.0,40.7001,0.0,7.6608,94.3686,71.6534,7.4491,3.9448,37.5737,-78.713,43.8546,0.0,0.0,-25.8367,38.6392,-27.6789,8.133,0.0,-64.8425,74.967,0.0,-21.4181,-45.0658],"direction":[0.0,-22.4181,23.759,56.0359,65.5518,63.4717,59.6397,59.2914,52.675,62.4098,66.7363,64.6389,55.7429,48.6777,43.4212,51.7624,58.4943,56.261,63.3694,66.8519,69.2104,68.9959,62.1184,0.0,31.4016,-5.3243,-12.7916,0.0,19.9611,0.0,31.1627,0.0,7.0196,55.0298,59.892,59.8935,57.556,53.7885,-16.3108,26.6271,0.0,0.0,-29.3995,37.5282,-6.8253,13.692,0.0,-38.1396,11.5451,0.0,-15.8541,-29.7954],"intensity":[25.0,20.0,100.0,85.7143,100.0,33.3333,20.0,36.3636,33.3333,53.8462,57.1429,6.6667,62.5,5.8824,55.5556,84.2105,75.0,52.381,95.4545,86.9565,100.0,76.0,69.2308,48.1481,32.1429,58.6207,86.6667,16.129,87.5,100.0,100.0,14.2857,30.5556,100.0,97.3684,92.3077,35.0,21.9512,95.2381,95.3488,84.0909,91.1111,58.6957,100.0,95.8333,48.9796,42.0,47.0588,78.8462,13.4615,21.1538,50.0],"confirmation":[24.786,74.7614,77.5714,87.8798,88.4885,78.9422,78.7023,82.4919,79.8951,85.3478,83.699,83.0124,82.9648,53.1298,78.8069,84.1062,87.5494,53.7891,91.385,92.5951,92.598,82.2253,34.6298,10.6194,82.0836,55.5586,76.1968,1.5381,83.4016,6.5843,79.5379,4.6265,26.1778,90.9686,89.4625,55.1081,54.8894,83.6973,34.4547,79.838,5.1209,48.3988,75.7293,81.1926,50.6613,71.2624,2.3531,82.8696,81.2365,25.0477,73.0325,79.7511],"persistence":[40.0,50.0,28.5714,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[6.8102,38.0467,7.603,19.7739,18.4821,31.9954,32.3185,26.1569,25.3357,21.2566,24.5806,24.9432,25.9059,36.0995,28.6244,24.4128,19.0479,36.1754,14.1387,12.0735,11.9934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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-35.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-35.3","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-45.1","detail":"Downward 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envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[33.4963,37.5885,36.6902,34.4146,33.676,32.7976,38.0876,43.108,46.781,46.9108,47.4498,49.6556,50.4042,52.8894,54.8856,55.764,57.85,57.21,57.77,60.77,64.88,64.17,69.66,74.78,79.04,80.36,78.34,75.26,77.7,74.0,71.21,71.7,76.96,75.04,76.95,75.47,76.15,89.26,94.73,95.16,94.49,96.49,91.48,94.65,92.51,89.24,84.82,98.88,89.81,92.06,89.65,85.92,91.99,90.18,88.03,84.05],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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direction.","series":[{"label":"Impulse","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,3.9299,4.4169,4.9074,5.3059,5.724,5.9353,6.0778,6.3596,6.8357,7.0743,7.6184,8.3664,9.1969,9.8481,10.0849,9.9098,9.8543,9.4034,8.7204,8.125,7.9855,7.6321,7.4206,7.0522,6.7375,7.46,8.3773,9.0349,9.3937,9.7273,9.4781,9.4278,9.1102,8.4967,7.5666,7.8733,7.3003,6.9476,6.3999,5.6004,5.3943,5.027,4.5104,3.7368],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":2.0},{"label":"Signal","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.6839,4.9341,5.1629,5.4022,5.6889,5.966,6.2965,6.7105,7.2078,7.7358,8.2056,8.5465,8.8081,8.9271,8.8858,8.7336,8.584,8.3936,8.199,7.9697,7.7232,7.6706,7.8119,8.0565,8.3239,8.6046,8.7793,8.909,8.9492,8.8587,8.6003,8.4549,8.224,7.9687,7.655,7.244,6.8741,6.5047,6.1058,5.632],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7},{"label":"Expansion","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.0401,1.0011,0.915,0.9574,1.1468,1.1083,1.322,1.6559,1.9892,2.1123,1.8793,1.3633,1.0463,0.4763,-0.1654,-0.6086,-0.5985,-0.7615,-0.7785,-0.9174,-0.9857,-0.2106,0.5654,0.9784,1.0697,1.1227,0.6988,0.5188,0.1609,-0.362,-1.0337,-0.5816,-0.9237,-1.0211,-1.255,-1.6437,-1.4798,-1.4777,-1.5954,-1.8952],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.0,"fill":"rgba(7,134,92,.12)"}],"guides":[{"label":"Neutral","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-2.3898,-8.444,-10.4089,-12.7456,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.1063,-0.1383,0.0,0.0,-1.0943,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.5137,-6.3464,-3.3101,-7.9144,-11.3863,-10.7765,-4.231,-6.6202,-4.2434,-6.0851,-5.2389,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.7041,0.0,-5.1922,-1.9069,-4.1248,-7.5137,-12.0945,0.0,-9.1727,-6.8972,-9.3345,-13.1068,-6.968,-8.7985,-10.9729,-14.998],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,31.4364,42.6354,43.031,44.6744,51.3999,53.6823,61.2599,67.3463,70.0243,76.3846,74.4333,76.1407,85.2877,97.8191,95.6543,112.3934,128.0042,140.993,145.0176,138.8587,129.4678,136.9073,125.626,117.1193,88.2503,78.5282,60.4069,64.0347,59.0524,53.3564,77.0886,79.1095,73.3787,69.4463,68.6593,59.9021,63.8394,52.2297,39.0681,32.1802,41.9466,26.1199,29.2796,25.8952,20.6572,29.1813,26.6395,23.6203,18.0312],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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