{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"DHI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"c75ef5a3-a066-4737-89fa-78a0bcb0dbf6","symbol":"DHI","name":"DR Horton Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Residential Construction"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":13,"completedEpisodes":12,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":8.0,"averageExpectedMove":12.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":13,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":30.8,"averageReturn":-2.3,"medianReturn":-4.6,"confidenceLow":12.7,"confidenceHigh":57.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":12,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":1.0,"medianReturn":-1.6,"confidenceLow":25.4,"confidenceHigh":74.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":11,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":54.5,"averageReturn":3.4,"medianReturn":18.3,"confidenceLow":28.0,"confidenceHigh":78.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":24.0,"averageExpectedMove":24.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-11.4,"medianReturn":-11.4,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-24.0,"medianReturn":-24.0,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-35.9,"medianReturn":-35.9,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-8.1,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-9.2,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-11.4,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-10.5,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-16.1,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-22.4,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-20.5,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-24.0,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-23.4,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-27.3,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-27.3,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-30.7,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-31.1,"sample":2},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-29.5,"sample":2},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-30.5,"sample":2},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-29.0,"sample":2},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-33.9,"sample":2},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-33.0,"sample":2},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-34.9,"sample":2},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-34.2,"sample":2},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-34.6,"sample":2},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-35.9,"sample":2}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.6,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.9% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.1% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-10-25","price":175.629238},{"date":"2025-09-12","price":176.267016}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-09-13","price":190.875784},{"date":"2024-10-18","price":190.640619}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[187.9264,184.9575,182.3902,190.8758,188.0244,186.5154,180.9205,179.1371,190.6406,175.6292,164.2629,165.3898,158.7458,160.6318,165.7887,155.7007,147.2139,137.1357,137.7938,137.4107,134.1005,145.0332,140.387,139.3851,127.1067,128.6536,124.131,124.9488,131.4618,124.9192,126.949,124.1408,125.9932,118.022,119.4704,122.7318,125.8356,120.6167,124.2937,117.2759,116.6927,119.3417,121.6546,122.7616,127.1996,130.3724,135.2355,130.2736,143.637,148.5593,155.0896,164.1274,169.1418,167.9526,180.1616,176.267,166.7833,165.6932,173.3733,150.2139,152.3049,156.5265,147.7365,143.4653,141.5893,145.8441,158.0715,157.6838,155.5266,146.3113,145.4564,144.8599,156.3517,155.0395,149.6216,147.9615,155.7897,167.2644,163.6156,159.8971,146.8074,140.0582,132.7109,133.7776,139.2607,142.2016,149.3496,159.4086,149.5191,147.63,135.39,143.73,147.09,145.6,154.09,157.81,166.29,158.0828,151.1143,148.931,146.3091,142.6204,151.08,148.81],"consensus":[74.6453,26