{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"300533 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c2fc7bc8-680d-4ad5-9548-af765bb249f5","symbol":"300533","name":"Shenzhen Bingchuan Network Co.,Ltd.","exchange":"SHZ","country":"CN","asset_type":"equity","currency":"CNY","sector":"Communication Services","industry":"Electronic Gaming & Multimedia"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":3,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":14.9,"averageExpectedMove":20.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":3,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-7.5,"medianReturn":-9.4,"confidenceLow":20.8,"confidenceHigh":93.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-16.1,"medianReturn":-11.8,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":3,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-37.1,"medianReturn":-32.4,"confidenceLow":43.9,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":3},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":3},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-9.2,"sample":3},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":3},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":3},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-12.0,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-16.6,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.8,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-16.1,"sample":3},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":3},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":3},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-14.2,"sample":3},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-14.2,"sample":3},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-14.3,"sample":3},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-22.9,"sample":3},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-23.3,"sample":3},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-26.5,"sample":3},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-28.5,"sample":3},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-29.5,"sample":3},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-28.2,"sample":3},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-30.7,"sample":3},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-32.7,"sample":3},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-37.1,"sample":3}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is repairing against a downward price structure","use":"The downside structure remains in place, but improving Market Dynamics weakens that case. A positive price response is needed to confirm the repair.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains in a downward structure","detail":"Improving Market Dynamics has not yet produced a positive price response."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 14.8% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":11.905122},{"date":"2024-10-18","price":11.647893},{"date":"2024-11-08","price":12.432774}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-09-05","price":25.518515},{"date":"2025-10-03","price":25.472347},{"date":"2025-10-31","price":25.483484}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-09-26","price":26.171484},{"date":"2025-10-24","price":26.619986},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":26.03821}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[10.3947,9.2075,9.2801,8.8777,8.7854,8.7986,10.3815,11.9051,10.553,11.6479,12.2547,11.4698,12.4328,14.9853,14.484,15.3876,16.0604,17.861,15.6514,13.3496,12.037,11.9183,13.6596,14.5038,14.1147,15.17,16.1395,15.8097,14.9655,17.2146,18.5074,16.898,16.1857,17.2278,14.5038,14.761,13.2308,14.9787,15.8559,15.8625,15.9285,16.9112,17.0827,18.5733,17.8874,20.5454,22.8407,24.7666,23.9817,23.342,23.0056,24.483,25.967,26.1979,28.658,25.5185,25.8219,26.0725,26.1715,25.4723,24.7007,24.6677,26.62,25.4835,25.3414,24.232,22.6625,23.6434,23.0278,22.906,23.0752,23.2443,23.4946,25.4564,26.0382,26.1803,23.657,22.6896