{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"3060 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c01d4686-e4c2-44da-aaf1-8b8e682635eb","symbol":"3060","name":"Yanbu Cement Company","exchange":"SAU","country":"SA","asset_type":"equity","currency":"SAR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Building Materials"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":4.1,"averageExpectedMove":5.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":17,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":29.4,"averageReturn":-2.1,"medianReturn":-2.5,"confidenceLow":13.3,"confidenceHigh":53.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":20.0,"averageReturn":-4.2,"medianReturn":-5.1,"confidenceLow":7.0,"confidenceHigh":45.2,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":28.6,"averageReturn":-8.5,"medianReturn":-8.8,"confidenceLow":11.7,"confidenceHigh":54.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-4.9,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-8.5,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 12.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.4% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-10-17","price":16.037432},{"date":"2026-06-05","price":15.810905}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[21.7022,21.8111,21.6841,21.4845,22.1558,22.2647,21.0308,20.6135,21.0852,20.7042,20.8675,21.7203,21.2486,21.1941,21.3756,21.6841,22.5955,22.0028,21.6879,21.6509,21.725,21.762,23.114,23.1326,23.3363,22.3177,21.6509,20.9841,20.9286,20.9656,20.9471,21.8361,22.1695,20.5582,20.5767,20.6508,20.0211,19.2988,19.5025,19.1135,18.9469,19.0024,18.632,18.0764,18.8728,18.5394,18.0579,17.493,16.817,15.7705,16.0946,15.5798,15.1412,15.7895,15.5321,15.3986,15.7228,16.4093,16.3425,16.0946,16.0374,15.3414,15.4558,15.1126,15.0458,14.96,14.6072,14.6644,15.0,14.41,14.32,14.68,14.87,15.09,15.4,15.61,15.05,15.03,14.84,14.35,14.24,14.51,14.85,14.78,14.66,13.6913,14.0828,13.72,14.5029,14.1019,15.2189,15.6104,15.6104,15.8109,15.18,15.43,15.5,15.47,15.26,15.16,15.23,14.94,15.04,14.57],"consensus":[-50.7664,-39.6978,-41.3694,-41.2135,15.1062,0.0,-63.121,-50.1422,-10.1175,-51.289,-21.7188,37.6189,-27.8182,-11.7717,0.0,21.1611,60.5841,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,66.5149,28.2519,38.5315,-20.2277,-43.144,-58.0325,-27.3603,-24.2787,-27.9843,38.2123,38.8666,-45.0075,-31.7142,-14.6352,-57.7501,-62.676,-27.9798,-57.7262,-44.0056,-17.8645,-56.7854,-45.4226,14.4171,-46.924,-55.8338,-64.8198,-71.4752,-81.8453,-14.1596,-66.0608,-71.7279,0.0,-43.209,-39.9747,13.4699,36.4787,11.5962,-14.7919,0.0,-59.1243,-19.7935,-49.2203,-32.1369,-21.7076,-50.7367,-22.1872,0.0,-55.9625,-28.7025,12.4555,11.3604,22.5407,48.0738,36.0876,-25.0518,0.0,-28.9176,-56.3344,-31.4385,0.0,23.6033,0.0,-11.0642,-56.5187,0.0,-54.3477,36.4775,-27.0554,64.0644,64.6534,35.1908,48.6382,-25.361,27.1664,24.0836,0.0,0.0,-11.6132,8.1957,-34.4692,0.0,-56.6862],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-70.3302,0.0,-41.0541,-48.7803,8.916,30.3983,7.016,-29.2011,0.0,-59.7624,-17.0113,-53.6496,-31.487,-18.6657,-57.706,-20.1378,0.0,-56.0331,-30.7606,16.1457,15.4634,13.3165,48.0913,26.778,-36.9467,0.0,-30.1315,-62.6729,-26.5274,0.0,30.7534,0.0,-24.2383,-55.7206,0.0,-60.161,40.5395,-36.3129,57.2591,65.8397,29.4111,37.7864,-27.9194,31.2138,30.8566,0.0,0.0,-11.6974,15.7111,-34.4824,0.0,-57.6352],"force":[-79.8035,0.0,-34.2882,-21.4868,63.0182,81.0578,15.1884,-20.2544,0.0,-79.193,-2.8917,-48.0421,-15.3525,-4.8355,-42.859,-0.73,0.0,-75.3776,-13.7826,44.1072,31.1674,32.4285,53.1187,30.0909,-54.5993,0.0,-37.2662,-65.0673,-24.7499,0.0,36.8439,0.0,-18.4176,-66.6091,0.0,-51.6224,81.7521,-46.7948,92.6893,69.4812,9.9583,45.7564,-81.4814,28.4347,13.3856,0.0,0.0,-20.3932,10.9746,-46.844,0.0,-75.2681],"direction":[-67.5571,0.0,-52.0439,-43.1168,16.7171,11.5857,14.265,-5.5774,0.0,-44.0602,-39.1769,-44.9997,-44.8685,-37.2355,-48.3987,-40.8986,0.0,-42.0138,-37.0073,14.3703,7.4767,26.02,44.4503,51.0104,-9.6478,0.0,-21.5671,-42.8526,-41.8288,0.0,5.9742,0.0,-9.2443,-50.2235,0.0,-49.6506,0.5038,-2.3758,51.3955,59.8492,59.8194,63.0986,-17.6489,21.6348,23.9846,0.0,0.0,-5.2456,2.3784,-25.6151,0.0,-42.329],"intensity":[34.6154,51.9231,15.3846,3.8462,26.9231,69.2308,30.7692,17.3077,3.8462,61.5385,40.3846,32.6923,40.3846,19.2308,32.6923,17.3077,80.7692,80.7692,55.7692,34.6154,9.6154,55.7692,23.0769,51.9231,55.7692,42.3077,9.6154,50.0,50.0,19.2308,30.7692,11.5385,1.9231,98.0769,50.0,42.3077,86.5385,53.8462,98.0769,88.4615,53.8462,48.0769,71.1538,75.0,1.9231,19.2308,38.4615,5.7692,3.8462,30.7692,5.7692,63.4615],"confirmation":[91.2204,12.9671,81.5879,80.0943,32.1228,81.1244,49.2234,51.2035,24.7758,87.5217,51.6352,83.6471,77.7822,51.8119,83.8895,51.9218,30.1542,86.4986,76.6987,30.6265,51.1048,75.6549,83.5371,79.5071,33.4607,24.6132,77.4896,86.1966,77.9313,7.1804,53.181,24.8393,28.2027,86.4057,31.8386,85.2196,58.4315,54.4516,89.4767,88.8181,78.5801,83.6418,36.2186,76.6702,75.2775,3.5368,27.6241,49.3159,48.4335,79.4071,2.3721,44.64],"persistence":[100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[14.0743,1.9374,18.3709,3.0264,33.3993,23.6474,40.2058,51.4978,31.9975,19.1718,38.7759,24.5985,33.3454,27.8863,24.0943,33.0131,4.2557,17.7602,24.9036,3.6732,25.3041,37.2394,25.9133,31.7995,38.4605,6.6678,32.7271,21.7851,33.5535,46.8872,10.1126,41.9312,50.6861,20.4837,47.6267,22.4593,35.2626,50.5328,16.5441,17.5805,31.0278,25.5489,9.1473,29.4959,22.0132,28.088,10.8403,20.4751,31.2283,25.7123,24.6114,20.2527],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-56.7,"control":-57.6,"force":-75.3,"direction":-42.3,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":20.3,"intensity":63.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-56.7","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-57.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-75.3","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-42.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.1","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"38%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}