{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XSWC Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"c6a4753a-7493-4e9d-919e-e2b5684223e7","symbol":"XSWC","name":"XTRACKERS (IE) PUBLIC LIMITED C","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":55,"displayedObservations":55,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive. 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positive, Market Dynamics cautious","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":1.8,"averageExpectedMove":1.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":2.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":5.1,"medianReturn":5.1,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":8.2,"medianReturn":8.2,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":4,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":10.7,"averageExpectedMove":10.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":4,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":5.9,"medianReturn":4.5,"confidenceLow":51.0,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":10.7,"medianReturn":10.7,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":4},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":4},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":4},{"week":4,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":4},{"week":5,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":4},{"week":6,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":3},{"week":7,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":3},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":3},{"week":9,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":3},{"week":10,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":3},{"week":11,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":3},{"week":12,"averageReturn":10.7,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":11.0,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":15.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":14.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":13.4,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":13.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":12.9,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":18.8,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":1},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":1.8,"averageExpectedMove":1.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":1.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-0.9,"medianReturn":-0.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.3,"medianReturn":3.3,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 8.2% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 1.8% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 2.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":31.610001}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-02-20","price":31.225},{"date":"2026-05-15","price":31.32}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[25.8964,26.3901,26.9871,26.957,27.085,27.3825,27.5075,27.35,27.9975,27.21,27.375,27.9267,27.5225,27.02,27.38,26.705,28.13,28.3425,28.5825,28.645,29.0475,28.7575,29.82,30.25,30.495,29.9,30.5,31.045,31.225,31.205,29.6525,28.9225,28.46,28.4625,29.245,30.4725,31.61,31.03,31.35,32.02,31.32,31.91,32.48,31.8875,32.6275,32.61,32.7725,32.975,32.6675,32.28,32.3775,32.125,33.4525,33.82,33.435],"consensus":[100.0,37.8786,100.0,11.7209,87.4772,72.6092,60.275,22.5307,90.712,-28.4223,11.7458,68.9616,-19.1089,-37.1783,9.3804,-63.0635,69.7438,59.917,50.497,40.9373,73.3846,12.4374,81.8919,71.2019,60.0501,0.0,73.2833,61.0368,44.693,33.361,-49.5756,-58.0707,-62.5431,-25.2851,20.1592,51.0043,70.5481,10.0104,43.4751,60.5207,-19.6906,52.4082,53.6228,0.0,57.5784,20.4105,27.6253,22.737,24.0993,0.0,9.7709,-22.5595,66.8575,59.9042,6.2253],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,67.3983,51.0082,6.3898,91.3142,-29.3826,14.4804,78.1634,-23.7365,-38.5214,8.576,-50.2461,70.4617,58.9347,44.8934,36.78,75.8382,9.7672,85.4177,67.8521,52.2957,0.0,73.4494,52.9517,43.5872,26.8262,-44.2573,-49.5424,-55.3665,-13.2855,24.9969,49.8369,70.758,1.541,41.5892,58.8389,-18.3493,57.7181,54.0492,0.0,68.3927,12.7772,30.1528,10.4942,35.8004,0.0,15.7541,-11.0911,68.9506,58.8489,1.054],"force":[11.7209,70.1479,63.0656,41.374,25.3804,97.9459,-89.7391,12.9358,46.4781,-50.5088,-45.3081,1.7492,-86.0792,97.1868,67.3155,48.5608,22.7971,85.6165,36.1065,97.4623,78.1381,59.1689,0.0,91.0918,70.7526,24.32,4.8432,-94.3758,-84.589,-82.1157,-3.0116,69.1249,68.5221,93.2712,28.1934,37.6254,71.2008,-74.7185,54.0785,54.3281,0.0,47.607,3.2746,6.5498,2.0514,1.5273,0.0,11.5761,-48.0281,91.9495,69.5491,36.0457],"direction":[null,99.8552,85.3813,84.3662,75.1996,84.8568,-16.4728,26.2502,74.5049,-8.6082,-29.8363,18.2494,-61.2721,49