{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ZTF Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c6fb264c-0c42-451d-80cb-2372e649a4be","symbol":"ZTF","name":"Zotefoams plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Specialty Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 15.3% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-03-28","price":300.87851},{"date":"2025-05-23","price":309.939392}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[471.7849,465.7876,447.8192,435.824,434.8244,419.8305,401.8378,412.8333,403.8369,374.8487,355.8563,362.8535,345.8604,344.8607,357.8555,352.8575,329.8668,306.8761,307.8757,309.8749,307.8757,302.8777,329.8668,305.8765,296.8801,295.8805,279.887,267.8918,269.8911,265.8926,294.8809,300.8785,242.9019,237.9039,253.8975,241.9023,242.9525,247.9515,269.9472,309.9394,297.9417,316.938,308.9396,288.9435,333.9347,321.937,315.9382,319.9374,299.9414,270.947,359.9296,423.9171,419.9179,414.9189,406.945,392.9469,375.9492,405.9451,398.9461,396.9463,399.946,438.9407,457.9381,369.95,378.9488,401.9457,427.9422,406.945,390.9472,375.9492,387.9476,414.9439,401.9457,408.9447,385.9478,413.9441,425.9424,439.9406,421.943,432.9415,404.9453,378.9488,352.9523,335.9546,357.9516,387.9476,384.4481,393.9467,400.0,395.0,380.5,415.5,415.5,424.0,450.5,446.0,419.0,455.0,442.0,439.0,469.5,460.5,420.0,445.5],"consensus":[0.0,-19.1197,-40.0821,-33.3204,-18.5756,-36.1028,-53.6837,0.0,-40.2777,-63.0559,-56.7794,-25.5791,-47.9317,-29.0308,0.0,-25.2725,-50.5169,-55.9525,-41.2967,-38.5054,-22.0496,-26.5639,31.6721,-43.9183,-28.4262,-22.3429,-51.024,-51.5271,-25.251,-30.6973,33.6666,14.8406,-60.9625,-33.6317,-9.9204,-44.9064,-21.7845,0.0,26.3515,61.8149,0.0,52.7248,9.1841,-22.9291,60.2712,0.0,8.3825,33.6847,-29.423,-51.3512,61.9404,79.8805,31.7048,23.1161,23.8748,0.0,-17.5925,37.2029,0.0,0.0,17.1079,57.4103,52.3478,-50.8521,0.0,14.3724,31.1824,0.0,-20.685,-38.1339,0.0,34.5673,-8.3394,19.8167,-29.4405,35.521,31.7656,35.2251,0.0,24.224,-33.5668,-53.5176,-59.4316,-56.833,0.0,28.7722,0.0,21.2262,19.7596,0.0,-23.5457,44.8983,14.0935,12.6369,53.9008,12.6378,-14.5287,50.1984,0.0,10.3078,55.9939,0.0,-45.5753,35.3984],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[24.2503,7.7423,16.0176,0.0,-15.3371,44.9401,0.0,0.0,11.8142,51.79,44.1953,-46.7849,0.0,20.4359,49.165,0.0,-31.8285,-41.6484,0.0,43.5451,-12.1534,19.488,-23.1168,37.0292,32.2732,35.5455,0.0,23.0845,-34.1884,-47.9445,-50.8802,-50.6849,0.0,34.0847,0.0,11.1254,14.6748,0.0,-25.1463,47.9645,10.8105,1.9429,60.1643,1.4794,-25.2683,57.7593,0.0,15.6102,58.2907,0.0,-40.5643,38.1037],"force":[4.0691,9.5624,8.7923,0.0,-45.8539,39.9885,0.0,0.0,6.7129,79.7823,61.4489,-90.5366,0.0,36.5966,35.2651,0.0,-28.3724,-45.2558,0.0,46.9205,-22.8582,20.0053,-62.4432,70.2174,36.8899,32.2312,0.0,24.2354,-54.766,-76.4034,-81.7663,-64.663,0.0,59.0975,0.0,36.9263,20.821,0.0,-37.9883,59.1862,1.4049,3.288,44.3844,11.8225,-33.461,42.7312,0.0,2.0843,58.235,0.0,-85.8606,59.7985],"direction":[65.7771,64.0281,56.188,0.0,-0.0165,26.3708,0.0,0.0,30.5829,47.8536,55.1643,-27.1543,0.0,8.4318,7.7146,0.0,-2.4587,-29.0301,0.0,15.4831,-6.39,20.0576,-13.0942,9.0143,27.5252,36.9974,0.0,25.5182,-17.7142,-43.5398,-53.2514,-58.2664,0.0,1.0399,0.0,21.5556,24.8125,0.0,-11.4003,31.1885,26.9089,36.2335,53.5401,46.2433,-11.2681,46.8911,0.0,13.0995,51.7683,0.0,-22.5269,14.8779],"intensity":[88.4615,11.5385,46.1538,25.0,30.7692,75.0,23.0769,11.5385,7.6923,90.3846,82.6923,98.0769,94.2308,59.6154,78.8462,42.3077,44.2308,36.5385,21.1538,59.6154,28.8462,7.6923,78.8462,59.6154,38.4615,50.0,30.7692,15.3846,59.6154,53.8462,75.0,80.7692,50.0,78.8462,25.0,51.9231,17.3077,1.9231,42.3077,78.8462,55.7692,57.6923,57.6923,40.3846,71.1538,84.6154,17.3077,28.8462,71.1538,50.0,90.3846,65.3846],"confirmation":[55.3703,8.6755,31.3064,5.8448,51.8621,79.8719,27.7474,4.3517,50.5717,87.1388,85.1529,85.5441,26.1365,29.6495,55.1621,29.3108,52.017,80.3663,27.4018,79.3012,49.7495,74.3521,78.5231,80.4012,78.3134,79.1759,30.3041,75.7694,79.378,85.908,87.8291,86.5189,35.3495,55.3837,47.6525,75.4248,74.4329,49.4835,75.9504,82.7562,49.5066,27.0895,84.8628,6.3515,30.1331,83.7207,27.0512,48.618,85.9514,6.1018,83.8882,88.0299],"persistence":[37.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[34.0511,38.4194,31.9423,33.9942,33.95,31.7052,15.3617,4.7527,22.3916,9.1644,21.5653,7.4354,27.2664,49.3279,53.0482,44.9427,28.5446,14.9225,42.453,4.7585,20.963,29.1201,11.3942,19.3916,27.0453,28.8353,50.57,27.3364,23.8454,23.0593,20.1778,21.577,51.7314,5.5027,41.6156,39.0371,38.9251,21.4519,1.1523,16.5529,25.0555,39.2064,23.0031,41.4312,17.1392,21.3368,24.6977,23.3938,21.4306,9.6639,14.1021,4.2297],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":35.4,"control":38.1,"force":59.8,"direction":14.9,"confirmation":88.0,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":4.2,"intensity":65.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+35.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+38.1","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+59.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+14.9","detail":"Upward 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