{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"STLD Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c340de94-4dad-45a2-a1c5-2b396a323143","symbol":"STLD","name":"Steel Dynamics, Inc.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Steel"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":38.9,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 38.9% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.6% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 7.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.5% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":4015.449951}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2174.1428,2316.9553,2229.071,2087.2275,2087.2275,2087.2275,2087.6865,2087.6865,2087.6865,2087.6865,2087.6865,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.3589,3027.8186,3027.8186,2625.5273,2452.6904,2452.6904,2452.6904,2736.4229,2736.4229,2747.5225,2572.5771,2572.5771,2572.5771,2572.5771,2573.0769,2298.2825,2298.2825,2298.2825,2298.2825,2298.2825,2298.2825,2298.2825,2296.2834,2296.2834,2296.2834,2296.2834,2296.2834,2296.7832,2296.7832,2418.719,2418.719,2418.719,2418.719,2418.719,2418.719,2418.719,2388.7349,2388.7349,2388.7349,2515.4177,2515.9175,2515.9175,2649.1235,2817.0679,2817.0679,2843.0593,2856.0549,2923.033,3060.9871,3123.4666,3122.9666,3151.9573,3184.946,3149.9521,3149.9521,3072.5857,3072.5857,3010.0867,3444.4011,3326.4216,3326.4216,3310.6643,3444.4011,3444.4011,3047.47,3047.47,3048.0,3048.0,3500.0,3944.0,3995.0,4040.0,4072.0,4188.0,4467.0,4531.1259,4874.4185,4725.7383,4725.8172,4735.0,4015.45,4107.96,4107.96,4107.96,4450.0,4450.0],"consensus":[-50.7313,42.8439,-54.6679,-76.6543,-45.4825,-45.4802,-44.7625,-34.5815,-33.8189,-32.9269,-32.0551,71.0243,50.7625,53.2339,53.1698,41.3299,40.8385,40.233,39.5121,52.8194,37.7135,-69.0046,-86.4286,-46.557,-47.287,21.1274,19.8226,34.1866,-42.4754,-35.5664,-35.0272,-34.3449,-23.6388,-59.5235,-45.4839,-45.3506,-44.9851,-34.8474,-34.1814,-33.3846,-48.1132,-32.0374,-30.869,-29.5519,-27.4202,-25.2064,-23.7446,71.0264,40.5178,41.051,41.0901,29.2936,28.7576,28.0512,-39.1423,0.0,0.0,80.6595,62.0968,47.6799,93.6057,85.3239,51.2875,42.5007,54.5156,81.6085,84.6191,79.922,67.5382,76.0527,84.0142,18.7877,39.597,-19.2971,15.0847,-45.5325,87.6393,0.0,38.8605,42.0888,46.0449,39.175,-52.1253,-36.7931,-25.3878,-37.2064,61.6959,87.8008,73.7405,72.0112,64.3492,86.2399,92.4647,56.4278,67.3354,33.9255,45.958,46.0783,-48.4397,0.0,-27.6856,-27.9278,54.7035,29.4634],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[29.0954,28.0448,-39.599,0.0,0.0,70.0217,60.0765,36.9187,95.0341,97.6156,41.2557,24.3321,46.8701,92.6804,96.6204,89.3897,71.7936,77.9959,81.8286,13.1801,36.8672,-20.9947,29.111,-37.3048,94.5464,0.0,34.8458,51.5647,56.9878,35.9159,-53.8494,-31.0168,-7.8537,-29.0625,63.6703,95.0267,74.5914,73.1045,60.5305,87.4066,95.3717,50.7356,62.5943,21.1971,38.2037,39.46,-52.134,0.0,-19.9963,-18.8081,51.726,29.2006],"force":[0.0,0.0,-88.355,0.0,0.0,99.9506,39.1915,17.9991,99.9708,57.9373,10.44,3.2793,19.5033,54.2582,57.6466,49.7619,33.1803,58.0049,85.7751,42.9056,5.0908,-77.7309,10.2334,-94.5265,99.127,0.0,10.4085,1.31,28.4433,9.6339,-40.7995,-10.3815,-1.444,-10.4393,67.3892,99.7291,69.027,60.5081,48.4465,91.6225,99.1892,25.3056,47.1258,13.7808,10.1089,12.1382,-40.8712,0.0,-10.4357,-10.4381,73.9623,10.288],"direction":[48.9126,48.0949,-3.4684,0.0,0.0,79.0377,80.7667,81.1792,87.4267,90.8381,91.9293,91.28,88.2621,88.4908,90.1693,90.6448,87.2163,86.723,85.2543,69.263,67.364,-24.3814,17.1389,-19.9399,71.54,0.0,63.7716,60.387,46.1113,64.0006,-58.2448,-62.2599,-64.5922,-65.6332,55.3729,71.0226,76.1349,78.9783,80.0725,81.0617,84.3393,85.1633,87.1893,82.5481,80.4265,77.8849,-49.6237,0.0,-48.7947,-50.843,44.3499,43.4604],"intensity":[53.8462,55.7692,73.0769,75.0,57.6923,82.6923,82.6923,59.6154,82.6923,82.6923,78.8462,71.1538,71.1538,73.0769,84.6154,84.6154,65.3846,69.2308,59.6154,59.6154,59.6154,69.2308,71.1538,67.3077,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,92.3077,36.5385,98.0769,34.6154,40.3846,42.3077,100.0,100.0,92.3077,57.6923,51.9231,67.3077,90.3846,92.3077,92.3077,80.7692,19.2308,26.9231,100.0,55.7692,57.6923,15.3846,86.5385,13.4615],"confirmation":[53.6542,53.4549,59.3517,25.0576,25.2039,94.5611,87.2037,82.517,98.126,94.2817,83.32,58.0151,84.4945,93.1125,94.0732,92.5116,88.5003,91.7572,94.9715,36.0372,56.9944,35.7981,28.6916,84.1889,96.2894,14.5016,79.6294,57.4146,82.0312,79.6854,84.3087,79.0569,30.5483,79.2144,87.8861,96.3497,91.4403,90.6764,88.1653,95.743,97.7494,85.1952,89.0037,35.2028,81.7322,81.8115,83.2138,35.8013,76.4509,76.5428,86.1374,44.64],"persistence":[50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[14.3788,14.0256,15.7369,32.1292,31.9125,8.1306,18.5318,25.7402,3.195,7.3317,24.3498,28.7471,22.624,6.16,7.6332,10.0285,16.2145,11.9271,6.7551,11.4171,1.357,32.866,56.4464,26.6536,5.3061,45.7543,28.4866,28.0317,23.0225,16.1109,20.1053,27.0702,36.304,30.3947,17.8307,6.0491,13.0999,13.9868,17.4617,1.4654,2.6737,20.8795,16.2678,32.7754,21.6057,17.5015,25.517,51.898,35.5469,35.4729,19.3097,28.6556],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":29.5,"control":29.2,"force":10.3,"direction":43.5,"confirmation":44.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":28.7,"intensity":13.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+29.5","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+29.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+10.3","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+43.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"63.1","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"3.1%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"38.3","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"77%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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