.3211,55.7549,58.2842,58.6457,61.8433,50.1634,66.7407,70.0758,69.5417,0.0,60.3732,63.337,60.5089,61.1993,-23.6535,-48.8758,-56.7646,-54.9085,20.3449,39.8258,54.0774,46.978,49.8087,54.814,-18.0821,45.1466,52.6318,0.0,52.3415,46.0524,39.7906,51.5043,26.8493,0.0,1.6436,-17.4744,46.5426,54.2211,44.7382],"intensity":[null,25.0,40.0,33.3333,42.8571,87.5,100.0,20.0,63.6364,41.6667,100.0,35.7143,100.0,100.0,64.7059,44.4444,5.2632,35.0,28.5714,95.4545,91.3043,58.3333,56.0,65.3846,96.2963,21.4286,34.4828,100.0,93.5484,46.875,75.7576,70.5882,91.4286,88.8889,70.2703,21.0526,61.5385,62.5,65.8537,88.0952,41.8605,61.3636,31.1111,6.5217,31.9149,35.4167,22.449,14.0,13.7255,90.3846,76.9231,25.0],"confirmation":[26.4174,72.5338,91.0235,86.8532,11.4101,97.2391,37.1301,28.3911,89.2423,31.5044,80.1244,48.3813,89.0771,91.1434,87.4139,84.1854,80.6104,91.8185,32.9106,94.6262,91.047,87.3073,38.6456,91.9909,87.9511,81.6977,55.2393,85.3106,87.5208,88.7197,52.9286,34.8764,84.873,91.2647,8.1827,81.7625,87.7177,34.5227,84.7406,85.1743,30.3436,85.9564,51.9578,53.4926,52.1653,52.1789,25.2808,48.4239,76.17,90.1272,87.4794,16.7294],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,6.2518,13.6776,18.9985,34.5018,4.5066,5.2075,21.8812,10.2931,31.2721,2.0476,4.1016,18.0842,4.0076,18.9624,23.149,29.4012,9.1449,24.6969,7.706,14.0073,19.3461,49.9973,5.15,13.7516,22.5817,33.1814,19.1019,20.8094,18.7027,37.3334,36.6304,23.2525,14.7005,44.8556,27.8671,18.0192,7.8659,13.8921,17.4326,6.1779,19.4349,30.2507,8.2399,35.9695,8.4658,26.5285,39.4871,36.139,10.9045,19.8117,45.2414],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":6.2,"control":1.1,"force":36.0,"direction":44.7,"confirmation":16.7,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":45.2,"intensity":25.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+6.2","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+1.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+36.0","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+44.7","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"17/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"64.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.4%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"28.8","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"91%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[25.8964,26.3901,26.9871,26.957,27.085,27.3825,27.5075,27.35,27.9975,27.21,27.375,27.9267,27.5225,27.02,27.38,26.705,28.13,28.3425,28.5825,28.645,29.0475,28.7575,29.82,30.25,30.495,29.9,30.5,31.045,31.225,31.205,29.6525,28.9225,28.46,28.4625,29.245,30.4725,31.61,31.03,31.35,32.02,31.32,31.91,32.48,31.8875,32.6275,32.61,32.7725,32.975,32.6675,32.28,32.3775,32.125,33.4525,33.82,33.435],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,26.4522,26.6213,26.7825,26.8857,27.0878,27.11,27.1582,27.2979,27.3388,27.2808,27.2988,27.1909,27.3616,27.54,27.7295,27.896,28.1053,28.2239,28.5141,28.8297,29.1325,29.272,29.4953,29.7771,30.0403,30.2521,30.1431,29.9212,29.6555,29.4386,29.4034,29.5978,29.9636,30.1575,30.3743,30.6735,30.7911,30.9945,31.2646,31.3779,31.6051,31.7878,31.9668,32.1501,32.2442,32.2507,32.2738,32.2467,32.4659,32.7121,32.8436],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26.7943,26.8111,26.8532,26.8422,26.9376,27.0417,27.1558,27.2661,27.3981,27.4988,27.6707,27.8618,28.0568,28.1934,28.3642,28.5628,28.76,28.9411,28.9938,28.9885,28.9494,28.9133,28.9379,29.0516,29.2411,29.3736,29.52,29.7052,29.8248,29.9792,30.1645,30.2921,30.4651,30.624,30.7831,30.9455,31.0731,31.1625,31.2525,31.3171,31.4753,31.649,31.7813],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,28.191,28.1801,28.2988,28.2976,28.2488,28.2303,28.1949,28.3188,28.467,28.6412,28.7934,28.9388,29.0352,29.4236,29.8506,30.2644,30.4858,30.8016,31.1844,31.5636,31.8524,31.8795,31.8779,31.8415,31.7442,31.6797,31.5624,31.8131,31.9181,32.0647,32.3117,32.4154,32.5635,32.8512,32.997,33.2536,33.4792,33.7097,33.9386,34.091,34.1838,34.2658,34.2119,34.1853,34.0773,33.9149],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,76.0221,102.901,62.2994,69.4909,93.5364,67.9262,48.331,62.3694,36.0474,91.616,96.8803,89.3919,91.3859,100.0,91.1231,99.6301,97.9187,91.375,79.8426,91.4538,91.2423,89.5033,89.1284,60.0281,46.3449,37.6757,37.7226,52.3899,75.3983,96.7198,85.8482,91.8463,96.0345,78.2958,86.1124,96.1962,84.3344,99.1492,96.3868,96.0886,97.0696,91.4378,84.3407,86.1264,81.5019,98.7606,98.3988,91.0672],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,42.3474,43.1783,44.1301,45.014,43.1941,40.6758,37.8053,35.994,34.0953,32.5064,31.7621,31.071,30.3214,30.1407,30.3036,29.9195,30.0879,29.8023,29.8415,30.0149,30.3293,30.7515,30.4454,29.5283,28.9843,28.0306,28.1353,28.5694,28.7738],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive 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