{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"009811 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"c495020f-917b-4bd2-b814-dc51065cdb5e","symbol":"009811","name":"UPAMC NYSE US 50 ETF","exchange":"TAI","country":"TW","asset_type":"etf","currency":"TWD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":57,"displayedObservations":57,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":0.6,"averageExpectedMove":0.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.3,"medianReturn":3.3,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.8,"medianReturn":3.8,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":12.9,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 12.9% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.4% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":12.58}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":12.7}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[10.0,10.0,10.16,10.15,10.46,10.38,10.65,10.75,10.75,10.88,10.95,11.11,11.2,11.0,11.23,11.72,11.47,11.49,11.3,11.74,11.78,11.72,11.61,11.87,11.78,11.82,11.77,11.65,11.65,11.41,11.65,11.44,11.44,11.36,11.16,10.93,10.93,11.47,11.86,12.0,12.21,12.58,12.97,12.96,13.07,13.0,12.7,12.82,12.51,12.95,13.05,13.08,12.89,13.06,13.5,13.46,13.19],"consensus":[0.0,0.0,0.0,48.1481,98.5966,31.3243,81.7681,82.8795,55.5812,79.8354,49.9403,82.4073,78.2283,0.0,73.5703,89.4011,0.0,32.3857,0.0,67.1357,51.8449,33.7491,22.9447,61.7996,8.6137,42.8017,12.4921,-12.2541,0.0,-56.7629,17.2053,-43.676,-9.345,-14.6172,-59.6463,-66.1997,-25.6315,44.2995,65.1949,50.9618,53.2377,73.8352,73.2792,54.5336,62.5631,29.4549,0.0,18.8946,-19.4615,46.8227,38.7136,17.9725,0.0,42.2385,64.2649,17.8206,4.1431],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[14.0501,91.1265,85.5682,51.9908,77.1696,27.8303,84.9747,81.4935,0.0,72.5214,86.3857,0.0,19.667,0.0,85.624,56.7461,34.3243,19.3012,74.6944,7.7487,51.8256,6.003,-1.4179,0.0,-45.9284,29.5106,-37.9122,-3.5886,-7.4163,-60.5643,-69.6817,-11.381,48.2414,63.4328,51.1188,53.7048,81.0329,76.826,58.214,69.4396,19.2477,0.0,20.4631,-16.6291,66.2522,38.1151,6.3094,0.0,46.1776,69.8399,3.889,19.3583],"force":[15.0797,55.2262,69.7686,18.4503,73.2124,34.3221,70.2406,58.9815,0.0,62.6945,94.6112,0.0,6.454,0.0,65.9258,27.9639,0.3758,9.2565,56.0475,25.5695,28.7253,15.1639,-35.0596,0.0,-87.1023,30.3254,-59.7673,-8.4771,-1.4727,-57.9201,-59.2259,-5.2732,81.7527,91.5487,46.2994,43.286,72.4694,69.7184,24.47,36.9349,8.6686,0.0,1.229,-39.4591,35.9622,18.6604,8.213,0.0,45.3513,65.2585,11.1597,37.2791],"direction":[84.2118,90.0314,89.1715,86.2067,87.6127,86.3648,88.1637,88.2442,0.0,82.5375,89.1256,0.0,65.444,0.0,46.8704,63.3015,57.4666,50.1094,51.1712,34.0189,42.5432,39.6626,-8.3488,0.0,-47.4741,6.2293,-38.7695,-36.8563,-32.2358,-59.8303,-67.2017,-63.9927,13.0421,48.3847,54.1125,59.8124,66.5849,71.7693,71.8015,73.0101,68.3515,0.0,29.7202,-8.4146,32.3749,53.7212,50.0058,0.0,35.5133,57.1838,54.4427,36.9142],"intensity":[60.0,66.6667,57.1429,50.0,66.6667,70.0,72.7273,41.6667,76.9231,78.5714,100.0,75.0,11.7647,66.6667,94.7368,90.0,33.3333,40.9091,73.913,33.3333,12.0,15.3846,70.3704,17.8571,72.4138,73.3333,77.4194,43.75,45.4545,58.8235,68.5714,94.4444,100.0,92.1053,97.4359,62.5,87.8049,92.8571,30.2326,52.2727,13.3333,86.9565,65.9574,85.4167,93.8776,42.0,50.9804,42.3077,40.3846,100.0,82.6923,73.0769],"confirmation":[34.7564,93.2143,94.0809,84.7091,93.3861,83.8418,93.9604,92.3967,37.8823,91.227,96.8131,37.712,55.1003,34.6873,89.1648,83.7879,55.1644,31.0578,87.4041,7.1826,81.13,6.4885,50.1148,2.1222,87.2538,52.3803,82.5546,5.2183,27.0533,87.0202,88.9183,53.9357,83.2572,89.6924,84.1633,84