.0227,26.8961,65.7489,0.0,17.1005,-9.2559,-11.6397,54.5891,-47.0513,-52.9319,-21.1738,-57.1778,-15.6087,0.0,-57.9361,-63.5793,-69.7444,-35.7863,-35.5468,-57.9704,24.2513,-40.3792,-26.7382,-67.3498,-26.2087,-52.6824,-34.0875,15.697,-45.6387,-9.355,-34.4933,0.0,-44.3735,-16.5045,0.0,11.5583,-31.8725,11.2048,-41.5807,-30.7067,0.0,0.0,11.4797,37.4716,33.3566,47.0573,0.0,62.6334,60.5888,63.4416,68.3383,64.2254,44.5783,74.9793,24.6819,-9.3768,17.7746,42.0891,-58.3317,-15.811,0.0,-50.3277,-38.5392,-41.8801,0.0,44.9801,12.4101,10.7501,-41.1208,-18.8255,-18.6949,42.5852,0.0,-16.3349,-11.7075,28.0287,58.6219,11.6996,0.0,-47.5207,-51.1554,-60.6411,-41.1604,0.0,0.0,33.8581,51.3889,-17.0456,0.0,-56.5576,10.934,0.0,-11.7903,47.5127,35.6664,55.4061,0.0,-22.5699,-22.6413,-23.2306,-41.0999,27.9899,-5.8681],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[65.1471,44.4285,78.7469,15.6942,-9.0721,23.8825,58.861,-51.1119,-11.0659,0.0,-45.9009,-39.9229,-44.6402,0.0,46.1985,5.615,6.685,-45.5046,-9.3233,-8.6381,43.1483,0.0,-20.6855,-16.9755,31.5759,58.8622,1.6929,0.0,-49.3301,-51.5037,-62.2111,-42.8223,0.0,0.0,31.3871,45.479,-31.0832,0.0,-58.7269,24.1699,0.0,-14.0729,45.5414,31.6559,53.0986,0.0,-24.74,-21.4438,-13.8598,-40.1306,34.9759,-5.1287],"force":[53.4205,10.81,72.2155,17.8907,-66.7493,2.6363,37.1629,-96.8504,-0.8217,0.0,-64.9134,-30.3088,-27.061,0.0,70.7552,3.8031,4.4465,-63.1537,-6.1085,-5.5383,82.7525,0.0,-30.9344,-10.5752,47.7445,74.8446,13.8912,0.0,-63.4034,-50.986,-61.9024,-17.5982,0.0,0.0,50.5494,68.2297,-43.7838,0.0,-70.0391,40.8513,0.0,-16.7918,62.1597,30.478,59.7557,0.0,-43.5747,-28.7181,-26.1557,-46.6106,51.6828,-9.8288],"direction":[70.8898,68.8697,72.6477,65.3627,-31.2553,25.3733,26.44,-39.0696,-33.1145,0.0,-44.9686,-42.8368,-49.3109,0.0,25.1769,26.3239,19.8984,-20.373,-38.7686,-39.5858,13.2508,0.0,-0.9347,-6.4957,9.8919,46.7595,41.4149,0.0,-34.108,-50.8785,-57.9459,-56.0913,0.0,0.0,24.7598,46.1137,-18.0961,0.0,-44.4487,25.5622,0.0,-5.6091,39.3035,43.9557,54.9364,0.0,-5.0864,-19.6692,-31.8506,-38.2713,3.0825,-3.884],"intensity":[44.2308,65.3846,94.2308,61.5385,73.0769,67.3077,61.5385,98.0769,96.1538,19.2308,69.2308,88.4615,5.7692,53.8462,86.5385,90.3846,63.4615,75.0,78.8462,1.9231,80.7692,94.2308,32.6923,55.7692,59.6154,78.8462,67.3077,65.3846,90.3846,61.5385,46.1538,7.6923,28.8462,32.6923,44.2308,92.3077,71.1538,53.8462,82.6923,50.0,69.2308,5.7692,50.0,44.2308,63.4615,40.3846,21.1538,5.7692,61.5385,11.5385,50.0,5.7692],"confirmation":[88.2088,81.2382,91.8517,33.2211,34.0882,50.8685,81.0628,87.9501,50.1336,28.1192,84.6168,80.0606,80.908,30.7488,83.1606,26.4791,25.9765,81.7633,51.1147,51.068,82.8428,25.8447,50.9392,48.965,77.516,87.2497,6.0799,4.6526,83.6631,84.3593,87.4197,80.4279,7.6729,4.3272,79.3809,85.0477,32.5827,1.6236,86.4762,32.3289,47.863,49.2239,83.6805,79.3162,85.8977,30.9696,53.1628,75.4487,75.6657,81.3347,54.9057,24.6764],"persistence":[87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[17.8867,27.6981,12.5073,36.6286,12.8811,25.5418,59.5689,20.3832,37.5746,40.4479,24.4571,12.3435,21.4368,41.074,17.6693,40.3174,40.9489,23.3008,35.6707,36.6037,14.7362,41.6955,37.1038,30.103,18.6376,18.2848,42.6148,44.9944,19.0811,24.3711,19.6641,29.3587,37.164,14.0157,32.2957,24.2228,51.9085,31.2188,19.7545,53.8075,18.1395,8.3304,25.7671,30.7959,21.9443,46.2719,7.3128,30.3336,38.0978,28.6618,14.2466,1.9001],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-5.9,"control":-5.1,"force":-9.8,"direction":-3.9,"confirmation":24.7,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":1.9,"intensity":5.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-5.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-5.1","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-9.8","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-3.9","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"25/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"7.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"13.2","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"44%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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