,23.5825,23.1361,21.0389,21.5463,19.5371,18.8539,18.6509,19.6115,17.1356,20.3218,18.0015,19.4898,18.0556,18.2788,16.09,16.3,14.82,14.36,15.86,15.5,17.9,13.91,12.94,14.6,15.24,15.31],"consensus":[0.0,-49.7344,-9.8291,-36.6524,-31.425,-13.391,48.0339,61.2472,-18.9743,57.2431,47.4993,-12.0164,48.7469,74.5882,28.1515,47.4954,53.0248,69.2389,0.0,-39.6171,-46.8474,-29.7289,22.7785,34.9668,0.0,41.3554,50.3959,14.0331,0.0,63.5397,57.6665,-9.8154,0.0,32.365,-52.6547,-12.9941,-58.3475,18.371,27.114,13.6635,11.5883,38.1493,20.1229,53.5001,0.0,62.8687,66.8807,63.6844,17.7968,17.6395,10.8269,40.3899,49.8325,45.5106,63.6131,-8.4172,13.7434,11.8018,0.0,0.0,-19.2977,0.0,38.5034,-14.6587,0.0,-28.6466,-49.8047,0.0,-31.308,-22.9263,0.0,-11.3767,0.0,52.7064,28.4128,28.6072,-40.6994,-40.2068,0.0,-27.3337,-56.6406,-13.0467,-66.8017,-41.7014,-42.6714,0.0,-66.0269,34.513,-56.6302,10.1361,-37.2682,-16.802,-60.2744,-27.962,-48.8636,-46.5893,-9.9246,-34.6038,43.3512,-61.3873,-58.4485,0.0,0.0,-1.9983],"supportDates":["2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[48.9219,50.0338,60.6537,-17.2321,14.1883,11.5117,0.0,0.0,-23.1125,0.0,50.7154,-18.915,0.0,-34.6083,-53.31,0.0,-29.3521,-20.3772,0.0,-10.0175,0.0,54.3628,17.5075,26.5246,-42.9471,-36.9112,0.0,-21.8743,-57.506,-7.3556,-71.0455,-35.3964,-42.7695,0.0,-62.9197,32.2131,-60.1538,13.7234,-49.2699,-9.7923,-65.4718,-22.2132,-51.1173,-47.342,-10.0595,-41.8078,44.0667,-66.1722,-65.7409,0.0,0.0,-4.7867],"force":[47.2224,24.6386,69.6658,-50.8778,0.3038,1.0705,0.0,0.0,-27.104,0.0,44.4864,-32.7525,0.0,-34.5734,-46.6144,0.0,-23.4973,-10.6833,0.0,-1.0546,0.0,76.5132,31.3233,16.582,-76.18,-42.6436,0.0,-24.8236,-60.9703,-14.8146,-69.6881,-22.995,-19.4427,0.0,-77.5071,86.9735,-74.8172,41.3805,-41.6121,-2.6496,-64.5095,-3.664,-32.739,-27.4271,-16.8741,-22.2085,62.8317,-87.3691,-52.3293,0.0,0.0,-9.4537],"direction":[52.7375,55.2497,62.6719,-31.9859,22.8347,21.3278,0.0,0.0,-9.3621,0.0,20.2732,-3.1299,0.0,-17.5999,-48.0773,0.0,-39.1224,-34.5845,0.0,-20.3031,0.0,33.8084,38.797,39.5768,-12.7873,-42.2327,0.0,-35.366,-52.5591,-39.4517,-59.8901,-62.2688,-59.1512,0.0,-61.3779,0.3304,-39.6126,16.2812,-20.4493,-38.707,-51.3095,-51.8877,-57.8054,-59.4163,-28.9124,-35.2243,28.6189,-37.3605,-54.4853,0.0,0.0,-4.4274],"intensity":[73.0769,36.5385,100.0,96.1538,32.6923,38.4615,46.1538,86.5385,11.5385,75.0,75.0,36.5385,1.9231,38.4615,75.0,19.2308,17.3077,1.9231,5.7692,11.5385,3.8462,80.7692,98.0769,84.6154,86.5385,78.8462,30.7692,44.2308,73.0769,11.5385,73.0769,84.6154,9.6154,28.8462,86.5385,96.1538,76.9231,53.8462,51.9231,15.3846,73.0769,34.6154,75.0,15.3846,53.8462,9.6154,82.6923,98.0769,90.3846,55.7692,50.0,13.4615],"confirmation":[83.8807,81.8584,88.5857,33.3436,49.3149,48.9504,25.1306,27.3735,74.355,24.6771,80.3173,51.1784,48.2876,77.2567,83.7869,5.0177,77.8103,75.0021,3.2336,48.68,24.5029,85.5663,77.347,76.8196,82.0709,80.9907,5.2257,76.7535,86.2438,6.573,89.3999,80.8704,80.9454,8.828,89.5258,58.0818,86.6222,30.2811,79.8753,50.7892,87.3377,53.6283,83.1106,82.3131,28.6236,78.5857,82.4552,88.3629,86.4059,32.619,5.2712,32.6579],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[21.9515,26.5528,18.183,32.2277,11.3427,9.8536,49.1581,2.1106,24.8491,38.7121,3.5323,7.7214,24.5377,1.387,24.7661,42.3843,33.7067,33.449,23.7446,15.0282,23.6646,22.9061,35.4407,35.5433,27.728,29.2046,46.5334,36.0528,20.6773,31.4723,16.4416,29.0423,26.5529,41.4061,15.0278,19.3332,9.4841,8.793,43.9395,34.16,10.4436,34.031,23.6675,26.0018,1.9283,5.1031,25.2853,19.4565,17.6295,27.5581,44.1989,33.6773],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-2.0,"control":-4.8,"force":-9.5,"direction":-4.4,"confirmation":32.7,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":33.7,"intensity":13.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-2.0","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-4.8","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-9.5","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-4.4","detail":"Follow-through is 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