.7257,91.476,91.2868,84.4785,87.1344,32.9352,29.4595,50.8173,74.8803,82.3562,79.7863,6.883,33.045,81.5512,88.5101,7.4124,40.6455],"persistence":[50.0,57.1429,62.5,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[33.8848,8.9854,8.5449,20.9627,10.0475,24.3761,8.6016,10.8568,32.8601,11.5765,5.2148,42.4056,33.2666,20.7464,28.9254,18.7791,22.3777,32.7584,5.1764,4.3069,0.9738,24.6846,31.9288,30.8818,20.7001,36.9098,18.416,40.3442,9.6068,20.039,16.7544,37.1468,2.0955,17.1433,24.507,23.3789,13.0666,13.3466,22.688,18.657,32.4952,41.6117,35.5611,39.1196,32.8322,25.6506,31.9616,47.9311,0.6791,15.4632,37.7432,44.4597],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":4.1,"control":19.4,"force":37.3,"direction":36.9,"confirmation":40.6,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":44.5,"intensity":73.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+4.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+19.4","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+37.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+36.9","detail":"Upward 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upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[10.0,10.0,10.16,10.15,10.46,10.38,10.65,10.75,10.75,10.88,10.95,11.11,11.2,11.0,11.23,11.72,11.47,11.49,11.3,11.74,11.78,11.72,11.61,11.87,11.78,11.82,11.77,11.65,11.65,11.41,11.65,11.44,11.44,11.36,11.16,10.93,10.93,11.47,11.86,12.0,12.21,12.58,12.97,12.96,13.07,13.0,12.7,12.82,12.51,12.95,13.05,13.08,12.89,13.06,13.5,13.46,13.19],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,10.1254,10.1717,10.2587,10.348,10.4211,10.5045,10.5855,10.6809,10.7753,10.8161,10.8914,11.042,11.1198,11.1871,11.2077,11.3045,11.3909,11.4508,11.4797,11.5507,11.5924,11.6338,11.6585,11.657,11.6557,11.611,11.6181,11.5857,11.5592,11.523,11.457,11.3612,11.2828,11.3168,11.4156,11.5218,11.647,11.8166,12.0263,12.1961,12.355,12.4722,12.5137,12.5694,12.5586,12.6297,12.7061,12.7741,12.7952,12.8433,12.9627,13.0531,13.078],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,55.2404,70.0143,69.3027,92.0524,52.8705,52.7724,86.193,47.5818,102.0737,97.6211,72.7301,86.4143,48.8746,37.0473,48.8409,55.6441,50.3564,44.6245,77.7208,77.8728,81.601,107.6939,120.9349,47.7696,92.1521,92.961,60.8003,62.8338,61.7449,59.0191,103.2894,144.0832,124.9313,67.5339,84.5234,79.8634,54.37,18.2952,62.3401,8.1912,51.3943,21.1232,20.1521,0.0,16.6714,116.4557,111.8541,63.7897,26.9385,37.7922],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,97.561,96.3855,96.875,89.2857,99.1453,100.0,84.0,95.5224,96.7213,83.0601,84.153,73.7705,97.8142,98.9189,95.6757,89.7297,98.9691,94.3299,96.3918,92.8571,86.7347,86.7347,70.0599,83.9506,67.8082,65.4412,56.6929,33.0357,2.9703,25.7576,66.6667,96.2121,95.2703,94.7368,98.5149,96.3563,95.9514,100.0,94.5098,82.7451,87.451,75.2941,92.549,96.4706,92.5651,85.5019,91.8216,95.7237,94.0984,85.2459],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,64.4437,61.6942,59.3352,55.8899,52.6907,49.4454,46.9532,45.1882,43.5492,42.8401,43.0123,41.1819,38.554,36.5863,35.3742,34.9558,35.38,35.7739,36.292,36.8926,36.3645,36.3503,35.0174,34.4937,34.1754,34.2906,33.7367,32.7588,32.8538,32.9585,32.1126],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.0806,1.1674,1.3739,1.4904,1.5431,1.6656,1.7564,1.6981,1.7007,1.7295,1.7393,1.7184,1.6688,1.6654,1.7279,1.7149,1.9264,1.9358,2.0241,2.0606,2.1784,2.2127,2.2678,2.4325,2.495,2.5537,2.4687,2.4284,2.4157,2.4401,2.3888,2.2596,2.2249,2.3004,2.2665,2.3794,2.3826,2.2502,2.2103,2.2711,2.2728,2.3433,2.2779,2.3264],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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