{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SQQQ Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"c42b8cbf-1b34-4c00-afc4-c2d0a3963f3f","symbol":"SQQQ","name":"BetaPro -3x Nasdaq-100 Daily Leveraged Bear Alternative ETF","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":62,"displayedObservations":62,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","headline":"Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.","take":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is testing accumulation conditions and a recent green marker confirms a recovery through the zone. Market Dynamics is now read for follow-through.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":-31.4,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -31.4% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 24.5% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-08-21","price":7.61}],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[20.91,18.48,18.08,17.93,17.36,16.91,18.09,16.19,16.01,16.46,16.7,16.18,15.32,14.4,14.62,14.15,15.05,14.0,13.11,12.36,13.54,13.58,14.86,12.83,12.47,13.22,12.96,12.51,13.23,12.41,12.74,12.64,12.73,13.42,13.94,13.49,13.56,14.06,14.51,15.38,16.87,14.93,13.05,10.89,10.12,9.69,8.21,8.28,7.98,7.32,8.32,7.68,7.33,8.14,7.52,7.38,8.35,8.74,8.55,7.28,7.07,7.61],"consensus":[-34.468,-89.2086,0.0,-32.3206,-60.0219,-44.5675,0.0,-66.5216,-34.2644,-14.9723,-9.0227,-34.2263,-49.3862,-62.4578,-29.5913,-46.5732,16.7115,-47.5091,-60.0483,-48.115,0.0,-10.0423,37.6774,-50.5925,-38.6121,8.6241,-31.8499,-33.9018,15.4783,-40.7284,0.0,-18.2927,0.0,24.5919,32.3856,0.0,11.4358,26.0674,32.535,51.8832,67.8857,-19.833,-51.9319,-70.9613,-63.8482,-55.2445,-77.3216,-36.4936,-52.4888,-60.0248,0.0,-46.5741,-22.6135,0.0,-43.4434,-37.6412,8.1494,23.6695,0.0,-45.8321,-39.3391,-1.3829],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[-2.5719,-37.6719,-54.8978,-62.5987,-21.8483,-40.1119,17.3406,-45.1278,-59.9312,-38.9599,0.0,-7.7658,27.53,-60.3039,-43.4904,13.818,-30.2096,-47.3324,15.0735,-46.6325,0.0,-26.4624,0.0,17.742,27.7342,0.0,4.7827,20.1674,31.6491,50.3915,66.0649,-27.5613,-48.4056,-71.6734,-66.8929,-58.9358,-79.4408,-31.7168,-54.7077,-62.8563,0.0,-55.6438,-13.2452,0.0,-51.4383,-49.4084,1.8831,23.6213,0.0,-57.1169,-44.5844,-11.0533],"force":[-18.1162,-34.9442,-43.0299,-58.1738,-2.3063,-33.0441,71.9457,-70.2593,-75.7585,-55.1263,0.0,-6.6855,76.7322,-79.2258,-32.3268,37.9052,-33.709,-24.9396,32.6921,-47.3111,0.0,-17.9991,0.0,39.4062,37.92,0.0,8.1444,31.5383,31.4536,52.8038,77.0575,-75.266,-88.1137,-94.0289,-66.4931,-41.5434,-89.8699,-5.2353,-33.4117,-47.3548,0.0,-27.8476,-1.4539,0.0,-27.4832,-17.7675,26.2689,41.1153,0.0,-54.8272,-27.1149,-28.6093],"direction":[-41.6586,-29.7755,-47.6274,-65.3567,-61.2243,-63.6212,23.4603,-33.9804,-48.9606,-53.5699,0.0,-24.5925,21.3781,-19.0416,-37.5266,18.2268,-32.3968,-24.9541,3.6454,-29.2789,0.0,-9.1655,0.0,21.8386,33.7484,0.0,21.3903,28.9024,34.3199,52.9305,63.4153,-28.5943,-30.1178,-53.6706,-58.4793,-60.8123,-65.9366,-64.2801,-63.5794,-65.8389,0.0,-49.5848,-50.5112,0.0,-45.7063,-38.3885,2.3684,11.2631,0.0,-26.51,-42.0761,-29.1165],"intensity":[40.0,36.3636,75.0,46.1538,7.1429,20.0,50.0,58.8235,83.3333,78.9474,80.0,19.0476,68.1818,91.3043,62.5,28.0,30.7692,66.6667,21.4286,34.4828,3.3333,12.9032,31.25,81.8182,20.5882,11.4286,11.1111,16.2162,13.1579,58.9744,77.5,92.6829,95.2381,95.3488,88.6364,26.6667,69.5652,61.7021,2.0833,40.8163,54.0,27.451,30.7692,46.1538,26.9231,1.9231,59.6154,9.6154,50.0,90.3846,5.7692,23.0769],"confirmation":[6.6503,78.9218,83.5259,87.8538,54.4404,82.5896,34.693,83.9325,87.696,83.75,34.5712,26.8313,81.4016,84.9143,80.09,30.128,78.2736,78.3708,50.8172,81.1437,3.4214,73.7202,2.9505,76.4253,78.6029,29.5753,48.9939,76.5982,78.3917,84.6534,90.0307,36.685,85.7746,91.3998,88.4656,85.2044,93.093,56.1314,84.1812,86.7787,32.4263,82.1948,52.2891,29.5503,81.2936,79.2602,25.9222,76.1066,26.1787,82.7684,80.136,21.6022],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[39.5424,16.5925,6.8908,17.759,34.8926,26.3526,24.8024,1.0483,17.3843,25.2468,51.9195,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structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-1.4","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-11.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-28.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[20.91,18.48,18.08,17.93,17.36,16.91,18.09,16.19,16.01,16.46,16.7,16.18,15.32,14.4,14.62,14.15,15.05,14.0,13.11,12.36,13.54,13.58,14.86,12.83,12.47,13.22,12.96,12.51,13.23,12.41,12.74,12.64,12.73,13.42,13.94,13.49,13.56,14.06,14.51,15.38,16.87,14.93,13.05,10.89,10.12,9.69,8.21,8.28,7.98,7.32,8.32,7.68,7.33,8.14,7.52,7.38,8.35,8.74,8.55,7.28,7.07,7.61],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,19.2348,18.8121,18.6808,18.2279,17.8247,17.5766,17.4172,17.1922,16.8518,16.406,16.0813,15.7302,15.6065,15.3144,14.9136,14.4493,14.284,14.156,14.284,14.0196,13.7379,13.6437,13.5194,13.3359,13.3166,13.1518,13.0769,12.9975,12.9488,13.0345,13.1991,13.252,13.308,13.4447,13.6384,13.9551,14.4851,14.566,14.2903,13.6721,13.0263,12.4197,11.6543,11.0408,10.4843,9.9089,9.62,9.2673,8.9151,8.7741,8.5461,8.3341,8.337,8.4103,8.4357,8.2255,8.0154,7.9417],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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