{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"FIRE Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"c5ada5b4-a5ae-4d4e-b59d-8a9769dba583","symbol":"FIRE","name":"Firetrail Alpha Plus Fund Complex ETF","exchange":"ASX","country":"AU","asset_type":"etf","currency":"AUD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":25,"displayedObservations":25,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[11.945,11.26,11.04,10.48,10.58,10.82,11.26,11.48,11.3,11.2,11.11,11.1,11.31,11.45,11.38,11.26735,11.131831,11.2,11.06,10.93,10.86,11.03,10.99,11.62,11.52],"highs":[11.945,11.45,11.2,10.79,11.0,11.38,11.48,11.51,11.3,11.31,11.34,11.28,11.45,11.45,11.48,11.306069,11.131831,11.34,11.06,10.93,11.09,11.09,11.57,11.66,11.71],"lows":[11.4,10.97,10.68,10.4,10.5,10.82,11.26,11.27,11.13,11.13,11.07,10.94,11.2,11.4,11.35,11.257669,11.005993,11.2,11.0,10.79,10.75,10.96,10.98,11.52,11.46],"closes":[11.4,11.23,10.71,10.65,10.82,11.31,11.45,11.31,11.25,11.23,11.16,11.28,11.45,11.4,11.48,11.257669,11.102792,11.34,11.0,10.79,10.88,11.04,11.47,11.52,11.62],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"11.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Across the displayed history, price has progressed from the lower accumulation area, through the middle range and into the upper positioning zone. This describes price location only; it does not establish active distribution or a reversal.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Upper positioning zone","detail":"Price is in the area labelled as the distribution zone on the chart. With limited Market Dynamics history, the label describes location and extension only.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":25,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-03-06","price":11.4},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":10.88},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":11.04}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-03-13","price":11.23},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":11.04},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":11.47}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[11.4,11.23,10.71,10.65,10.82,11.31,11.45,11.31,11.25,11.23,11.16,11.28,11.45,11.4,11.48,11.2577,11.1028,11.34,11.0,10.79,10.88,11.04,11.47,11.52,11.62],"consensus":[-100.0,8.3333,-88.4615,16.359,-34.295,30.5296,37.3706,0.0,9.063,0.0,-17.9472,19.8294,39.378,0.0,36.5547,-24.1988,-20.3971,27.5038,-49.0094,-53.7027,-17.7802,0.0,51.6055,17.943,44.0732],"supportDates":["2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,39.2003,36.4405,0.0,4.6011,0.0,-10.3931,26.3245,40.0466,0.0,39.2992,-36.1217,-14.5633,39.2869,-58.6876,-63.4113,-14.6639,0.0,50.5954,3.5962,39.2522],"force":[-100.0,8.3333,-88.4615,16.359,-7.6806,36.4319,28.697,0.0,1.9001,0.0,-25.3272,31.5266,48.6794,0.0,29.0487,-29.3673,-15.3926,43.5358,-46.3052,-43.3323,-4.8168,0.0,66.6737,1.0233,42.5184],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-64.2777,16.4043,44.6291,0.0,21.9931,0.0,-21.3091,4.0513,31.97,0.0,38.7797,-6.881,-30.6389,2.586,-39.8801,-50.0144,-37.4824,0.0,41.9969,46.4249,50.6934],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,60.0,50.0,14.2857,25.0,11.1111,20.0,27.2727,58.3333,38.4615,21.4286,60.0,62.5,58.8235,72.2222,47.3684,30.0,52.381,86.3636,100.0,16.6667],"confirmation":[54.6667,25.3333,50.9744,27.9015,34.18,77.8172,79.7084,29.5235,25.7061,1.0072,74.0831,51.9362,80.8742,28.2903,79.4269,53.0528,74.4634,54.4436,83.4531,84.7209,51.4094,5.1876,84.9884,28.1114,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,0.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,12.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,31.9161,3.6374,30.4269,48.494,41.1973,14.1515,32.2418,16.1348,14.8857,31.9897,26.4469,5.7625,37.6804,29.3513,25.2359,22.8507,35.0316,45.9847,23.1269,40.9444,27.8888],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":44.1,"control":39.3,"force":42.5,"direction":50.7,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":27.9,"intensity":16.7,"evidenceDepth":96},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+44.1","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+39.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+42.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+50.7","detail":"Upward 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}