{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RVRB Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c3c73740-4354-4bc8-b9b4-6756cdd63d41","symbol":"RVRB","name":"River Global Plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Financial Services","industry":"Asset Management"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":76,"displayedObservations":76,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence aligned","headline":"Upward price structure retains strong Market Dynamics support","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"The advance remains supported. 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Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","tone":"caution"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Extended but supported","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Supported","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":48,"relationship":{"sameWeekCorrelation":0.35,"forwardCorrelation":-0.28,"directionalAgreement":50.0,"sample":36,"correlationSample":47,"label":"Meaningful 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Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -6.1% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.2% across 3 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Separate downside warning from short execution","tone":"negative","finding":"Across 1 completed distribution cycles, the average gross downside opportunity was 19.0%, while the average adverse move was 0.0%.","approach":"Use distribution to reduce or hedge first. A short entry needs confirmed weakness because price can continue rising while distribution persists.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.36,0.337,0.32,0.335,0.325,0.305,0.292,0.298,0.293,0.305,0.302,0.31,0.32,0.335,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.395,0.38,0.385,0.385,0.395,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.355,0.365,0.365,0.365,0.39,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.41,0.39,0.375,0.382,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.375,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.42],"consensus":[66.6667,34.2857,-37.931,26.7542,-13.8382,-15.7226,-22.7228,-10.1037,-16.2717,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.9008,19.0252,16.1319,23.0248,10.9971,10.9623,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.7105,18.0515,0.0,0.0,59.858,0.0,0.0,18.914,0.0,16.6501,0.0,-12.0311,0.0,-43.5412,0.0,-8.4412,0.0,33.0392,23.616,12.3542,16.3367,10.1674,45.2568,-20.4592,-33.1992,0.0,-13.7982,0.0,-54.1747,-54.1837,12.7204,-13.5187,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-30.0258,10.666,0.0,0.0,37.9377,54.7219,35.84,56.5631,19.1429,11.5257,0.0,0.0,64.4246,12.098,24.3394,34.4738],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[19.2613,20.7889,0.0,0.0,56.273,0.0,0.0,14.8682,0.0,19.0971,0.0,-14.0582,0.0,-42.9825,0.0,-5.2242,0.0,34.5786,24.0149,4.8729,11.9831,10.8773,49.5741,-21.9576,-24.9347,0.0,-7.6634,0.0,-55.5122,-51.9702,19.1775,-6.8895,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-27.2393,12.9799,0.0,0.0,39.7005,48.2126,39.286,64.7131,12.1216,1.8729,0.0,0.0,60.945,6.4171,17.9951,29.0147],"force":[19.4007,12.6275,0.0,0.0,78.7438,0.0,0.0,20.6462,0.0,14.4076,0.0,-25.6444,0.0,-61.2143,0.0,-3.7484,0.0,39.9624,16.4233,2.2445,7.4581,1.628,56.8346,-46.5536,-60.8171,0.0,-12.8479,0.0,-68.1799,-62.9247,60.3031,-4.6926,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-39.9042,29.7272,0.0,0.0,46.7081,81.1877,20.3913,43.4691,6.0646,7.2984,0.0,0.0,91.3968,20.216,8.5527,28.3972],"direction":[14.7308,18.7974,0.0,0.0,50.4654,0.0,0.0,22.3004,0.0,15.4552,0.0,-0.0092,0.0,-31.556,0.0,-15.4697,0.0,26.3346,28.2978,28.1254,27.654,15.4557,32.0528,-0.1077,-22.9174,0.0,-21.4881,0.0,-42.6423,-50.4698,28.6467,-27.3991,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-26.1544,5.5936,0.0,0.0,29.6587,43.2568,42.9365,56.6016,45.1727,36.0033,0.0,0.0,49.1353,41.6719,42.8662,45.0533],"intensity":[62.5,72.0,26.9231,22.2222,96.4286,89.6552,93.3333,29.0323,81.25,57.5758,58.8235,80.0,83.3333,86.4865,55.2632,10.2564,12.5,87.8049,88.0952,37.2093,15.9091,11.1111,69.5652,80.8511,83.3333,55.102,56.0,11.7647,94.2308,73.0769,82.6923,28.8462,13.4615,32.6923,15.3846,15.3846,61.5385,63.4615,46.1538,26.9231,73.0769,73.0769,86.5385,82.6923,61.5385,61.5385,75.0,59.6154,94.2308,96.1538,53.8462,28.8462],"confirmation":[73.6952,73.5695,24.5484,25.0042,87.7848,7.4894,4.3662,74.1669,24.3231,73.2224,27.3072,49.5693,0.3449,82.4803,4.2762,25.2738,24.9865,78.7601,75.3318,26.4259,50.3568,48.3158,82.7692,52.6527,79.5914,26.8148,49.8133,24.7732,85.7423,85.6389,34.2003,26.8247,1.969,24.1899,24.5821,24.2859,77.9518,50.4854,0.7631,1.3233,80.3805,86.4168,78.9455,85.5769,52.0916,27.4853,26.3887,24.4188,89.4909,7.2859,75.4042,86.9296],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[38.9839,40.74,47.4114,45.3756,20.0128,45.9764,39.2167,34.1163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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+34.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+29.0","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+28.4","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+45.1","detail":"Upward 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