{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"QFG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"bf921514-f1d9-49f0-91c2-0dd3d3914703","symbol":"QFG","name":"Quest for Growth NV","exchange":"BRU","country":"BE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.6,"averageExpectedMove":2.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":2.8,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-2.4,"medianReturn":-2.0,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":12.5,"averageReturn":-5.6,"medianReturn":-5.3,"confidenceLow":3.5,"confidenceHigh":36.0,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":20.0,"averageReturn":-7.8,"medianReturn":-8.9,"confidenceLow":7.0,"confidenceHigh":45.2,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.5,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":12.5,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 12.5% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -5.6% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 2.9% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 2.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.048}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.346,3.3614,3.3767,3.3767,3.4228,3.4688,3.3844,3.3844,3.3691,3.2847,3.2693,3.2233,3.1542,3.0621,3.016,2.993,2.9393,2.993,2.993,3.0314,3.0698,3.016,2.993,3.1772,3.2693,3.4535,3.3844,3.2923,3.2309,3.254,3.277,3.2156,3.016,2.9355,3.0314,3.0237,3.021,3.0157,3.0467,3.0314,3.1081,3.1926,3.1519,3.0851,3.1005,3.2847,3.2386,3.247,3.2616,3.2785,3.2731,3.262,3.254,3.2309,3.2463,3.2236,3.1926,3.1849,3.1849,3.1465,3.1081,3.0698,3.3092,3.1657,3.1158,3.0698,3.0467,3.0698,3.0391,3.0694,3.1081,3.1546,3.1158,3.1388,3.1166,3.254,3.3115,3.2962,3.4535,3.3929,3.3537,3.2386,3.1,2.85,2.81,3.01,3.05,2.957,2.95,3.05,3.014,3.0,3.0005,2.9995,2.966,2.977,2.98,3.0,2.9195,2.9175,2.856,2.97,2.9605,3.048],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,11.7578,0.0,25.0848,42.1921,-31.0671,0.0,-13.6196,-52.1345,-33.0304,-45.1843,-55.3741,-63.5453,-53.4512,-42.5174,-63.5044,-9.5418,-31.5579,-8.2592,20.164,-30.5542,-29.0073,62.9158,57.9253,74.2065,12.6857,0.0,-12.1555,10.8698,14.5743,-28.4788,-64.4193,-48.696,0.0,-13.6602,0.0,0.0,0.0,-22.6746,32.4406,47.4816,0.0,-22.6594,0.0,65.9073,0.0,35.8785,29.6428,20.0732,10.4951,14.7507,8.5432,-12.5778,8.1154,-20.4398,-30.2211,-19.2651,-13.2072,-38.7389,-46.1806,-51.0446,57.239,-36.6018,-32.6138,-36.6774,-34.3327,-11.2915,-45.6363,0.0,21.1643,30.3417,-14.0236,14.8754,-13.1375,62.1116,52.9948,21.1229,73.0913,16.3794,0.0,-36.9749,-58.4405,-75.4086,-57.6635,12.6772,0.0,-33.3337,-22.0352,18.7385,-18.7236,-11.5805,0.0,0.0,-30.1576,-21.378,-9.3939,0.0,-45.5149,-23.3273,-56.0758,21.33,0.0,50.0389],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[10.7272,-13.7864,9.9342,-25.5564,-34.1403,-18.0852,-8.3941,-35.0034,-46.9278,-47.4869,46.8754,-39.3066,-37.3408,-41.4183,-27.6075,-2.645,-49.6097,0.0,18.8898,22.942,-26.4927,9.6704,-18.199,57.4488,51.1684,9.7436,69.2452,10.1794,0.0,-34.0864,-48.4684,-74.0568,-55.703,25.3845,0.0,-51.8632,-39.0604,21.6996,-21.6708,-18.0037,0.0,0.0,-38.822,-31.2473,-9.2922,0.0,-59.4064,-22.3181,-60.4444,28.9106,0.0,48.2511],"force":[5.3399,-26.8458,7.9463,-32.8673,-35.8496,-17.5405,-5.8667,-47.3519,-45.4008,-53.8991,90.5851,-77.3861,-44.7589,-42.0151,-24.0879,-12.3622,-45.2988,0.0,44.6102,49.4408,-30.586,17.202,-24.7827,90.0952,49.9794,6.3012,89.3543,29.7377,0.0,-79.1258,-91.2765,-95.8224,-51.0498,71.6946,0.0,-26.9454,-7.3831,41.5011,-15.4496,-6.6589,0.0,0.0,-23.0911,-10.8386,-1.1794,0.0,-40.6236,-10.6811,-59.0546,47.2523,0.0,68.2785],"direction":[15.9636,-1.0053,6.1576,-5.7156,-21.7217,-21.8454,-23.951,-36.856,-45.8837,-53.0715,45.2644,-4.3788,-18.5364,-27.4468,-49.3363,-38.0687,-41.3364,0.0,7.0166,25.1563,-12.0571,19.1622,-0.9651,47.4523,57.2358,53.7166,65.8704,56.406,0.0,-10.1683,-46.3829,-62.3722,-64.6281,44.0006,0.0,-16.7203,-13.0435,0.9046,-17.6938,-7.7553,0.0,0.0,-25.303,-17.6269,-15.3776,0.0,-33.1327,-33.5136,-48.9554,5.8493,0.0,39.054],"intensity":[1.9231,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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+50.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+48.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+68.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+39.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.5%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"9.3","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected 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